Vigilant-Emotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$285

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved (90d)

320

Trades (90d)

504

2,835 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.65K

$44.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-16 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

69% 55% +$40

Crypto

31% 65% -$88

Politics

0% 62% -$29

Sports

0% 40% -$32

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:05 UTC	25	$733	566	394	+172	Down	-$31	02-17 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:55 UTC	28	$550	417	283	+134	Down	+$13	02-17 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:35 UTC	29	$545	345	320	+25	Up	+$16	02-17 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	24	$537	361	264	+97	Yes	-$86	06-10 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:00 UTC	23	$526	421	227	+193	Up	-$74	02-17 14:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?	6	$520	590	0	+590	No	+$70	06-25 07:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC	38	$493	695	154	+541	Up	-$186	02-17 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 12:25 UTC	25	$426	261	221	+41	Up	+$11	02-17 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 12:40 UTC	16	$425	272	237	+35	Down	+$17	02-17 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?	2	$411	215	215	+0	No	+$15	06-25 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:35 UTC	2	$402	203	203	+0	Down	+$0	02-17 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:10 UTC	21	$391	244	216	+28	Down	+$38	02-17 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:25 UTC	24	$388	332	329	+3	Up	+$32	02-17 14:33
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 26c	4	$380	199	198	+1	No	+$16	04-23 14:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	15	$368	349	60	+289	No	+$25	07-31 11:58
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	1	$365	676	0	+676	USA	-$365	02-22 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:20 UTC	9	$362	197	196	+1	Down	+$27	02-17 11:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	12	$362	415	0	+415	No	+$53	07-04 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:00 UTC	21	$338	272	173	+99	Down	+$5	02-17 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:20 UTC	20	$334	204	189	+15	Up	+$40	02-17 13:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 20?	3	$331	357	0	+357	No	+$26	08-20 06:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	3	$327	345	0	+345	No	+$19	07-22 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	2	$325	238	140	+98	Yes	-$108	10-16 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:40 UTC	18	$320	362	176	+186	Down	+$32	02-17 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	14	$316	225	171	+54	Down	+$28	02-17 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:30 UTC	15	$309	250	173	+78	Down	+$35	02-17 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?	12	$288	244	68	+176	No	+$16	06-09 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:45 UTC	24	$277	221	148	+73	Up	+$19	02-17 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:55 UTC	19	$256	349	119	+231	Down	-$154	02-17 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:45 UTC	27	$253	356	0	+356	Down	+$28	02-17 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 08:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	SELL	140	78¢	$109	0x7c139c…
10-16 05:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xc92136…
10-16 05:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3db817…
10-16 05:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	238	91¢	$217	0x08d643…
10-16 05:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0x3caecc…
10-16 05:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x27dc39…
10-16 05:35:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xf202d2…
10-16 05:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	149	93¢	$138	0x1ef169…
10-16 05:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8d38f6…
10-16 05:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4aa61a…
10-16 05:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbe88d5…
10-14 16:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xf7b2c7…
10-14 16:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x010cc6…
10-14 16:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x13e73d…
10-14 16:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0x42f12d…
10-14 16:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0xd47d1a…
10-14 16:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xd3c49b…
10-14 16:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x44caa7…
10-14 16:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x459138…
10-14 16:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x086d78…
10-14 16:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xa22962…
10-14 16:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	199	87¢	$173	0x5feeab…
10-14 16:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbad7eb…
10-14 16:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x29c52d…
10-14 16:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xd215ee…
10-14 16:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x4ab34a…
10-14 16:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa19d39…
10-14 16:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xb07b34…
10-14 16:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x91776a…
10-14 16:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3a310e…
10-14 16:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x01da6e…
10-14 16:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x5314ca…
10-14 16:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x29c7a4…
10-14 16:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	SELL	45	41¢	$19	0x736bf2…
10-14 16:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	139	83¢	$115	0x86b38a…
10-14 16:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf986f3…
10-14 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xfce129…
10-14 08:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x6235d9…
10-14 08:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc7237a…
10-14 08:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaf208c…
10-14 07:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x7b375c…
10-14 06:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x24efe0…
10-14 06:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1f456b…
10-14 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe62002…
10-14 06:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4e949c…
10-14 06:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x06b126…
10-14 06:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7c0924…
10-14 06:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xd8dd4c…
10-14 06:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x107a14…
10-14 06:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x06c950…
10-14 06:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9aa8eb…
10-14 06:00:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xbb59dd…
10-14 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x858750…
10-14 06:00:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa9dd4…
10-14 05:58:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd050f1…
10-14 05:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x70eada…
10-14 05:46:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd7f3f2…
10-14 05:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xdd02d2…
10-14 05:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x29983d…
10-14 05:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x21bffe…
10-14 05:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xab3502…
10-14 05:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa30f6b…
10-14 05:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x898a5d…
10-14 05:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd8d353…
10-14 05:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69b73c…
10-14 05:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xf68db8…
10-14 05:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe182c0…
10-14 05:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa31e90…
10-14 05:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x101417…
10-14 05:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7fec3f…
10-14 05:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x760324…
10-14 05:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x64a82a…
10-14 05:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9f9b2e…
10-14 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd5e40d…
10-14 05:35:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x323d31…
10-14 05:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xc8f712…
10-14 05:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x045c0a…
10-14 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0x23cd81…
10-13 07:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x3a3f77…
10-13 06:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf355a9…
10-13 06:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e83db…
10-13 06:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xcbf59e…
10-13 06:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xeca979…
10-13 06:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x0909d7…
10-13 06:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x0d4e34…
10-13 06:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x07abd3…
10-13 06:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xfa119d…
10-13 06:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xad2d3d…
10-13 06:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x0cdae2…
10-13 06:00:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x543896…
10-13 06:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe4034f…
10-13 05:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x77a045…
10-13 05:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2c465a…
10-13 05:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x83a47c…
10-13 05:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xbdf5b1…
10-13 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x40e8ae…
10-13 05:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xdafea0…
10-13 05:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe2788c…
10-13 05:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 13?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xdac685…
10-13 05:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc05818…