Puzzled-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$646

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

1,134

Trades

2,112

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-12 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 58% +$520

Sports

8% 59% +$135

Other

1% 39% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	2	$421	227	227	+0	No	+$22	07-26 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	38	$376	384	0	+384	Down	+$8	05-04 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	26	$272	223	223	+0	Up	-$5	05-02 21:36
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$260	265	0	+265	Yes	+$5	06-27 22:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	1	$190	207	0	+207	Down	+$17	03-16 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	22	$174	176	0	+176	Down	+$2	05-03 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	05-05 16:54
world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	2	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	+$8	06-25 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$129	130	0	+130	Down	+$1	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$126	110	109	+1	Up	+$26	06-01 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	13	$123	126	0	+126	Up	+$3	05-04 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$110	128	0	+128	Down	+$18	06-01 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	11	$109	117	0	+117	Down	+$8	05-04 05:35
lol navi sk 2026 03 30 game1	2	$103	53	53	+0	SK Gaming	+$3	03-30 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$101	234	0	+234	Down	-$101	10-12 20:09
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	06-25 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-05 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$94	64	63	+1	Down	+$27	05-03 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	15	$85	65	60	+5	Down	+$20	05-03 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	10	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	05-03 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$79	83	0	+83	Up	+$4	05-03 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	8	$77	78	0	+78	Up	+$1	05-04 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 17:35 UTC	1	$70	132	0	+132	Down	+$62	03-11 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	17	$70	71	49	+22	Up	+$2	05-02 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$69	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	05-04 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$69	71	0	+71	Down	+$2	05-03 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	16	$65	74	49	+25	Down	+$12	05-02 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	05-04 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 20:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	234	43¢	$101	0x28092c…
10-12 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x029a43…
10-12 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x882b49…
10-12 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9be61a…
10-12 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x1ce2e1…
10-12 19:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1d7640…
10-12 19:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x42db60…
10-12 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb645d2…
10-12 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xadae89…
10-12 19:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x72857d…
10-12 19:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x0faac3…
10-12 19:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xb23601…
10-12 19:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4ade95…
10-12 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe80ef2…
10-12 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xc31597…
10-12 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6965f0…
10-12 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x627103…
10-12 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x47a725…
10-12 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x43ef24…
10-12 19:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa96fcb…
10-12 19:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x96e9a4…
10-12 19:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8ff463…
10-12 18:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd81d43…
10-12 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x68db8b…
10-12 18:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x156a6b…
10-12 18:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x19de5e…
10-12 18:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x016216…
10-12 16:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xc9bb3e…
10-12 16:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x082f8a…
10-12 16:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xab9a03…
10-12 16:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x75fc93…
10-12 16:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x92cf30…
10-12 16:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xae7c52…
10-12 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb538de…
10-12 16:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcad738…
10-12 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x251e02…
10-12 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf0a060…
10-12 15:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0xe7821a…
10-12 15:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf0d48b…
10-12 15:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb2e5ef…
10-12 15:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xbafc4d…
10-12 15:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x24d10b…
10-12 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xbfd12e…
10-12 15:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc6e2d9…
10-12 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x056d26…
10-12 15:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa81398…
10-12 15:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xba2515…
10-12 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xc97f9c…
10-12 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	39	60¢	$23	0x69e6c9…
10-12 15:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3ee1eb…
10-12 15:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2c627f…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xe4c026…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xd1e3ce…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xad1e70…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x49c4a4…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x4777cd…
10-12 13:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa15563…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x983aa7…
10-12 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x789278…
10-12 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x351b06…
10-12 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x190bfe…
10-12 13:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x831d16…
10-12 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xcc2451…
10-12 12:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9a8e99…
10-12 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ee9b3…
10-12 11:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x377334…
10-04 10:08:46	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b5576…
09-28 15:22:14	lol tsc gsmc 2026 09 28	The Secret Club Esport	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1234a8…
09-28 15:22:00	lol fsk bar 2026 09 28	Forsaken	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5f6ad4…
09-28 15:21:45	lol hmble use1 2026 09 28	HMBLE	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9bd027…
09-28 15:21:33	lol bw rs 2026 09 28	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf0cad3…
09-28 15:21:15	lol cg wd 2026 09 28	White Dragons	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1ad852…
09-28 15:21:02	lol big1 mgz 2026 09 28	MAGAZA	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0b93f3…
09-28 15:20:47	lol kcb nbs 2026 09 28	NightBirds	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x22fe38…
09-28 15:20:29	lol hrts vlr 2026 09 28	Valerion	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f898d…
09-28 15:20:14	lol bombat su 2026 09 28	BOMBA Team	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e58ba…
09-28 15:20:00	lol tp2 tos 2026 09 28	The Otter Side	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8e607…
09-28 15:19:35	lol khk sec 2026 09 28	Senshi Esports Club	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa67e34…
09-28 15:19:23	lol tlnpir jsk 2026 09 28	JSK Esports	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4649b8…
09-28 15:19:09	lol esb lds 2026 09 28	eSuba	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x91faeb…
09-28 15:18:56	lol pcific ucam1 2026 09 28	PCIFIC	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb28c20…
09-28 15:18:44	lol g2nord fec 2026 09 28	Frites Esports Club	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7dc95…
09-28 15:18:33	lol anb sc 2026 09 28	Anubis Gaming	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xff77f0…
09-25 21:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x6624eb…
09-25 21:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x79d325…
09-25 20:52:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0156fe…
09-25 19:31:26	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7afc8b…
08-24 21:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xb2758b…
08-24 21:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe1a1c7…
08-24 21:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfe6e62…
08-24 21:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x42c227…
08-24 21:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xdd2fa0…
08-24 20:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1af3f1…
08-24 20:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd2245f…
08-24 20:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdfb0fe…
08-24 19:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x0a5308…
08-24 19:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ed556…
08-24 19:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd8100a…
08-24 19:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd1318d…
08-24 19:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5b7505…