Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$403

Unrealized P&L

+$146

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.14K

Open exposure

$3.30K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-21 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% 100% +$403

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No		+3,662	$3,150	90¢	$3.3K	+$146	06-21 07:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$18.3K	11,000	11,000	+0	Yes	+$401	04-10 07:53
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$9.4K	10,102	0	+10,102	open	—	04-12 18:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	1	$3.1K	3,662	0	+3,662	open	—	06-21 07:22
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$1.8K	2,158	2,158	+0	open	—	03-22 20:29
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$1.5K	903	903	+0	open	—	03-22 20:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$42	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 07:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 07:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-02 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 07:22:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	3,662	86¢	$3,150	0x7479f6…
04-12 18:13:21	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	8,881	93¢	$8,276	0x70ab4f…
04-12 18:04:11	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x12c3f6…
04-12 17:44:01	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x835fbe…
04-10 07:55:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xc39c81…
04-10 07:54:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	22	71¢	$15	0xeeb059…
04-10 07:53:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11,000	85¢	$9,350	0x2679dd…
04-04 04:01:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x758ea9…
03-22 20:30:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	959	85¢	$815	0xba2730…
03-22 20:29:37	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x2a7ab5…
03-22 20:28:01	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	903	90¢	$814	0xd17e5c…
03-22 20:00:49	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	903	80¢	$722	0x154e96…
03-22 19:54:19	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	2,115	34¢	$722	0x0cb96b…
03-22 19:52:29	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	2,158	50¢	$1,079	0x848051…
03-14 19:14:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xb6ad71…
03-11 20:08:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,461	79¢	$1,154	0xd9b832…
03-09 23:26:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,417	82¢	$1,162	0xaf75a5…
03-09 22:48:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	716	82¢	$587	0x288fae…
03-09 22:42:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	708	82¢	$581	0x95392b…
03-03 00:11:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,457	81¢	$1,180	0x204b91…
03-02 23:54:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,298	81¢	$1,051	0x8f856c…
03-02 23:49:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,429	81¢	$1,157	0x80a4ce…
03-02 23:42:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	722	81¢	$585	0xcc025d…
03-02 23:34:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	722	81¢	$585	0xde598c…
03-02 23:29:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0x737590…
03-02 23:16:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x462ca9…
03-02 23:15:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2e6e5f…
03-02 23:14:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x54d5e8…
03-02 23:14:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x695d27…
03-02 22:58:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x855df8…