Wooden-Ratepayer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$236

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

941

Trades

15,996

lifetime

Volume

$47.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-09 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 61% +$236

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 2205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cl up or down on january 5 2026	2	$352	388	388	+0	open	—	01-05 17:34
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$335	132	351	-219	open	—	01-11 23:21
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$291	1,382	1,382	+0	open	—	01-13 08:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$239	128	128	+0	open	—	03-12 13:14
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$211	425	425	+0	open	—	01-15 05:34
btc updown 5m 1774118700	54	$140	276	0	+276	open	—	03-21 18:47
btc updown 15m 1774133100	31	$138	149	147	+2	open	—	03-21 22:59
will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	5	$133	113	113	+0	open	—	01-31 14:02
btc updown 5m 1775754300	40	$90	202	0	+202	open	—	04-09 17:09
btc updown 5m 1774131300	32	$80	164	0	+164	open	—	03-21 22:19
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	2	$80	322	322	+0	open	—	01-23 22:55
btc updown 5m 1775656500	32	$80	163	0	+163	open	—	04-08 13:57
btc updown 5m 1775672700	31	$79	161	0	+161	open	—	04-08 18:29
btc updown 5m 1775831700	32	$76	165	0	+165	open	—	04-10 14:39
will trump say n word in march	3	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	03-31 11:14
btc updown 5m 1775559300	32	$72	163	0	+163	open	—	04-07 10:58
btc updown 5m 1774135200	28	$72	144	0	+144	open	—	03-21 23:24
btc updown 5m 1775659200	32	$70	165	0	+165	open	—	04-08 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775831400	26	$69	131	0	+131	open	—	04-10 14:33
btc updown 5m 1775754600	30	$69	155	0	+155	open	—	04-09 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	9	$68	40	40	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 09:23
btc updown 5m 1775658300	24	$68	123	0	+123	open	—	04-08 14:29
btc updown 5m 1774438200	25	$67	128	0	+128	open	—	03-25 11:33
btc updown 5m 1775657100	26	$66	135	0	+135	open	—	04-08 14:09
btc updown 5m 1775759700	28	$66	141	0	+141	open	—	04-09 18:39
btc updown 5m 1775829900	24	$66	122	0	+122	open	—	04-10 14:09
btc updown 5m 1774953000	20	$66	96	20	+77	open	—	03-31 10:36
btc updown 5m 1775769000	32	$65	165	0	+165	open	—	04-09 21:13
btc updown 5m 1775836200	24	$65	121	0	+121	open	—	04-10 15:54
btc updown 5m 1774132200	25	$65	128	0	+128	open	—	03-21 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 19:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf7bd02…
05-09 19:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe5a103…
05-09 19:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x01eb98…
05-09 19:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x261301…
05-09 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe4c352…
05-09 19:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd61b50…
05-09 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x410d8f…
05-09 18:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x86f0a5…
05-09 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xc46c02…
05-09 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2855a0…
05-09 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa44382…
05-09 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3e71da…
05-09 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2e8342…
05-09 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x41d21a…
05-09 18:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb005c8…
05-09 18:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x599f07…
05-09 18:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x310d2c…
05-09 18:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc6173a…
05-09 18:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x12f2c8…
05-09 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14a621…
05-09 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xccf59a…
05-09 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2ee778…
05-09 18:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x79e49f…
05-09 18:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x04d243…
05-09 18:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5db5a1…
05-09 18:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3bb62b…
05-09 18:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3f22d9…
05-09 18:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x36e13d…
05-09 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1c8aa2…
05-09 18:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1d0634…
05-09 18:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x88c8f8…
05-09 18:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7524d0…
05-09 18:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x95bed1…
05-09 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe75958…
05-09 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc6ce9e…
05-09 18:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x40dec5…
05-09 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa4b595…
05-09 18:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5c69c2…
05-09 18:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x1f4b67…
05-09 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x07aef6…
05-09 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x70cdc9…
05-09 18:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4d02a8…
05-09 18:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe2bb93…
05-09 18:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x73c46d…
05-09 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0219e8…
05-09 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e78c0…
05-09 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x92c6e5…
05-09 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x877741…
05-09 18:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa43dd6…
05-09 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x275502…
05-09 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0c038c…
05-09 18:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfbe7fe…
05-09 18:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x63b828…
05-09 18:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5724fe…
05-09 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4973df…
05-09 18:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3a4327…
05-09 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x339e25…
05-09 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa3c614…
05-09 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x8a0da7…
05-09 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc96205…
05-09 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5c9618…
05-09 17:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfa4bd1…
05-09 17:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0e2cc8…
05-09 17:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7f2810…
05-09 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xba028a…
05-09 17:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x84e148…
05-09 17:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7b5c1d…
05-09 17:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfcada1…
05-09 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb0a10d…
05-09 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x33019f…
05-09 17:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd9a5ce…
05-09 17:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0ddce5…
05-09 17:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5e048a…
05-09 17:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7fcf45…
05-09 17:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa59594…
05-09 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa8e13e…
05-09 17:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0c1a60…
05-09 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x49bbdf…
05-09 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x58dcc9…
05-09 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9179c9…
05-09 17:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x626bf1…
05-09 17:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x86dfe1…
05-09 17:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x106200…
05-09 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa80553…
05-09 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9170eb…
05-09 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x22e0f1…
05-09 17:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcec2c4…
05-09 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x11d0ca…
05-09 17:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe06210…
05-09 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcc6b65…
05-09 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x917731…
05-09 17:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x20ea25…
05-09 17:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa3a209…
05-09 17:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe1516d…
05-09 17:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x723570…
05-09 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb09f3e…
05-09 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9c7460…
05-09 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcb1bcd…
05-09 17:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x30ffc9…
05-09 17:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5fe1a3…