Unsteady-Collateral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

444

Trades

5,171

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-29 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 60% $-87

Other

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$945	563	551	+12	open	—	04-25 20:00
atp norrie wawrink 2026 04 13	53	$825	2,040	2,006	+34	open	—	04-13 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$652	360	356	+4	open	—	04-25 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$530	285	282	+3	open	—	04-26 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$520	333	324	+10	open	—	04-25 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$505	270	268	+2	open	—	04-26 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$500	884	0	+884	open	—	04-25 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$475	284	278	+6	open	—	04-25 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$441	247	243	+3	open	—	04-25 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$427	232	230	+2	open	—	04-25 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$420	248	243	+5	open	—	04-26 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$405	231	228	+4	open	—	04-26 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$353	209	205	+4	open	—	04-25 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$351	207	203	+4	open	—	04-25 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$343	174	174	+0	open	—	04-26 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$338	181	179	+2	open	—	04-26 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$326	168	168	+1	open	—	04-25 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$320	173	171	+2	open	—	04-25 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$319	170	168	+1	open	—	04-26 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$314	202	196	+6	open	—	04-26 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$312	165	164	+1	open	—	04-26 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$285	147	146	+0	open	—	04-25 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$283	162	159	+3	open	—	04-26 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$272	144	143	+1	open	—	04-26 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$264	135	135	+0	open	—	04-26 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$241	145	142	+3	open	—	04-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$236	132	130	+2	open	—	04-26 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$235	128	126	+1	open	—	04-26 04:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	18	$222	238	238	+0	open	—	04-25 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$212	114	113	+1	open	—	04-26 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 17:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfb026f…
05-29 17:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe245ee…
05-29 17:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x543733…
05-29 11:23:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeb41be…
05-29 11:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc4ce39…
05-29 11:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2022b2…
05-29 10:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd6ff5c…
05-29 05:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6582d…
05-29 05:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8eda1d…
05-29 05:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef6012…
05-29 05:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbcfca9…
05-29 04:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc2e562…
05-29 04:15:14	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb4338…
05-29 04:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd2867…
05-29 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x90e6ac…
05-29 04:14:25	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x489e19…
05-29 04:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0abc4c…
05-29 03:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x591fc8…
05-29 03:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb73933…
05-29 03:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa24522…
05-29 03:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xce9d5d…
05-29 03:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c0258…
05-29 03:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3643a7…
05-28 15:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbea644…
05-28 15:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x26c959…
05-28 15:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa9a8eb…
05-28 15:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1898d8…
05-28 15:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x27594f…
05-28 15:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5597c1…
05-28 15:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x73e3a1…
05-28 15:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd361e9…
05-28 10:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x599bff…
05-28 09:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8d35eb…
05-28 09:45:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd49fdc…
05-28 09:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf412bf…
05-28 07:35:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf540b4…
05-28 07:34:23	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5804e9…
05-28 03:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x872c04…
05-28 03:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcfe599…
05-28 03:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7cb9ce…
05-28 03:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0ae4e9…
05-28 03:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb18235…
05-28 03:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9c0219…
05-27 18:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4a9c5d…
05-27 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1009e5…
05-27 18:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd12a1c…
05-27 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x17f85c…
05-27 17:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8b261a…
05-27 17:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed5c1e…
05-27 17:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x553007…
05-27 17:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba66e7…
05-27 17:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x643840…
05-27 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f9ebb…
05-27 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd46731…
05-27 17:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5564db…
05-27 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa39e1a…
05-27 17:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x4a6ba2…
05-27 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfbcb88…
05-27 17:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3f29b…
05-27 16:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3914f…
05-27 16:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b1c8e…
05-27 16:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc91fda…
05-27 13:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e6a69…
05-27 13:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14f4db…
05-27 13:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xed24af…
05-27 12:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x93b8b2…
05-27 11:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x668969…
05-27 11:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3715d7…
05-27 11:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5f2b7…
05-27 11:49:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x18bddf…
05-27 11:47:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x58523b…
05-27 11:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc77864…
05-27 11:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb894ba…
05-27 11:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf633ad…
05-27 11:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x33ea1f…
05-27 11:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18732d…
05-27 11:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3c16f1…
05-27 11:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x42283f…
05-27 11:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71cbf6…
05-27 11:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d8bcb…
05-27 11:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa22827…
05-27 11:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb7d0f…
05-27 04:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x68ca8d…
05-27 04:11:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd067f8…
05-27 03:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b4da8…
05-27 03:29:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6303e2…
05-27 03:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55784b…
05-27 03:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd1f816…
05-27 03:25:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4b8b6f…
05-27 03:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc51d64…
05-27 03:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd5ab95…
05-27 03:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f8717…
05-27 03:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8930dd…
05-27 03:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x553ff2…
05-27 03:23:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe1009b…
05-27 03:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd334ee…
05-27 03:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9f2874…
05-27 03:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x40a5cf…
05-27 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d0967…
05-27 03:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc5c9e…