Secret-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

302

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-14 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 89% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-14 18:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:49
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:26
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:36
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3bd2d8…
11-13 16:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2db517…
11-12 08:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x035c34…
11-11 15:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebc398…
11-09 08:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe92af…
11-08 12:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c4c9e…
11-07 02:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa52486…
11-05 16:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x90b4b4…
11-04 02:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09df8f…
11-03 12:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6b77c…
11-02 13:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x380476…
11-01 04:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc43614…
10-31 09:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd0b97f…
10-30 09:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf2b4d…
10-29 17:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e12fd…
10-29 08:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92cdd0…
10-28 05:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f76e1…
10-27 08:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1d514…
10-26 08:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff203…
10-24 09:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde8512…
10-22 10:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb407cd…
10-20 04:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1182…
10-19 08:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e93d…
10-18 08:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdde41…
10-17 08:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c7c41…
10-16 08:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x022fa1…
10-15 08:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc64294…
10-14 08:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce2579…
10-13 08:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec1de…
10-12 08:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x042cf0…
10-11 07:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a1164…
10-08 08:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1441e…
10-07 13:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x087d60…
10-06 07:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7689e…
10-04 10:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9690ae…
10-03 05:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x248f35…
10-02 07:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb07822…
10-01 08:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b6d38…
09-30 11:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf61adb…
09-29 09:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53b069…
09-28 09:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x052675…
09-27 08:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdae430…
09-25 08:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe6f8b…
09-24 08:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1b771…
09-23 05:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80fade…
09-22 07:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23ad99…
09-21 08:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x773163…
09-20 05:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5efcb9…
09-19 07:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaba85f…
09-18 01:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc72972…
09-17 03:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a3fb0…
09-16 07:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b92b3…
09-15 08:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfada03…
09-14 07:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c867f…
09-12 10:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd08c80…
09-11 07:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ca067…
09-10 02:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea1b92…
09-09 01:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6efb8e…
09-08 01:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c223c…
09-07 08:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd62c6…
09-06 17:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0493…
09-06 08:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3185b7…
09-05 09:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdedaf9…
09-04 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00ceb1…
09-03 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x946dc6…
09-01 01:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79c63b…
08-30 07:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x107ed5…
08-29 06:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c86d0…
08-28 06:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823b6f…
08-27 07:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcdfc9…
08-26 08:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x376899…
08-25 07:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae93ff…
08-24 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x758e0f…
08-23 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x170c21…
08-22 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3509f0…
08-21 03:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9d869…
08-20 08:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24af0c…
08-19 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d6f4f…
08-18 04:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd46dc9…
08-17 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b5c5b…
08-16 10:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31e066…
08-15 08:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c13e2…
08-14 06:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8efa65…
08-13 07:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x052271…
08-12 07:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58d1e8…
08-11 00:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e0016…
08-10 00:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bacf5…
08-09 01:10:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb78088…
08-08 07:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x904a2c…
08-07 00:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a541…
08-06 00:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec70fd…
08-05 07:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02be3e…
08-04 07:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ae8a7…
08-03 01:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6601cf…
08-02 01:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e839…
08-01 00:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x857bfe…
07-31 07:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69eaac…
07-30 01:17:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104f81…
07-29 05:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67e762…
07-28 05:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a07d…