Naughty-Sick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:02
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:04
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 6c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:16
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:09
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:36
highest temperature in wuhan on april 17 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 10:12
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:46
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:52
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95ad63…
10-27 07:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x891419…
10-26 05:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8220ed…
10-24 06:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbaff7…
10-23 07:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949562…
10-21 08:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22d9ac…
10-19 06:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63f8e5…
10-18 07:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f9dc2…
10-17 07:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a20b0…
10-16 05:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583092…
10-15 06:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf4f7c…
10-14 07:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac6697…
10-13 05:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd886d0…
10-12 04:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fbbaa…
10-11 03:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbce90b…
10-08 05:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24d887…
10-07 08:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e7688…
10-06 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37e6ec…
10-04 08:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86dfb6…
10-03 04:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe90dcd…
10-02 07:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8385e…
10-02 03:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd563…
10-01 07:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d209e…
09-30 09:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26cf6d…
09-29 08:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20fb5…
09-28 08:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8045a7…
09-27 02:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x213b88…
09-25 07:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x828ef1…
09-24 06:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1f798…
09-23 05:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe633e5…
09-22 06:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x759a8b…
09-21 08:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x276d17…
09-20 03:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95b21d…
09-19 06:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4383d1…
09-18 01:11:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e59aa…
09-17 03:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4ed25…
09-16 08:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9d3c2…
09-15 23:35:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2bf9c…
09-15 02:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x252865…
09-14 02:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdced81…
09-13 12:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40fb98…
09-12 07:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x631e17…
09-11 06:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x996d2e…
09-10 01:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcf202…
09-09 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x386303…
09-08 01:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76166a…
09-07 01:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce3804…
09-06 01:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d15e…
09-05 09:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a41e9…
09-04 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8d6b3…
09-03 01:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd496f…
09-01 01:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d2dd7…
08-30 00:14:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd05a2…
08-29 05:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13878c…
08-28 01:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x504c23…
08-27 01:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x948d50…
08-26 02:02:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27c1f5…
08-25 06:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd02682…
08-24 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe821…
08-23 07:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80650b…
08-22 06:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x919b9d…
08-21 01:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f8e3f…
08-20 05:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x278f7e…
08-19 07:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42e3f9…
08-18 00:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3f0c3…
08-17 06:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fca37…
08-16 01:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85b7d6…
08-15 02:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20ef0e…
08-14 01:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4839a1…
08-13 00:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57f794…
08-12 06:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f299…
08-11 00:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d6fbd…
08-10 00:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05e3de…
08-09 07:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39485d…
08-09 00:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66eaed…
08-08 06:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5413cc…
08-07 00:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0e60d…
08-06 00:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7c161…
08-05 00:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93b7c4…
08-04 03:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa303c3…
08-03 00:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbab9c…
08-02 00:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa47451…
08-01 00:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d275…
07-31 07:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x765f56…
07-30 00:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2a488…
07-29 01:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e6695…
07-28 00:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0632ae…
07-27 06:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4ed4e…
07-26 01:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba2e16…
07-25 00:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb70948…
07-24 01:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc21ad6…
07-23 01:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba7df4…
07-22 01:33:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2d3d6…
07-20 23:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20f9c3…
07-19 22:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x825699…
07-18 22:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa312cc…
07-17 23:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3011f9…
07-17 01:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a7197…
07-16 07:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f9c02…
07-15 21:40:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949831…