Intentional-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$6.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$10

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	10-30 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-29 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-28 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-27 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-26 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 25?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-25 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-22 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-20 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-19 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-18 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-17 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-16 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-15 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-14 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-13 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-12 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-11 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-08 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-07 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-06 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 5?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-05 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 3?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-03 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-02 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-01 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	09-30 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	1	$29	30	+30	Yes	+$0	09-28 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	09-27 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-26 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	09-24 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x65430c…
10-29 09:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa72964…
10-28 08:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x29a003…
10-27 10:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x85467a…
10-26 09:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad75c9…
10-25 05:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x55a933…
10-22 10:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5b2e86…
10-20 08:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf107c7…
10-19 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x90ed41…
10-18 10:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa207ce…
10-17 15:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0106a6…
10-16 14:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x584783…
10-15 14:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x950c1d…
10-14 10:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x37e387…
10-13 10:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4e3037…
10-12 12:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69611c…
10-11 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4c94d9…
10-08 12:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf6cf64…
10-07 16:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1e3730…
10-06 15:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x381419…
10-05 09:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf99f87…
10-03 09:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbcd266…
10-02 14:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x61a004…
10-01 09:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a8934…
09-30 14:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfad87b…
09-30 03:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d67a5…
09-28 10:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x2bc247…
09-27 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcf152e…
09-26 01:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd41d1f…
09-24 09:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa430e5…
09-23 10:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0fbbf5…
09-22 09:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7d8a5c…
09-21 13:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 21?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3a9c9a…
09-20 06:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xefdcef…
09-19 09:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x19c7f0…
09-18 07:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb0688b…
09-17 04:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6dc75d…
09-16 09:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x73d762…
09-15 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7297c6…
09-14 09:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc7d6b2…
09-13 04:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb930a2…
09-11 09:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbe78b4…
09-10 09:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd61a7f…
09-09 02:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x591252…
09-08 08:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfbdd9b…
09-07 08:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4c81a5…
09-06 11:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbcdc36…
09-05 06:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd38965…
09-04 01:05:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x236be0…
09-02 08:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5cb4a7…
08-30 14:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb86bbc…
08-29 10:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x99313a…
08-28 09:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xddf530…
08-27 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xda92ce…
08-26 08:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x410655…
08-25 09:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5c6ae2…
08-24 15:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x13e60f…
08-24 01:19:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcc96cc…
08-22 09:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xfc86cb…
08-21 08:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe56ef2…
08-20 09:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe746e3…
08-18 08:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x13fa49…
08-17 09:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xceda7a…
08-16 14:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9ecf78…
08-15 16:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1944a2…
08-14 07:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0c6874…
08-13 09:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x90e7a3…
08-12 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x857c74…
08-11 07:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2b9c39…
08-10 08:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd6a72a…
08-09 07:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab5592…
08-08 08:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74ec53…
08-07 08:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7fb1ad…
08-06 08:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdfe700…
08-05 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb83004…
08-04 08:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf23f10…
08-03 07:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x465e8e…
08-02 06:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa986c8…
08-01 07:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x18fba8…
07-31 14:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd5285b…
07-30 07:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab1712…
07-29 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8c43dd…
07-28 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdc8ffe…
07-27 09:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x302bd3…
07-26 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4a386c…
07-25 09:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x16f482…
07-24 13:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x1e38bd…
07-23 08:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x448ad0…
07-22 02:14:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x65fe5e…
07-21 09:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x613416…
07-21 00:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdcdda6…
07-20 09:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x795a52…
07-18 23:33:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xddec1f…
07-18 07:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x14c09e…
07-17 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf8c4f7…
07-15 22:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1ecccb…
07-15 08:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc83d8d…
07-14 09:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x504791…
07-13 08:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2334c9…
07-12 07:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe7a2cb…