Thorny-Mixer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$139

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-19 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 33% $-2

Other

32% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$11	36	7	+29	Up	+$3	05-11 15:12
crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	02-25 17:20
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	07-19 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$7	12	8	+3	Down	+$1	05-11 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$6	8	3	+5	open	—	05-21 18:06
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 07:08
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$6	10	8	+2	open	—	05-01 03:27
crint ind zaf 2026 02 22	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-22 17:52
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$5	12	12	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 12:19
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	2	$5	61	31	+31	open	—	01-22 06:27
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$5	24	24	+0	open	—	03-16 13:54
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-27 14:39
crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	2	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	02-26 09:57
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 13:22
cricipl che del 2026 04 11	1	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	04-11 15:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 19:03
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$4	7	6	+1	open	—	04-30 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	05-01 03:34
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	$-1	03-18 18:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 19:22
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	04-13 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	20	0	+20	Up	$-2	05-11 15:22
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$2	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	03-10 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 14:12
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	1	$2	67	0	+67	open	—	02-01 19:36
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 180 199	1	$2	33	0	+33	open	—	02-08 12:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 03:23
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:35:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x3a81c6…
05-21 18:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x939696…
05-21 18:05:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x1f5674…
05-21 18:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd9ea3b…
05-21 18:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xebb189…
05-17 13:22:32	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x3a683d…
05-17 13:18:53	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3716c2…
05-11 15:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22de30…
05-11 15:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0f28a1…
05-11 15:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x05b928…
05-11 15:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x99abe1…
05-11 15:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xcdc123…
05-11 15:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x6b4ee1…
05-11 15:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x645cea…
05-01 19:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2fadf8…
05-01 19:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdbf0ff…
05-01 19:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x13c6fc…
05-01 19:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x268b03…
05-01 19:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x6281a0…
05-01 19:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2414c6…
05-01 03:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xa936e0…
05-01 03:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2e75b8…
05-01 03:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7f9c56…
05-01 03:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa0f704…
05-01 03:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x1a73aa…
05-01 03:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaef17c…
05-01 03:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x79ec5d…
05-01 03:22:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x75770a…
04-30 19:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9f25a8…
04-30 19:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x150f86…
04-30 19:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x1589ce…
04-30 19:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf4bf1b…
04-30 19:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x2fdcc7…
04-30 19:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x31efbd…
04-30 19:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xff951b…
04-30 19:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xba4dde…
04-30 19:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcae5a7…
04-30 18:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf06545…
04-30 14:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x950bf4…
04-30 14:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x57276f…
04-30 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9310f3…
04-30 07:12:32	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2f7e66…
04-30 07:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xc0cac9…
04-30 07:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2fed3…
04-13 16:15:45	cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfc859f…
04-11 15:24:43	cricipl che del 2026 04 11	Delhi Capitals	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x14d7f0…
03-18 18:45:39	Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x44a3bc…
03-18 12:20:37	Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf92cdf…
03-18 12:19:49	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xd67ad1…
03-18 12:18:23	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x5f6eda…
03-16 13:55:37	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x3e3a7e…
03-16 13:54:05	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x5f5ef9…
03-15 18:36:35	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x659364…
03-13 14:08:17	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x960c46…
03-12 06:31:43	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x5148c3…
03-10 17:32:21	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x394898…
03-10 16:02:43	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd909f2…
02-27 14:39:03	crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	New Zealand	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xb51317…
02-26 09:57:46	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x19f348…
02-26 08:15:34	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3c03c8…
02-25 17:20:54	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	New Zealand	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa88174…
02-25 13:55:40	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	New Zealand	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x52de35…
02-22 17:52:12	crint ind zaf 2026 02 22	South Africa	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9ebdfb…
02-22 16:33:12	crint ind zaf 2026 02 22	South Africa	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x163a72…
02-08 12:01:23	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 180 199	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xed5b68…
02-01 19:36:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa67899…
01-22 06:27:26	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	No	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xf7c665…
01-22 04:03:50	will trump meet with satya nadella in january 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfb5a4a…
01-21 17:55:28	han duck soo in jail by january 31	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x695c26…
01-21 17:42:46	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	No	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x6d3b3e…