Puzzled-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,826

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-07 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% $-21

Other

1% 50% $-6

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	38	$376	384	0	+384	open	—	05-04 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	26	$272	223	223	+0	open	—	05-02 21:36
btc updown 5m 1773695100	1	$190	207	0	+207	open	—	03-16 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	22	$174	176	0	+176	open	—	05-03 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$129	130	0	+130	Down	+$1	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$126	110	109	+1	open	—	06-01 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	13	$123	126	0	+126	open	—	05-04 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$110	128	0	+128	open	—	06-01 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	11	$109	117	0	+117	open	—	05-04 05:35
lol navi sk 2026 03 30 game1	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-05 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$94	64	63	+1	open	—	05-03 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	15	$85	65	60	+5	open	—	05-03 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	10	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	05-03 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$79	83	0	+83	open	—	05-03 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773250500	1	$70	132	0	+132	open	—	03-11 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	17	$70	71	49	+22	open	—	05-02 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	05-04 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$69	71	0	+71	open	—	05-03 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	16	$65	74	49	+25	open	—	05-02 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	05-05 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	05-04 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	16	$59	59	49	+10	open	—	05-02 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$59	51	51	+0	open	—	04-29 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:17:36	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Down	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x909bf8…
06-07 12:17:10	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf30096…
06-05 19:36:33	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x93c67f…
06-05 19:36:33	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x53bb37…
06-05 19:35:54	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd3dd44…
06-05 19:29:12	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0ec740…
06-05 19:28:03	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90dae7…
06-05 19:27:18	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x760add…
06-05 19:25:19	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x775523…
06-05 19:24:49	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x113be9…
06-05 14:18:16	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0xb150b0…
06-05 14:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xad1bfd…
06-05 14:12:52	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x201ab6…
06-05 14:05:40	btc updown 5m 1780668300	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x9716bc…
06-05 13:55:28	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9289ac…
06-02 11:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6fc6fd…
06-02 11:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf8ace7…
06-02 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x73164d…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe9b8f6…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0xc12c61…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x8a526a…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x63ec38…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x3c92e2…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x314cca…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x27ce2d…
06-01 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	33	70¢	$23	0x227507…
06-01 16:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xdd17e1…
06-01 16:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9d12d4…
06-01 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x228899…
06-01 16:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xeeb3f2…
06-01 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4d27c4…
05-29 09:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe90ae5…
05-28 18:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfdb2ea…
05-28 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x108d3c…
05-28 18:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb3dcf8…
05-28 18:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x315b14…
05-28 18:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x889806…
05-28 18:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd119d4…
05-28 17:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2fb07c…
05-28 17:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x848dd6…
05-28 17:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xda42e4…
05-28 17:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd0d133…
05-28 17:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x0aec85…
05-25 16:34:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xfa1189…
05-24 22:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf9cb0a…
05-24 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xebd66b…
05-24 22:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbb7380…
05-24 22:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x550477…
05-24 22:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x864fac…
05-24 22:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x92836d…
05-24 22:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5e4648…
05-24 22:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x47edfb…
05-21 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x750bc0…
05-21 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbe404f…
05-21 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb6b48…
05-21 14:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72027c…
05-21 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7ffce5…
05-21 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb09bb3…
05-21 13:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9c6760…
05-21 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x13d9d4…
05-21 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa82051…
05-21 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe63160…
05-16 17:07:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x92ef63…
05-16 16:39:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c1934…
05-16 16:06:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xdf837e…
05-16 16:04:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8ea25…
05-16 16:03:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf55a41…
05-16 16:01:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x497d7f…
05-16 16:00:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa2f1ef…
05-16 16:00:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0aaf55…
05-16 15:27:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xea3352…
05-16 15:23:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xace689…
05-12 15:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcbe06c…
05-07 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x583e63…
05-07 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a773f…
05-07 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87bbc1…
05-07 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bd2f7…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc78a5a…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc1e685…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb3a8de…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x892dc0…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x6f1601…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x5fa39b…
05-07 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x555ca6…
05-07 15:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x837dff…
05-07 15:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x917856…
05-06 20:36:39	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x619e2c…
05-06 12:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2adcd6…
05-06 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd852f7…
05-06 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd6b102…
05-06 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe62f40…
05-06 11:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0e11dd…
05-06 11:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe63162…
05-06 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x924c26…
05-06 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc7c872…
05-06 11:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x881db4…
05-06 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x48d5d3…
05-06 11:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc72953…
05-06 11:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7ed4d4…
05-06 11:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf06a91…