Cultivated-Strand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

125

Trades

1,971

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-20 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 26% $-22

Politics

23% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$906	891	891	+0	open	—	02-28 06:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$685	1,739	1,739	+0	open	—	01-28 15:23
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	22	$562	1,275	1,275	+0	open	—	01-27 03:34
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	15	$412	822	822	+0	open	—	01-28 15:23
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	5	$410	359	359	+0	open	—	02-28 07:01
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$377	354	354	+0	open	—	01-14 00:37
bitcoin up or down february 22 2am et	6	$348	404	404	+0	open	—	02-22 08:11
bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	7	$268	561	238	+323	open	—	02-27 09:46
si hit 150 high jan 2026	17	$252	8,941	8,941	+0	open	—	01-28 15:23
btc updown 15m 1771757100	3	$250	475	0	+475	open	—	02-22 10:50
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	7	$241	843	843	+0	open	—	01-23 03:56
sol updown 15m 1771326000	5	$231	247	183	+64	open	—	02-17 11:14
btc updown 15m 1772183700	3	$230	308	152	+156	open	—	02-27 09:22
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	14	$213	1,226	1,226	+0	open	—	01-28 15:23
bitcoin up or down february 27 2am et	11	$209	166	166	+0	open	—	02-27 07:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	13	$187	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	02-28 00:54
bitcoin up or down february 26 9pm et	9	$184	152	152	+0	open	—	02-27 02:59
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	10	$175	1,057	1,057	+0	open	—	01-21 09:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$174	128	128	+0	open	—	02-28 19:42
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$166	635	635	+0	open	—	03-07 13:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	11	$163	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	01-27 03:33
btc updown 15m 1772457300	5	$155	154	153	+0	open	—	03-02 13:30
solana up or down march 7 8am et	5	$150	429	0	+429	open	—	03-07 13:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$147	290	290	+0	open	—	03-02 02:04
bitcoin up or down february 27 6am et	4	$142	104	104	+0	open	—	02-27 11:40
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	13	$139	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	01-28 15:23
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	8	$126	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	01-21 09:41
btc updown 15m 1771734600	5	$125	129	63	+65	open	—	02-22 04:43
btc updown 15m 1771735500	6	$123	165	122	+43	open	—	02-22 04:59
ethereum up or down february 17 6am et	4	$120	327	0	+327	open	—	02-17 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 01:45:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	92	14¢	$13	0x404c15…
05-17 22:50:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xffccec…
05-17 22:36:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	92	16¢	$15	0x34a565…
05-17 22:36:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x3ddaf3…
05-13 04:50:42	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1128a1…
05-13 04:50:35	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xecf47a…
05-13 04:50:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe14b6a…
05-13 04:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe2bbdb…
05-13 04:37:26	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xfe3913…
05-13 04:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7cc077…
05-13 00:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ec115…
05-13 00:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xafecd7…
05-13 00:07:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x390e06…
05-13 00:07:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7443bf…
05-12 23:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x8dd691…
05-12 23:54:14	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x43174b…
05-12 23:54:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bf4b0…
05-12 23:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd2e0cc…
05-12 23:52:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x10ad6d…
05-12 23:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4a4113…
05-12 23:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6bfbbe…
05-12 23:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa43e7a…
05-12 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe5149d…
05-12 23:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe69bae…
05-12 23:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x489f7d…
05-12 23:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x37e14f…
05-12 23:26:28	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xff30ae…
05-12 23:25:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x63d341…
05-12 23:24:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x221120…
05-12 23:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x275e99…
05-12 23:24:32	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa04bb4…
05-12 23:24:13	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc98efb…
05-12 23:23:55	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0c1fff…
05-12 23:23:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb5b58…
05-12 22:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf677e9…
05-12 22:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb14b40…
05-12 22:41:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdaefcf…
05-12 22:39:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xef37fa…
05-12 22:39:02	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe23228…
05-12 22:38:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7f50af…
05-12 22:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x640d33…
05-12 22:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b7ae5…
05-12 22:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6049b0…
05-12 22:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd18ce9…
05-12 22:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x635ac3…
05-12 22:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b5fc2…
05-12 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x98ed16…
05-12 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x78d594…
05-12 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb21c34…
05-12 21:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x07eda7…
05-12 21:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x641ce4…
05-12 21:29:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9e7f4e…
05-12 21:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aec80…
05-12 21:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x434333…
05-12 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x42d2d0…
05-12 21:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe5f196…
05-12 21:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd24faa…
05-12 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xba462a…
05-12 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1d5704…
05-12 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8f397…
05-12 20:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc261b6…
05-12 20:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x62e26e…
05-12 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x866a68…
05-12 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c9cfe…
05-12 20:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc44f21…
05-12 20:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaa3fe1…
05-12 20:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34f496…
05-12 20:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5bb60d…
05-12 20:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4e6ae9…
05-12 20:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xde6de2…
05-12 20:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x70c2e2…
05-12 20:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8f1b9…
05-12 20:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x394cdc…
05-12 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb52731…
05-12 20:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x66c4ea…
05-12 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x510a4b…
05-12 20:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x25f269…
05-12 20:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7311b…
05-12 20:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x770282…
05-12 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbb5939…
05-12 20:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe5031b…
05-12 20:09:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x91d9ea…
05-12 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed245f…
05-12 19:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2cfbdd…
05-12 19:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3d0a5…
05-12 19:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe77da2…
05-12 19:55:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa2367a…
05-12 19:55:25	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe47d38…
05-12 19:55:16	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x51a229…
05-12 19:55:12	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd6761e…
05-12 19:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9157b…
05-12 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5f87c3…
05-12 19:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd907b7…
05-12 19:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x44c9c0…
05-12 18:50:47	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3d12b8…
05-12 18:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3915dc…
05-12 18:50:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x481b72…
05-12 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x77a009…
05-12 18:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x245da0…
05-12 18:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1aa5d0…