Realized P&L
+$483
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
102
Trades
588
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.99K
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
78% 85% +$239
Sports
12% 80% -$8
Politics
9% 64% +$246
Tech
1% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +576 $561 92¢ $532 -$29 10-22 03:11
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +238 $231 97¢ $232 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +203 $198 97¢ $198 +$0 10-23 02:36
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +174 $169 98¢ $171 +$2 10-26 01:18
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +166 $165 99¢ $165 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +121 $121 99¢ $121 $0 10-26 08:54
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +114 $96 78¢ $89 -$7 10-25 01:27
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $87 97¢ $87 $0 10-21 16:36
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $50 95¢ $51 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-22 02:47
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 99¢ $29 $0 10-26 03:33
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $27 76¢ $26 -$1 10-15 16:09
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $26 92¢ $26 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$1 10-28 02:47
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 $0 10-26 19:34
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 10-19 13:17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$0 10-24 13:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +8 $7 74¢ $6 -$1 10-25 21:45
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +6 $6 88¢ $5 $0 10-28 02:23
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 10-19 14:04