Wary-Shelter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,091

lifetime

Volume

$284.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-28 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

99% 0% $-2,224

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	32	$38.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	06-07 20:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	50	$34.6K	57,690	30,704	+26,986	open	—	06-08 11:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	56	$30.5K	60,448	28,938	+31,510	open	—	05-26 01:27
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$26.7K	0	30,000	-30,000	open	—	06-07 20:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	20	$20.6K	11,905	11,905	+0	open	—	06-08 10:42
israel closes its airspace by june 8	150	$19.5K	100,880	0	+100,880	open	—	06-08 11:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	62	$15.1K	37,296	37,306	-10	open	—	07-24 21:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	90	$14.9K	97,506	0	+97,506	open	—	05-26 13:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	6	$13.8K	39,300	39,300	+0	open	—	07-28 22:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	44	$11.5K	70,976	95,515	-24,538	open	—	05-28 02:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$8.3K	39,588	3,600	+35,988	open	—	06-01 06:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	53	$7.9K	73,473	73,473	+0	open	—	07-22 18:56
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$7.0K	3,799	3,799	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
israel closes its airspace by june 9	43	$5.7K	27,913	0	+27,913	open	—	06-08 11:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	7	$4.9K	10,000	4,589	+5,411	open	—	05-26 00:34
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	13	$3.4K	19,990	19,990	+0	open	—	07-28 22:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$2.5K	5,480	1,933	+3,548	open	—	05-26 00:38
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	27	$2.5K	49,160	0	+49,160	open	—	07-11 23:59
israel closes its airspace by june 14	19	$2.4K	32,870	0	+32,870	open	—	06-14 20:31
iran full airspace closure by july 24	19	$2.2K	7,492	7,492	+0	open	—	07-23 17:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	30	$2.1K	8,013	8,013	+0	No	$-2,124	05-09 05:07
israel closes its airspace by july 24	18	$2.0K	8,419	8,419	+0	open	—	07-23 20:13
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	2	$1.5K	1,430	1,430	+0	open	—	06-18 17:58
israel closes its airspace by june 10	2	$1.0K	43,480	534	+42,946	open	—	06-11 07:32
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	1	$1.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-25 13:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$540	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-27 20:44
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	6	$429	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	02-27 21:31
israel closes its airspace by june 11	3	$405	18,396	0	+18,396	open	—	06-11 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$352	7,226	7,226	+0	open	—	05-08 21:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$300	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-06 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 22:07:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	19,990	5¢	$999	0x8b3cfe…
07-28 22:03:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	23,350	10¢	$2,335	0x745c93…
07-28 22:03:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,963	10¢	$196	0xf016b3…
07-28 22:03:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	221	10¢	$22	0xc6b338…
07-28 22:02:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	11,000	10¢	$1,100	0x1b81a4…
07-28 21:58:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	2,765	10¢	$277	0xeb8077…
07-25 13:12:10	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0xff0772…
07-25 09:37:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	39,300	25¢	$9,825	0x807208…
07-24 21:17:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	525	16¢	$84	0x85cb3d…
07-24 21:16:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	625	16¢	$100	0xb9e033…
07-24 21:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	72	16¢	$12	0xd941a4…
07-24 21:14:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x1e7ed1…
07-24 21:13:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	11,111	16¢	$1,778	0x197c66…
07-24 21:10:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xbe78b5…
07-24 21:07:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,875	16¢	$300	0xdb24e7…
07-24 21:07:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,875	16¢	$300	0xae3688…
07-24 21:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xb53070…
07-24 20:06:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xbf44d8…
07-24 20:05:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x7f2b1d…
07-24 20:05:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	312	16¢	$50	0x7dee2c…
07-24 20:05:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	5,290	16¢	$846	0xb3bfe3…
07-24 20:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x7bb762…
07-24 20:03:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	14,530	16¢	$2,325	0x4c3940…
07-23 20:13:45	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	7,758	12¢	$931	0xd9ba9e…
07-23 20:00:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	222	12¢	$27	0x547c8d…
07-23 17:50:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	7,492	15¢	$1,124	0x0af2b5…
07-23 16:19:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	21,367	23¢	$4,915	0xbe25fd…
07-23 16:16:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x754c3f…
07-23 16:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x7ff9e2…
07-23 16:05:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	215	23¢	$49	0x58c48f…
07-23 16:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x22ed82…
07-23 15:59:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xe7c65e…
07-23 11:43:31	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	54	12¢	$6	0x4a0b24…
07-23 09:04:30	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xe8b3ff…
07-23 08:52:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	368	12¢	$44	0xf7b79c…
07-23 03:58:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	72	23¢	$17	0x2505cd…
07-23 02:03:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x88dd82…
07-23 02:02:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x92956a…
07-23 02:02:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x3c5c92…
07-23 02:02:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	162	23¢	$37	0x8707fb…
07-23 00:59:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x3b8085…
07-23 00:59:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x871e01…
07-23 00:58:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x17ea3f…
07-23 00:58:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x521d49…
07-23 00:58:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x2ccdf7…
07-22 23:55:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xf49f57…
07-22 23:51:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xe29f49…
07-22 23:23:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x762aab…
07-22 18:56:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	73,231	4¢	$3,002	0x603a8e…
07-22 18:35:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x041680…
07-22 17:19:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	228	4¢	$9	0x9fcad8…
07-22 16:21:22	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	316	11¢	$35	0x2edbe6…
07-22 16:16:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	3,037	5¢	$155	0xc5c215…
07-22 16:16:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xba3fd3…
07-22 16:16:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	10,000	5¢	$510	0x36e32e…
07-22 16:16:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	1,400	5¢	$71	0x63623d…
07-22 16:16:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0xf5af2b…
07-22 16:14:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xc02a07…
07-22 16:14:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xcb00e5…
07-22 16:07:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2,794	27¢	$754	0x5e69da…
07-22 16:07:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	203	27¢	$55	0x60e4ba…
07-22 16:05:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x17ce2c…
07-22 16:05:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcdaa3f…
07-22 16:04:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x33b5c3…
07-22 16:04:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,229	27¢	$332	0xfec3f6…
07-22 16:03:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x3d3703…
07-22 16:03:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,948	27¢	$526	0x149663…
07-22 16:01:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x9cfa8f…
07-22 16:01:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	62	27¢	$17	0x2c7881…
07-22 16:00:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,617	27¢	$436	0x21c0f5…
07-22 15:51:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	322	27¢	$87	0x653b92…
07-22 15:37:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xc10be1…
07-22 15:37:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x5dcdab…
07-22 15:37:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x16432d…
07-22 15:35:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x56317d…
07-22 15:33:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	271	27¢	$73	0xc110bf…
07-22 15:30:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,470	27¢	$397	0xc312d8…
07-22 15:01:21	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xb5e429…
07-22 15:00:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x45d570…
07-22 14:59:45	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	283	15¢	$42	0xc46fc4…
07-22 14:59:27	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0xc24687…
07-22 14:52:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0x2fe7aa…
07-22 14:52:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	1,256	7¢	$88	0xa24d27…
07-22 14:50:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0xe1621a…
07-22 14:49:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	925	28¢	$258	0x07b4ab…
07-22 14:48:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x356ece…
07-22 14:48:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xb58423…
07-22 14:48:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x987e16…
07-22 14:48:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	7,500	7¢	$525	0x511fd9…
07-22 14:47:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	323	7¢	$23	0xb521cd…
07-22 14:47:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	468	7¢	$33	0xdc3b66…
07-22 14:47:25	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xbfdab8…
07-22 14:47:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,500	15¢	$375	0x066b7f…
07-22 14:47:13	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	879	15¢	$132	0xa21621…
07-22 14:47:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x58de81…
07-22 14:47:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	4,474	7¢	$313	0x4f0ccd…
07-22 14:43:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0xea10b1…
07-22 14:43:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x9d023d…
07-22 14:43:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0xe97049…
07-22 14:43:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xbaf2a0…