Wary-Shelter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

853

lifetime

Volume

$230.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$271

Open exposure

$147

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-09 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

100% 0% $-2,224

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes		+4,521	$200	3¢	$147	$-53	06-09 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	32	$38.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	06-07 20:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	50	$34.6K	57,690	30,704	+26,986	open	—	06-08 11:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	56	$30.5K	60,448	28,938	+31,510	open	—	05-26 01:27
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$26.7K	0	30,000	-30,000	open	—	06-07 20:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	20	$20.6K	11,905	11,905	+0	open	—	06-08 10:42
israel closes its airspace by june 8	150	$19.5K	100,880	0	+100,880	open	—	06-08 11:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	90	$14.9K	97,506	0	+97,506	open	—	05-26 13:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	44	$11.5K	70,976	95,515	-24,538	open	—	05-28 02:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$8.3K	39,588	3,600	+35,988	open	—	06-01 06:24
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$7.0K	3,799	3,799	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
israel closes its airspace by june 9	43	$5.7K	27,913	0	+27,913	open	—	06-08 11:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	7	$4.9K	10,000	4,589	+5,411	open	—	05-26 00:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$2.5K	5,480	1,933	+3,548	open	—	05-26 00:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	30	$2.1K	8,013	8,013	+0	No	$-2,124	05-09 05:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$540	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-27 20:44
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	6	$429	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	02-27 21:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$352	7,226	7,226	+0	open	—	05-08 21:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$300	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-06 09:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$218	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	01-30 00:28
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	11	$213	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	02-27 20:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$202	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-18 21:10
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	12	$200	462	0	+462	open	—	03-04 04:18
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	43	$200	4,521	0	+4,521	open	—	06-09 23:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$111	5,556	5,556	+0	open	—	05-25 04:34
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	03-01 20:40
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	03-01 20:57
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	4	$100	834	0	+834	open	—	03-06 15:55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	3	$100	244	0	+244	Yes	$-100	04-26 21:14
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	03-01 20:11
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	9	$78	3,608	5,971	-2,363	open	—	01-30 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:35:43	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0xe0b2ab…
06-09 18:34:46	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5afbb0…
06-09 17:02:30	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xde9f81…
06-09 16:50:33	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x87ac9c…
06-09 16:32:49	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x61d3df…
06-09 16:13:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa0f39b…
06-09 15:52:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6eb79f…
06-09 14:38:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x74a723…
06-09 10:50:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb9845b…
06-09 09:50:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9ad6f9…
06-09 08:32:52	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x264539…
06-09 06:52:48	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa200f…
06-09 06:08:30	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x89cf8f…
06-09 03:14:37	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc6f19f…
06-09 02:55:24	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4ec4f2…
06-09 01:41:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbdee96…
06-09 00:45:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0e36d8…
06-09 00:38:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb4bc6e…
06-09 00:20:27	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8b9ed8…
06-09 00:11:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6e81d1…
06-09 00:03:24	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7e4e3d…
06-08 23:19:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x82305a…
06-08 22:13:55	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x547745…
06-08 21:46:45	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbd13b0…
06-08 20:46:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe5098e…
06-08 20:33:42	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7a4799…
06-08 20:30:31	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9f3df6…
06-08 19:57:18	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2dbac4…
06-08 19:18:22	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x14b517…
06-08 17:46:46	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa37071…
06-08 15:34:57	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x90f0d1…
06-08 15:08:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	913	3¢	$32	0x67920c…
06-08 11:27:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	463	3¢	$16	0x674b10…
06-08 11:21:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10,578	10¢	$1,058	0x08b79f…
06-08 11:21:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xa06f62…
06-08 11:21:06	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x485ea6…
06-08 11:21:04	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,957	10¢	$196	0xe20cb7…
06-08 11:21:01	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	156	10¢	$16	0xf99792…
06-08 11:20:55	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	333	10¢	$33	0x2afb1b…
06-08 11:20:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x073308…
06-08 11:20:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0x1f25a9…
06-08 11:20:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	441	10¢	$44	0xcb4976…
06-08 11:20:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xd7de9e…
06-08 11:20:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x6c6fc0…
06-08 11:20:19	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	136	10¢	$14	0x3900e5…
06-08 11:20:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,540	10¢	$154	0x1e72fb…
06-08 11:20:12	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0x079a2a…
06-08 11:20:06	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	161	10¢	$16	0xecfeee…
06-08 11:19:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	327	10¢	$33	0x925eaa…
06-08 11:19:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,107	26¢	$288	0x213e9f…
06-08 11:19:48	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc1ab36…
06-08 11:19:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	6,146	26¢	$1,598	0x0e36be…
06-08 11:19:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	270	26¢	$70	0xda8822…
06-08 11:19:42	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x45c8b9…
06-08 11:19:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x7ad739…
06-08 11:19:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x75ba14…
06-08 11:19:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6027ee…
06-08 11:19:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x4b9c24…
06-08 11:19:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	627	10¢	$63	0x1b4fed…
06-08 11:19:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	270	26¢	$70	0x86e567…
06-08 11:19:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	8,837	26¢	$2,298	0x6febc9…
06-08 11:19:33	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xddfb0e…
06-08 11:19:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xac0ec3…
06-08 11:19:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x227cc6…
06-08 11:19:21	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x5e1224…
06-08 11:19:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x2d5950…
06-08 11:19:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	87	26¢	$23	0x5aa444…
06-08 11:19:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x96d4be…
06-08 11:19:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	312	26¢	$81	0xc118bd…
06-08 11:19:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,500	26¢	$390	0xeb2a78…
06-08 11:19:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	74	26¢	$19	0xeffe6e…
06-08 11:19:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0x77b417…
06-08 11:18:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	12,234	20¢	$2,447	0xb181ab…
06-08 11:18:21	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xfe418a…
06-08 11:18:21	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xdd8f91…
06-08 11:18:21	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xbb0ce5…
06-08 11:18:18	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6a3753…
06-08 11:18:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4,955	10¢	$495	0xbbcedb…
06-08 11:18:09	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x262475…
06-08 11:18:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,364	20¢	$273	0xe7998d…
06-08 11:18:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	5,000	20¢	$1,000	0x488eca…
06-08 11:17:48	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x6ef746…
06-08 11:17:42	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc2b154…
06-08 11:17:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xceb2da…
06-08 11:17:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x3a8572…
06-08 11:17:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x33f670…
06-08 11:17:19	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x2d4e4f…
06-08 11:17:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	134	10¢	$13	0x4195d8…
06-08 11:17:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	268	10¢	$27	0x29f124…
06-08 11:17:13	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	127	10¢	$13	0xe6df4f…
06-08 11:17:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	155	26¢	$40	0x29717c…
06-08 10:54:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0x857ee8…
06-08 10:53:16	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd25029…
06-08 10:52:42	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x6a76b4…
06-08 10:51:42	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa765a9…
06-08 10:51:28	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,250	20¢	$250	0xb004c1…
06-08 10:50:45	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x909a1a…
06-08 10:50:36	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x14a7fb…
06-08 10:50:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc9190a…
06-08 10:49:09	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7de432…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	51	$10.5M	17,583	06-10 02:13
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	49	$580.3K	10,612	06-10 00:58
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	48	$65.1K	479	06-08 20:34
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	47	$13.4K	1,363	06-09 06:50
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	45	$10.8K	1,022	06-08 08:06
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	42	$1.28M	22,438	06-09 19:49
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	42	$12.4K	5,530	06-03 16:13
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	41	$1.84M	12,477	06-09 22:31