Juvenile-Song — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$233

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

3,136

Trades

3,269

lifetime

Volume

$7.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-28 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$260

Other

1% 31% -$24

Sports

0% 36% -$1

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	45¢	$2	+$0	10-27 16:27
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5	$1	22¢	$1	$0	10-20 09:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	$3	18¢	$1	-$2	10-28 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	2	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	04-22 18:09
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$11	04-29 10:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?	2	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$3	07-21 13:34
bitcoin above 60k on july 2 2026	2	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$3	07-02 03:42
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	06-03 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$2	04-30 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$7	16	0	+16	Up	+$9	04-29 10:12
will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	2	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	07-01 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$6	15	0	+15	Up	+$9	04-29 10:13
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 00:42
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-30 09:28
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-29 15:27
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-28 15:07
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-28 17:10
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-28 17:25
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-10 16:11
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 07:59
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-01 04:29
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-10 18:58
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-29 23:43
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-29 17:10
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-28 17:55
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-28 18:58
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-24 15:27
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-31 01:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-29 23:13
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-29 13:56
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-28 15:24
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-24 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:16:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4aad38…
10-27 23:25:27	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe55d0d…
10-27 16:27:03	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x27c538…
10-27 14:17:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x53324a…
10-27 08:17:27	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x17f9b5…
10-27 06:39:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x72e757…
10-26 10:45:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x623509…
10-26 10:30:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x7efc46…
10-25 20:17:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2aff5c…
10-25 16:31:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x576fd0…
10-24 21:00:56	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f1563…
10-24 20:47:27	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x1f0cad…
10-24 18:26:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x380da9…
10-24 16:03:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x551461…
10-23 16:14:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x463c91…
10-23 00:58:08	Spread: New Mexico (-5.5)	New Mexico	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x46ac92…
10-23 00:52:38	Spread: Northwestern (-15.5)	Northwestern	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x83c571…
10-23 00:41:06	Spread: Northwestern (-16.5)	Northwestern	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd97c2a…
10-23 00:38:50	Spread: Alabama (-13.5)	Alabama	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcd1b82…
10-23 00:27:05	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd3581a…
10-22 12:19:12	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1a7647…
10-22 12:16:23	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Nuggets	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9b0a7a…
10-22 10:21:44	Spread: Liberty (-8.5)	Kennesaw State	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x759b25…
10-22 10:17:06	Spread: Liberty (-10.5)	Kennesaw State	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3c71f5…
10-22 02:52:53	Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfb4254…
10-21 17:59:50	Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdb8866…
10-21 17:54:45	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xab5a7e…
10-21 08:57:35	Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x73089b…
10-21 08:51:47	Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x47152d…
10-21 06:55:44	Spread: James Madison (-10.5)	Appalachian State	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x17b7ef…
10-21 01:29:18	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x83cc7c…
10-20 23:21:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb00cda…
10-20 11:43:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xafee5a…
10-20 11:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x48f266…
10-20 11:16:26	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x24bdb6…
10-20 09:29:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xa342c2…
10-20 09:04:44	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6b0b97…
10-20 03:22:44	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x148e94…
10-20 01:23:27	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x99479a…
10-20 01:13:26	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x866fdf…
10-20 00:50:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8dddf6…
10-19 21:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6828c5…
10-19 21:44:46	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ca633…
10-19 20:12:29	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xffb63b…
10-19 17:05:17	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe957b1…
10-19 16:37:21	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7f79c1…
10-19 08:32:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5b1e89…
10-19 07:44:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc641c5…
10-18 20:04:11	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xc1a8dc…
10-18 19:57:44	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeced96…
10-18 10:04:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc00a2b…
09-21 14:07:53	will ethereum reach 2800 on september 21 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd36b17…
09-20 17:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9b25d5…
09-20 17:06:51	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd3dad8…
09-20 16:37:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4a341b…
07-29 04:20:47	Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x00e92d…
07-28 18:38:34	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 28	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x768f6c…
07-28 00:26:22	ethereum above 1900 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x103538…
07-27 22:42:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb183e8…
07-27 06:11:48	bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcc36df…
07-25 17:54:37	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x76e219…
07-24 16:32:06	bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf46d35…
07-24 02:31:48	bitcoin above 66k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x98e967…
07-23 07:27:21	bitcoin above 66k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcdb6c6…
07-22 21:38:12	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5ecd57…
07-22 16:35:45	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe93e14…
07-22 12:54:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbe85d2…
07-22 08:29:16	bitcoin above 66k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa17c27…
07-21 17:48:15	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x32902f…
07-21 13:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xff4f2c…
07-21 04:51:40	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7aa387…
07-20 16:33:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1aa0cd…
07-20 12:13:54	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 20	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2a5543…
07-20 11:12:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 20?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2cd6bc…
07-20 05:25:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xea1df0…
07-19 22:38:37	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 19	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x22dffe…
07-18 22:08:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5d988f…
07-17 13:48:40	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbb61fa…
07-16 17:46:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x394686…
07-16 08:44:26	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbdc343…
07-16 08:12:41	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7c39ea…
07-15 10:32:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc61db7…
07-15 08:11:37	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x68dec4…
07-15 01:06:11	ethereum above 1900 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7c04b2…
07-14 12:44:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39135a…
07-14 08:32:34	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x98c577…
07-13 21:54:41	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7eb9a0…
07-13 21:44:17	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x498fe9…
07-13 17:24:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf0570a…
07-13 16:14:56	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 13	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3fc0d9…
07-13 12:50:26	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x61bed9…
07-13 08:55:43	ethereum above 1800 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3b88f2…
07-12 23:11:04	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0330fc…
07-03 16:23:37	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb202b3…
07-02 16:29:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x468d7b…
07-02 16:19:49	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xea19de…
07-02 13:54:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x610485…
07-02 03:42:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4588c2…
07-02 02:40:41	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x080360…
07-01 21:35:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x277e1b…