Agonizing-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$381

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-03 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% -$8

Sports

44% 67% +$5

Crypto

1% 56% +$63

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	5	$3.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	No	-$4	04-16 10:15
Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	6	$3.2K	1,687	1,687	+0	No	+$5	04-16 15:18
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	3	$1.8K	899	899	+0	No	-$2	04-18 13:48
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$1.7K	860	860	+0	No	-$1	04-16 04:08
Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	3	$1.6K	820	820	-0	No	-$1	04-18 13:06
Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	3	$1.6K	798	798	-0	No	+$1	04-18 08:50
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$1.5K	752	752	+0	No	-$1	04-16 04:57
solana up or down march 1 2am et	1	$60	121	0	+121	Down	+$60	03-01 03:45
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$17	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-28 01:23
solana up or down february 24 11am et	1	$15	31	0	+31	Up	+$15	02-24 12:44
xrp up or down february 25 6am et	1	$14	29	0	+29	Up	-$14	02-25 02:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC	2	$14	28	0	+28	Down	+$14	02-28 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 01:00 UTC	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	02-25 19:33
solana up or down february 24 1am et	1	$12	23	0	+23	Down	-$12	02-24 00:44
solana up or down february 26 10pm et	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	+$9	02-26 21:42
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-03 02:31
xrp up or down february 21 11pm et	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	02-21 23:51
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 05:00 UTC	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	02-25 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 02:31:52	Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1b97bc…
07-03 02:00:19	Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x29243b…
05-28 01:23:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd19bef…
05-28 01:01:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581d0f…
04-18 13:48:28	Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf1898c…
04-18 13:48:24	Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	889	99¢	$882	0x6d952b…
04-18 13:44:02	Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	899	99¢	$894	0xbf64ed…
04-18 13:06:14	Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfc2376…
04-18 13:06:12	Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	790	99¢	$786	0x4c0935…
04-18 13:00:42	Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	820	100¢	$817	0x20ca63…
04-18 08:50:18	Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x09a405…
04-18 08:50:16	Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	787	98¢	$775	0xb290fc…
04-18 08:45:38	Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	798	98¢	$786	0x9735ec…
04-16 15:18:20	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	816	96¢	$780	0x7d7061…
04-16 15:18:18	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x2a9eb7…
04-16 15:14:32	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	838	96¢	$801	0xf08af4…
04-16 14:46:04	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x9ac317…
04-16 14:46:04	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	751	96¢	$722	0x4c7732…
04-16 14:43:18	Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	849	96¢	$812	0xc5fd7d…
04-16 10:15:16	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	787	97¢	$762	0x980dbc…
04-16 10:15:14	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x0255ef…
04-16 10:10:52	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	821	97¢	$796	0xf50db4…
04-16 06:01:52	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	847	97¢	$820	0x13f2a8…
04-16 05:57:06	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	847	97¢	$823	0x23f4f1…
04-16 04:57:38	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	752	100¢	$749	0x47d328…
04-16 04:53:42	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	752	100¢	$750	0xd15591…
04-16 04:08:52	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	860	100¢	$856	0x06423e…
04-16 04:04:32	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	860	100¢	$856	0x402893…
03-01 03:45:11	solana up or down march 1 2am et	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0x12b67d…
02-28 00:52:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xad0f50…
02-28 00:52:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x439b5e…
02-26 21:42:58	solana up or down february 26 10pm et	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x72c241…
02-25 19:33:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8fc1f7…
02-25 19:33:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x85ca6d…
02-25 02:34:28	xrp up or down february 25 6am et	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x33ba42…
02-25 00:33:38	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xdf3c7a…
02-24 12:44:04	solana up or down february 24 11am et	Up	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x6b3d87…
02-24 00:44:30	solana up or down february 24 1am et	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xd95d51…
02-21 23:51:50	xrp up or down february 21 11pm et	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x19f23a…