Stained-Aluminium — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (90d)

606

Trades (90d)

1,018

3,631 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.65K

$9.17K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-30 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 56% -$157

Other

12% 38% -$17

Politics

2% 14% -$9

Sports

1% 64% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+100	$3	3¢	$3	+$0	10-30 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?	2	$71	38	38	+0	open	—	07-23 10:32
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	07-23 10:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 08:45 UTC	17	$62	223	140	+83	Down	-$8	07-11 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	23	$61	61	50	+11	Up	+$1	07-21 18:58
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	07-23 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 10:00 UTC	15	$52	195	98	+97	Down	+$4	07-11 10:04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?	4	$49	28	28	+0	open	—	07-28 18:36
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	07-23 10:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:15 UTC	16	$44	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	07-21 18:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 08:25 UTC	10	$43	64	54	+9	Down	+$2	07-11 08:29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$42	45	45	+0	FUT Esports	-$15	10-26 13:07
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	2	$40	578	0	+578	Down	-$40	08-25 11:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 16:45 UTC	15	$39	45	40	+5	Down	-$4	07-21 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 09:50 UTC	9	$39	42	42	+0	Down	-$1	07-11 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	12	$35	31	30	+1	Up	-$1	07-21 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:15 UTC	13	$32	37	31	+6	Down	-$1	07-21 18:17
Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	07-28 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:10 UTC	8	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	07-21 17:13
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	2	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	07-23 10:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?	4	$27	300	300	+0	No	-$3	07-23 10:22
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	07-25 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:45 UTC	8	$26	40	0	+40	Down	-$21	07-27 15:59
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$26	25	25	+0	cancelled	$0	05-30 11:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 21:45 UTC	6	$26	50	48	+3	Down	+$0	07-10 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:20 UTC	11	$26	32	25	+7	Down	-$2	07-21 18:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	07-28 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:40 UTC	9	$24	25	20	+5	Down	-$3	07-21 19:44
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	07-23 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:45 UTC	16	$24	150	0	+150	Down	-$24	07-25 06:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:30 UTC	7	$24	40	0	+40	Down	+$6	07-27 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:40:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xf01d58…
10-30 23:40:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x992046…
10-26 13:35:29	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Chennaiyin FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xaf6c4a…
10-26 13:35:21	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xcf8933…
10-26 13:35:12	Persija Jakarta vs. Persik Kediri: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0xc07f94…
10-26 13:07:15	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	45	30¢	$13	0x50b1fb…
10-26 10:35:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x703c86…
10-26 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9f2bef…
10-26 10:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xca7c3e…
10-26 10:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2eeb65…
10-26 10:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3580bc…
10-26 09:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7f1b90…
10-25 22:23:42	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2cdd75…
10-25 22:22:15	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb27ac8…
10-25 22:20:14	Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9eeb24…
10-25 22:19:42	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2e2438…
10-25 22:18:54	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x677979…
10-25 22:04:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf58a55…
10-25 22:04:23	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa6cf1…
10-25 20:57:47	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10e947…
10-25 19:11:36	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xac98f5…
10-25 18:59:05	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Chennaiyin FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf4db77…
10-25 18:59:05	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe4984a…
10-25 18:59:05	Persija Jakarta vs. Persik Kediri: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd9a68b…
10-25 18:59:05	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6b62bb…
10-25 18:59:03	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x582933…
10-25 18:58:00	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8d72a9…
10-25 18:58:00	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Chennaiyin FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x53c32c…
10-25 18:57:59	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe06b19…
10-25 18:57:59	Persija Jakarta vs. Persik Kediri: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x878087…
10-25 18:57:59	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0a8354…
10-25 18:54:14	FC Košice vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa81ed0…
10-25 17:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x783303…
10-25 11:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x3d3fca…
10-25 11:11:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0x0f3cef…
10-25 11:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x820df9…
10-25 10:56:56	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6e3f19…
10-25 09:15:06	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x587a72…
10-24 23:52:35	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x26bd7e…
10-24 22:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x58fd8b…
10-24 22:41:53	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x336340…
10-24 22:36:44	Will Toronto FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1f18f1…
10-24 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x172566…
10-24 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x097827…
10-24 21:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38e40f…
10-24 21:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa0a812…
10-24 21:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc45347…
10-24 16:28:39	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5d9e95…
10-24 16:28:24	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x58e24d…
10-24 16:25:21	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x654662…
10-24 16:03:38	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa0e318…
10-24 16:03:11	FK Haugesund vs. Hoedd IL: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x89fbbf…
10-24 15:58:57	FK Haugesund vs. Hoedd IL: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe11851…
10-24 15:58:57	Will Toronto FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa6c579…
10-24 15:18:51	Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d8ac6…
10-24 15:07:42	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xbafb67…
10-24 14:24:12	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x56f651…
10-24 13:57:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd99966…
10-24 12:47:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xc6908c…
10-24 12:01:17	Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 2 - 0 Lille OSC?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc5ae6d…
10-24 12:01:17	Vasas FC vs. Paksi FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9bd133…
10-24 12:01:17	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x902e9e…
10-24 12:01:17	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4cab98…
10-24 12:01:17	FC Košice vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x144156…
10-24 12:00:18	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb36bbb…
10-24 12:00:18	FC Košice vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5d6767…
10-24 12:00:17	Vasas FC vs. Paksi FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5b4229…
10-24 12:00:17	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x00fa9b…
10-24 12:00:15	Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 2 - 0 Lille OSC?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1d18fb…
10-22 21:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x34fe1a…
10-22 21:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb5b163…
10-22 21:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa5609b…
10-22 21:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa38534…
10-22 21:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc8c8e3…
10-22 21:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfe59fa…
10-22 21:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x92ea39…
10-22 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x976d6a…
10-22 21:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x65417f…
10-22 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x300c87…
10-22 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd06648…
10-22 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xad9116…
10-22 20:32:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc21e48…
10-22 20:31:50	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7fb612…
10-22 14:04:56	Lyon Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x98336e…
10-22 12:53:30	Lyon Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xca0f51…
10-22 12:49:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6db462…
10-22 12:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xef9167…
10-22 12:00:33	ASD Pineto Calcio vs. AS Gubbio: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdb27a2…
10-22 12:00:33	Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaba911…
10-22 12:00:33	Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 0 Jeju SK FC?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x937864…
10-22 12:00:33	SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Mladá Boleslav: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8eacfa…
10-22 12:00:33	Libertad Asuncion vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x715286…
10-22 11:59:50	Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe7bd30…
10-22 11:59:48	ASD Pineto Calcio vs. AS Gubbio: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdef921…
10-22 11:59:48	SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Mladá Boleslav: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa8f16a…
10-22 11:59:48	Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 0 Jeju SK FC?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x51ce64…
10-22 11:59:48	Libertad Asuncion vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2af158…
10-22 11:31:33	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x2d9ef1…
10-22 11:24:02	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x6109bb…
10-22 11:24:02	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3ec989…