Clueless-Canoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,684

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-19 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$0

Other

36% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$23

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	51	$4.8K	4,250	4,250	+0	open	—	02-13 10:13
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	65	$3.8K	6,110	6,249	-139	open	—	02-27 15:31
will israel strike gaza on february 6 2026	6	$3.1K	1,744	1,744	+0	open	—	02-06 01:02
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	33	$3.1K	1,976	1,976	+0	open	—	02-10 08:12
will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	20	$2.0K	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	02-06 17:03
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	7	$2.0K	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	02-01 13:01
will russia strike kyiv on february 5 2026	21	$1.9K	1,608	1,608	+0	open	—	02-05 07:31
will israel strike gaza on january 31 2026	4	$1.8K	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	01-31 13:15
will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	33	$1.7K	2,247	933	+1,314	open	—	02-16 23:40
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	40	$1.7K	1,682	1,682	+0	open	—	02-08 14:14
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	3	$1.7K	924	924	+0	open	—	01-30 12:27
will russia strike kyiv on february 12 2026	26	$1.7K	1,459	1,459	+0	open	—	02-12 10:24
will israel strike lebanon on february 17 2026	10	$1.3K	1,274	1,274	+0	open	—	02-17 14:42
will iran strike israel on march 6	11	$1.2K	813	813	+0	open	—	03-09 05:28
btc updown 5m 1770957000	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	02-13 04:35
will israel strike gaza on february 8 2026	7	$1.0K	647	647	+0	open	—	02-08 13:36
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	12	$1.0K	1,515	1,517	-1	open	—	02-01 23:34
ufc gil ama3 2026 03 14	4	$937	484	484	+0	open	—	03-15 02:38
will russia strike kyiv on february 15 2026	26	$862	2,585	2,585	+0	open	—	02-15 17:17
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	17	$809	699	699	+0	open	—	02-14 22:27
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	7	$797	553	552	+1	open	—	02-28 23:11
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 23 426	7	$779	505	505	+0	open	—	01-23 22:15
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	22	$739	3,865	3,865	+0	open	—	02-13 22:50
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	35	$727	926	926	+0	open	—	03-12 18:19
will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	7	$706	834	834	+0	open	—	02-14 19:31
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	2	$680	431	431	+0	open	—	02-18 21:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	9	$667	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	01-31 21:42
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	2	$636	325	325	+0	open	—	01-25 05:39
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$623	319	319	+0	open	—	01-26 19:58
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	20	$563	568	568	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 02:02:41	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x699359…
05-19 00:43:04	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x120988…
05-19 00:08:20	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x289dd7…
05-17 01:44:41	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaf6151…
05-17 01:44:15	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0xb53365…
05-17 01:40:43	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7013de…
05-17 01:36:10	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x090a61…
05-17 01:23:10	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x920224…
05-17 01:15:49	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4b7b6d…
05-12 18:57:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb1a355…
05-10 04:47:20	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x0143fc…
05-07 21:42:23	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3477dd…
05-06 22:40:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x05342e…
05-04 01:23:42	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2665ff…
05-04 00:12:10	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x183962…
05-02 02:07:58	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xee9d9e…
04-12 23:28:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x995218…
04-12 22:04:25	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x777108…
04-12 22:00:41	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x231c80…
04-12 22:00:17	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe5ab8b…
04-12 19:44:25	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8fc34e…
04-12 15:21:57	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x9d89de…
04-12 14:46:29	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x22d167…
04-12 14:44:55	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc20c70…
04-12 13:37:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2bb01a…
04-12 13:03:31	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x2c9fda…
04-12 13:02:11	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x9d0f0f…
04-12 02:33:07	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0xd45607…
04-12 02:32:23	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xada04f…
04-12 01:44:53	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x27dcf1…
04-11 21:36:13	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3362a0…
04-11 21:34:21	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x14a3f6…
04-11 21:16:05	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x557020…
04-11 07:39:03	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3eb869…
04-11 03:07:17	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcdbed5…
04-11 03:06:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x4c7f82…
04-11 03:06:25	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xa1ab91…
04-11 03:06:15	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x264fef…
04-11 02:22:55	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xfe4174…
04-11 01:38:35	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xc4e71b…
04-10 23:59:07	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4ad2ef…
04-10 20:38:29	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x13bc5d…
04-10 19:53:59	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x2030e6…
04-10 17:29:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x64704a…
04-10 15:23:15	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x128adb…
04-10 15:11:07	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x60313d…
04-10 14:32:45	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9cf7b6…
04-10 13:56:25	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc394e6…
04-10 13:20:05	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x00ff88…
04-10 13:00:21	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$1	0x6cb32a…
04-10 10:58:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x848b2f…
04-10 01:42:21	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa61782…
04-10 00:50:19	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x6e8819…
04-10 00:17:23	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x9c3947…
04-09 23:31:09	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc7c9fb…
04-09 23:31:07	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x46cf74…
04-09 22:59:49	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7eb178…
04-09 22:57:27	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc22e1e…
04-09 22:14:01	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb6aa55…
04-09 21:52:37	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9029bb…
04-09 21:51:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x9171a7…
04-09 21:50:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf119e4…
04-09 21:49:07	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf16e06…
04-09 20:06:29	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x735aaf…
04-09 19:24:23	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x884c2e…
04-09 19:02:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x83eeec…
04-09 17:22:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x230060…
04-09 15:37:43	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd9e90b…
04-09 15:14:35	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1883ad…
04-09 14:43:29	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0xaa73a1…
04-09 14:41:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x880bd7…
04-09 14:29:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xefc695…
04-09 13:33:07	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x5252b0…
04-09 13:15:01	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x67ffc7…
04-09 05:23:17	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb7e8d3…
04-09 05:04:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xec3734…
04-09 05:01:35	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x03b7b1…
04-08 22:36:41	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x11760e…
04-08 20:12:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe3a3b3…
04-08 19:41:47	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xd06b64…
04-08 19:38:53	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x9d81a7…
04-08 19:30:45	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x8ecb5b…
04-08 17:24:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xc08fcb…
04-08 17:16:11	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x800bad…
04-08 17:16:03	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb2c0df…
04-08 17:15:51	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x63a2ac…
04-08 15:50:17	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x3150f8…
04-08 14:25:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x903905…
04-08 13:39:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb3dc69…
04-08 13:39:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x2c446b…
04-08 13:39:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0ca057…
04-08 13:39:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xffc4d3…
04-08 13:00:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xe5110b…
04-08 09:40:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x935883…
04-08 09:40:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x84b5cf…
04-08 09:40:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x44186a…
04-08 09:40:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2ded57…
04-08 02:48:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72a8f3…
04-07 23:59:33	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xc2ed00…
04-07 23:35:31	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8bf8d7…