Willing-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

1,144

Trades

5,359

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-23 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 52% -$293

Other

20% 43% -$1,000

Politics

5% 0% -$2,573

Sports

1% 0% -$246

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 782 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	6	$4.1K	2,445	2,445	+0	Up	+$198	10-16 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	4	$2.3K	1,947	990	+957	Down	-$670	10-17 12:11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	2	$2.2K	1,268	1,268	+0	MOUZ	+$228	10-10 18:32
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	Anubis Gaming	+$11	10-10 17:28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	2	$1.9K	1,062	1,062	+0	PARIVISION	+$106	10-10 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	4	$1.6K	852	842	+10	Up	+$17	10-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,130	1,130	+0	Down	+$230	10-17 06:30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	1	$1.3K	2,233	0	+2,233	Team Spirit	-$1,340	10-11 10:54
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	10	$1.3K	35,457	0	+35,457	No	-$1,297	07-10 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	642	642	+0	Down	+$30	10-16 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	938	938	+0	Up	+$63	10-17 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:25 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,270	346	+924	Up	+$24	10-16 19:27
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	1	$1.1K	1,371	0	+1,371	PARIVISION	+$280	10-11 09:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	5	$919	885	885	+0	Up	+$19	10-17 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	2	$881	651	651	+0	Down	+$181	10-17 11:53
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	4	$760	760,000	0	+760,000	Yes	-$760	06-20 20:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	1	$700	743	0	+743	Up	+$43	10-16 17:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:30 UTC	4	$532	580	580	+0	Up	+$39	09-17 19:39
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	8	$507	11,217	0	+11,217	Yes	-$507	07-10 15:30
France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	2	$405	838	838	+0	No	+$19	07-09 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	2	$399	271	271	+0	Up	+$19	10-17 09:17
cs2 baks g2a 2026 09 17	6	$391	271	271	+0	BakS eSports	+$31	09-17 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	31	$351	306	275	+31	Up	+$94	10-17 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:15 UTC	4	$344	225	225	+0	Up	+$73	09-17 19:29
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	2	$325	296	296	+0	100 Thieves	-$107	10-11 09:36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	2	$323	214	214	+0	FURIA	+$45	09-17 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$322	215	183	+32	Up	+$23	10-02 23:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	2	$303	308	308	+0	Down	-$95	10-16 21:57
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:25 UTC	2	$245	146	146	+0	Down	+$45	10-17 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$244	151	151	+0	Down	+$44	10-02 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 11:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x0c6f63…
10-23 11:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x014a87…
10-23 11:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x465649…
10-23 10:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd0ad43…
10-23 10:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa2617f…
10-23 09:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd7b1d2…
10-23 08:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0fc848…
10-23 08:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd66975…
10-23 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfbd0c8…
10-23 06:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x8bc6db…
10-23 06:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x7e8f29…
10-23 04:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6ce2d9…
10-23 04:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x56c272…
10-23 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbbee67…
10-23 02:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x704476…
10-23 01:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd453f3…
10-23 01:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x03be23…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x66b271…
10-23 01:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xab6153…
10-23 00:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x69dce0…
10-23 00:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0f8de5…
10-23 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xfd5841…
10-22 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xf95c5b…
10-22 22:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8537d0…
10-22 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x02bfa0…
10-22 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe6c1af…
10-22 21:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x11f274…
10-22 20:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x43da96…
10-22 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xf7747e…
10-22 20:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x705982…
10-22 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x56d045…
10-22 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf5c9ea…
10-22 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x75b401…
10-22 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf6c8de…
10-22 17:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7cbb36…
10-22 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc3db1c…
10-22 16:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe8297d…
10-22 16:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb03ab8…
10-22 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x90d74f…
10-22 14:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa2c478…
10-22 14:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x99a18f…
10-22 14:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xcfa426…
10-22 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x0713b4…
10-22 13:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x3ac4a4…
10-21 23:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x48f18e…
10-21 23:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xee2133…
10-21 23:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0xcb4b43…
10-21 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0xc04393…
10-21 23:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xe85ac7…
10-21 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb91dc1…
10-21 22:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xc5f53d…
10-21 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x30f6b0…
10-21 22:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xa56309…
10-21 22:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb1b723…
10-21 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x0a7e3f…
10-21 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xddb13d…
10-21 21:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x665298…
10-21 21:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd7ed76…
10-21 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbd0d70…
10-21 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07ff7b…
10-21 20:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x5ba44c…
10-21 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x807818…
10-21 19:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x84f765…
10-21 19:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xad1f5d…
10-21 19:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xdf8338…
10-21 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x1cee54…
10-21 19:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7ec559…
10-21 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd3dd12…
10-21 19:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xb798a0…
10-21 19:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3809d2…
10-21 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xba50da…
10-21 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xda731e…
10-21 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf88f3d…
10-21 12:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x7cad51…
10-21 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xe89f69…
10-21 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xa00174…
10-21 11:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x37e3bf…
10-21 11:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x09f749…
10-21 11:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb6b3a6…
10-21 10:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4b3bc9…
10-21 10:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x84b2b5…
10-21 10:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x80dcb7…
10-21 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x139d97…
10-21 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3d698f…
10-21 09:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x90565c…
10-21 09:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x8a7ae9…
10-21 08:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x8ce364…
10-21 08:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x38eb69…
10-21 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xdcc828…
10-21 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd2ef28…
10-21 07:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x02a831…
10-21 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x18b7d4…
10-21 07:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x0f93e6…
10-21 07:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa9268a…
10-21 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x63be77…
10-21 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x36657e…
10-21 06:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x2584b7…
10-21 06:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x64f7f7…
10-21 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	362	1¢	$3	0x16283e…
10-20 21:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9f0957…