Intrepid-Magnitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

401

Trades

1,472

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-23 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

56% 52% +$87

Politics

38% 47% +$39

Sports

6% 44% +$6

Crypto

1% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	8	$103	260	60	+200	No	-$29	06-22 00:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$79	240	340	-100	No	+$25	05-28 18:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$70	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-23 12:13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	15	$64	240	90	+150	No	-$18	06-22 12:38
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$59	70	50	+20	No	+$21	04-21 21:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	5	$56	50	50	+0	Yes	+$9	06-13 00:31
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	2	$53	50	50	+0	No	+$14	06-18 15:46
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	5	$49	50	50	+0	Yes	+$7	04-19 20:05
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	11	$48	235	235	+0	No	+$4	04-30 19:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	5	$47	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	06-11 18:22
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 12 2026	4	$47	33	33	+0	No	-$2	04-08 02:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	8	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$18	04-12 14:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	5	$42	40	40	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 23:38
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	16	$41	277	277	+0	No	+$32	04-03 16:42
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	6	$41	65	65	+0	Yes	+$10	06-23 13:22
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	9	$36	90	90	+0	No	+$11	04-15 00:02
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	5	$36	44	44	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 21:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$35	100	30	+70	No	-$2	04-23 17:59
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	2	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	+$27	06-04 09:56
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	2	$31	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	06-20 12:59
will us announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 15 2026 20260612002622286	5	$30	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	06-13 17:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	11	$30	110	110	+0	Yes	-$3	06-20 22:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	4	$30	50	40	+10	Yes	-$17	06-14 15:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	12	$29	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 21:49
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	2	$29	21	21	+0	No	+$12	06-20 12:59
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	4	$28	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-20 00:07
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	+$22	06-07 20:37
will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	11	$28	195	65	+130	No	-$22	04-30 18:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	3	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$10	05-24 14:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$26	40	0	+40	No	+$14	05-29 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:10:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xf95d96…
06-23 13:22:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xb162d0…
06-23 12:42:59	Will the US lose jobs in June?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x765d27…
06-23 12:42:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x1eb7dd…
06-23 12:42:25	Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x362fe7…
06-23 12:41:41	Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x98bbe4…
06-23 12:41:34	Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x3f4d30…
06-23 12:41:22	Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$5	0x0b7689…
06-23 12:41:11	Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x5b9052…
06-23 12:40:53	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf73d21…
06-23 12:39:40	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x53cac1…
06-23 12:39:22	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x7ed6c8…
06-23 12:38:43	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0x9c9ccc…
06-23 12:14:29	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xdf3f50…
06-23 12:14:10	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x52ecbd…
06-23 12:13:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x5ef927…
06-23 12:11:26	Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$5	0xdf33eb…
06-23 12:11:01	Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x7b9df7…
06-23 11:55:41	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1cd41b…
06-23 11:55:35	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x996d87…
06-23 11:55:28	Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcf7b69…
06-23 11:55:23	Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf93d49…
06-23 11:55:19	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb0ce2d…
06-23 11:55:05	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb02bfc…
06-23 11:54:47	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x950202…
06-23 11:54:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x05e378…
06-23 11:54:32	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xf62a19…
06-23 03:50:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x93f4e5…
06-22 22:38:58	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x19f8af…
06-22 20:49:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x98d78c…
06-22 15:44:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x292a43…
06-22 12:43:13	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xc45158…
06-22 12:38:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x689616…
06-22 06:11:10	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9d5180…
06-22 01:27:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8fcf2d…
06-22 00:08:14	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xf8792e…
06-21 16:27:56	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x9d1125…
06-21 16:25:23	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xb92ac3…
06-21 12:25:20	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xf2502f…
06-21 11:59:38	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb24054…
06-21 03:29:41	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x42cff9…
06-21 03:29:41	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x09a792…
06-20 22:49:13	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7bd42e…
06-20 22:01:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x5aa564…
06-20 21:56:20	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5cf4b3…
06-20 21:38:25	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xf3bb98…
06-20 20:55:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x385761…
06-20 20:30:53	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x304508…
06-20 20:27:37	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0d474d…
06-20 19:57:13	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x829ef1…
06-20 18:37:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x678a4b…
06-20 15:31:50	will steve witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x293df4…
06-20 14:25:53	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3aa02b…
06-20 14:25:40	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$0	0x9f7abd…
06-20 14:14:44	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x31b3ed…
06-20 14:14:32	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x257f66…
06-20 14:14:08	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x19007d…
06-20 12:59:28	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x2c4d70…
06-20 12:59:17	Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x640582…
06-20 02:49:44	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf1f2a2…
06-20 01:33:43	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf80308…
06-19 17:17:43	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb31d99…
06-19 15:46:10	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x178499…
06-19 11:05:38	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd7dbb…
06-19 03:27:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xe6ef6f…
06-19 02:06:52	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6f986c…
06-19 01:04:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xbe8caf…
06-18 15:46:40	Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x94ad28…
06-18 14:24:04	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x623bab…
06-18 13:46:02	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x3e1415…
06-18 10:59:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xe60113…
06-17 21:36:10	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x126780…
06-17 20:51:31	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x8750b9…
06-17 20:49:59	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf631c5…
06-17 18:05:14	Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x69d2e9…
06-17 17:53:01	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xdd52ea…
06-17 17:18:11	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	No	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x3f4d39…
06-17 17:13:25	Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x41548e…
06-17 13:16:14	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x9f0c1e…
06-17 13:16:13	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xacd968…
06-17 13:16:13	Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xa26fbb…
06-17 11:09:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x72df3f…
06-17 11:03:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2f465d…
06-17 11:00:13	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5cc4e1…
06-17 01:00:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0eefd1…
06-17 00:14:59	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	SELL	44	62¢	$27	0x5ce938…
06-16 22:10:25	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in June?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6a18e5…
06-16 20:57:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xce6fbd…
06-16 20:57:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x20ee57…
06-16 20:51:25	Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x2e5864…
06-16 19:41:53	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x5e8de7…
06-16 19:23:46	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x271a95…
06-16 19:09:19	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xb3afb3…
06-16 19:08:34	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xfb7de0…
06-16 14:44:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xe56d90…
06-16 14:26:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x45d15f…
06-16 13:49:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x175d21…
06-16 06:10:28	Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec6b84…
06-15 13:33:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x01f751…
06-15 12:30:54	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x77c7e0…