Wary-Shelter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

931

lifetime

Volume

$241.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$259

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-20 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

100% 0% $-2,224

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	32	$38.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	06-07 20:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	50	$34.6K	57,690	30,704	+26,986	open	—	06-08 11:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	56	$30.5K	60,448	28,938	+31,510	open	—	05-26 01:27
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$26.7K	0	30,000	-30,000	open	—	06-07 20:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	20	$20.6K	11,905	11,905	+0	open	—	06-08 10:42
israel closes its airspace by june 8	150	$19.5K	100,880	0	+100,880	open	—	06-08 11:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	90	$14.9K	97,506	0	+97,506	open	—	05-26 13:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	44	$11.5K	70,976	95,515	-24,538	open	—	05-28 02:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$8.3K	39,588	3,600	+35,988	open	—	06-01 06:24
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$7.0K	3,799	3,799	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
israel closes its airspace by june 9	43	$5.7K	27,913	0	+27,913	open	—	06-08 11:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	7	$4.9K	10,000	4,589	+5,411	open	—	05-26 00:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$2.5K	5,480	1,933	+3,548	open	—	05-26 00:38
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	27	$2.5K	49,160	0	+49,160	open	—	07-11 23:59
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	12	$2.4K	19,990	0	+19,990	open	—	07-20 12:01
israel closes its airspace by june 14	19	$2.4K	32,870	0	+32,870	open	—	06-14 20:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	30	$2.1K	8,013	8,013	+0	No	$-2,124	05-09 05:07
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	2	$1.5K	1,430	1,430	+0	open	—	06-18 17:58
israel closes its airspace by june 10	2	$1.0K	43,480	534	+42,946	open	—	06-11 07:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$540	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-27 20:44
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	6	$429	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	02-27 21:31
israel closes its airspace by june 11	3	$405	18,396	0	+18,396	open	—	06-11 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$352	7,226	7,226	+0	open	—	05-08 21:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$300	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-06 09:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$218	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	01-30 00:28
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	11	$213	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	02-27 20:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$202	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-18 21:10
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	12	$200	462	0	+462	open	—	03-04 04:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$200	4,040	0	+4,040	open	—	06-20 19:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	43	$200	4,521	0	+4,521	open	—	06-09 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:01:12	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	6,978	14¢	$977	0x55705e…
07-20 11:42:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	448	14¢	$63	0xf5f150…
07-20 11:37:42	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,573	14¢	$360	0x2c04b7…
07-11 23:59:35	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	647	3¢	$19	0x4ac62f…
07-11 23:58:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	7,068	3¢	$212	0x37f2be…
07-11 17:50:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x7779be…
07-11 17:16:59	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x96058f…
07-11 17:08:44	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	360	3¢	$11	0x00f295…
07-11 16:50:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x08ff75…
07-11 16:44:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	1,825	3¢	$55	0xad10a1…
07-11 16:42:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	352	3¢	$11	0x971b43…
07-11 16:42:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	1,967	3¢	$59	0x318b64…
07-11 15:12:05	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x008842…
07-11 15:11:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x5595eb…
07-11 15:11:05	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	3,751	3¢	$113	0x8346d7…
07-01 11:45:50	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	298	5¢	$15	0x72a5a3…
07-01 11:45:41	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	1,390	5¢	$70	0x8dff68…
07-01 11:43:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc2cae7…
07-01 11:43:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	437	5¢	$22	0xaedd62…
07-01 09:33:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xfce48f…
07-01 09:03:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x21acad…
07-01 08:42:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	5,170	10¢	$517	0x72a6e1…
07-01 08:37:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9898a1…
07-01 08:37:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5afd37…
07-01 08:37:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	833	10¢	$83	0x31d45f…
07-01 08:24:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	142	10¢	$14	0x11922c…
07-01 07:31:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xeb0c9c…
07-01 06:52:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0xa5fa78…
07-01 06:52:19	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0x4dc827…
07-01 06:30:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x4d75e4…
07-01 05:42:55	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0x4250c4…
07-01 05:12:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4102d1…
07-01 05:12:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	3,318	10¢	$332	0xdf4d44…
07-01 05:11:04	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x2c01a7…
06-21 05:13:26	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x88d36e…
06-21 05:11:58	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x5099a4…
06-21 05:08:34	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4250c5…
06-21 05:07:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	16,236	5¢	$812	0x805a1c…
06-21 03:39:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	12,500	8¢	$1,000	0xfaec17…
06-20 19:33:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	924	6¢	$51	0x7285dd…
06-20 18:41:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	591	6¢	$32	0x9031cf…
06-20 18:35:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$16	0x535ca6…
06-20 18:27:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x244c5d…
06-19 16:59:31	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5da8a0…
06-19 13:08:59	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x55bba1…
06-19 13:08:59	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3c7245…
06-19 13:08:59	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x093408…
06-19 13:08:56	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	144	63¢	$91	0x0cb5da…
06-19 13:08:56	bkplk bas leg 2026 06 19 spread away 5pt5	Basket Zielona Gora	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x00e176…
06-18 17:58:25	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	1,430	100¢	$1,429	0xfcf356…
06-17 21:53:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	81	20¢	$16	0x3f6dfd…
06-17 21:20:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	169	20¢	$34	0xad2451…
06-17 18:53:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,220	5¢	$100	0x88942a…
06-17 12:20:13	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	1,430	7¢	$100	0x81a181…
06-14 20:31:48	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,070	4¢	$93	0x0b3010…
06-14 19:47:30	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x8c9035…
06-14 19:47:30	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,886	10¢	$286	0x4cc0ce…
06-14 19:47:24	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,771	10¢	$274	0xd59963…
06-14 19:47:07	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	3,669	10¢	$363	0xbb92d6…
06-14 19:47:06	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0xc88123…
06-14 19:34:21	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	337	11¢	$37	0xa231cf…
06-14 19:34:21	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	445	11¢	$49	0x36f637…
06-14 19:34:03	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	7,000	11¢	$770	0x7b7874…
06-14 19:34:03	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,910	11¢	$320	0x64a910…
06-14 19:33:57	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x726fd1…
06-14 19:33:06	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xcd0d72…
06-14 19:32:39	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf1cad2…
06-14 19:32:30	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8eb751…
06-14 19:32:21	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0xc3ef53…
06-14 19:30:55	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xabc1d8…
06-14 19:28:58	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xc2f6ad…
06-14 19:26:07	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	307	11¢	$34	0x76bd3e…
06-13 17:21:48	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x1f1237…
06-11 17:31:30	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$88	0xb926ad…
06-11 17:31:13	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	8,000	2¢	$176	0x44d5ad…
06-11 17:29:54	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	6,396	2¢	$141	0x4b4698…
06-11 07:32:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	534	0¢	$2	0x81e1e6…
06-10 19:38:01	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	43,480	2¢	$1,000	0xadc2ed…
06-09 23:35:43	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0xe0b2ab…
06-09 18:34:46	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5afbb0…
06-09 17:02:30	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xde9f81…
06-09 16:50:33	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x87ac9c…
06-09 16:32:49	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x61d3df…
06-09 16:13:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa0f39b…
06-09 15:52:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6eb79f…
06-09 14:38:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x74a723…
06-09 10:50:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb9845b…
06-09 09:50:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9ad6f9…
06-09 08:32:52	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x264539…
06-09 06:52:48	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa200f…
06-09 06:08:30	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x89cf8f…
06-09 03:14:37	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc6f19f…
06-09 02:55:24	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4ec4f2…
06-09 01:41:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbdee96…
06-09 00:45:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0e36d8…
06-09 00:38:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb4bc6e…
06-09 00:20:27	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8b9ed8…
06-09 00:11:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6e81d1…
06-09 00:03:24	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7e4e3d…
06-08 23:19:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x82305a…