Vivid-Diplomacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-27 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Sports

73% 95% +$30

Crypto

13% 64% $-4

Other

13% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	6	$88	41	50	-9	open	—	05-17 02:19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	6	$87	45	45	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$4	05-14 01:22
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	10	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-03 03:29
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-17 03:54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-17 04:14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	7	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 02:45
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	6	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 01:00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	6	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 20:53
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$49	51	0	+51	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	05-14 03:32
Rockets vs. Lakers	3	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 04:52
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	4	$42	21	21	+0	Miami Marlins	+$0	05-14 03:23
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	4	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	05-16 20:49
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	5	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 19:54
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	4	$39	41	0	+41	open	—	05-19 22:46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	4	$38	41	0	+41	St. Louis Cardinals	+$3	05-13 04:01
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	4	$37	40	0	+40	Baltimore Orioles	+$3	05-07 01:21
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	4	$37	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 04:05
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	3	$30	33	0	+33	Tampa Bay Rays	+$3	05-10 19:16
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	3	$29	32	0	+32	Cincinnati Reds	+$3	05-09 22:16
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	3	$29	30	0	+30	San Diego Padres	+$1	05-06 03:37
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$29	30	0	+30	New York Mets	+$1	05-07 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$29	56	0	+56	open	—	05-17 05:50
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$29	30	0	+30	San Francisco Giants	+$2	05-05 03:40
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	3	$28	31	0	+31	Houston Astros	+$3	05-08 23:34
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun	3	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 01:21
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	3	$28	31	0	+31	San Francisco Giants	+$2	05-12 04:34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	3	$28	30	0	+30	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	05-12 01:43
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	3	$28	31	0	+31	Cleveland Guardians	+$3	05-13 18:56
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	4	$25	16	10	+6	open	—	05-03 10:48
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	5	$24	26	0	+26	Philadelphia Phillies	+$2	05-06 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 11:27:27	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x88f54d…
05-27 11:27:27	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x738fd9…
05-27 11:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3199a0…
05-27 11:12:18	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2217dc…
05-27 10:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe08144…
05-27 10:57:26	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x434972…
05-27 10:43:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xecd1ce…
05-27 10:28:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x625cd0…
05-27 10:27:15	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8e1e81…
05-27 09:42:30	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x761b4d…
05-27 09:42:25	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xd66e7f…
05-27 09:42:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa3cd14…
05-27 09:27:17	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xacc59c…
05-27 09:27:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b4df3…
05-27 09:27:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdc8b62…
05-27 09:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f1043…
05-27 09:13:52	hype updown 15m 1779872400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd086d…
05-27 09:12:29	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5e8563…
05-27 08:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfcfcd0…
05-27 08:12:10	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd4c3ef…
05-27 08:12:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3749d0…
05-27 07:58:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x965d3b…
05-27 07:57:37	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb98e6c…
05-27 07:57:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8a8ec…
05-27 07:42:36	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x25fc3b…
05-27 07:42:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e9002…
05-27 07:27:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb7dab…
05-27 07:27:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7ea826…
05-27 06:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6eb955…
05-27 06:57:15	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x86e9ed…
05-27 06:57:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5e5e8d…
05-27 06:42:20	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f509f…
05-27 06:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ff869…
05-27 06:42:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x38320c…
05-27 06:28:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb0b22e…
05-27 06:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x12a3cf…
05-27 06:27:17	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdbe06a…
05-27 06:12:16	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x941231…
05-27 06:12:16	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0449be…
05-27 05:58:09	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e963d…
05-27 05:57:17	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8bf30…
05-27 05:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd230ee…
05-27 05:42:17	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x634d7a…
05-27 05:27:25	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb2e3f3…
05-27 05:27:25	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb20275…
05-20 19:15:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xdf5825…
05-20 02:46:15	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x4be661…
05-20 00:27:29	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	22	90¢	$19	0x56289b…
05-19 23:59:39	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xdb6e51…
05-19 22:46:34	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdf3d93…
05-19 22:46:34	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x3c1ae3…
05-19 22:46:27	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x093cd1…
05-19 22:45:57	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xba07f5…
05-19 02:29:12	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x4823fe…
05-19 02:03:16	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xafefa4…
05-19 00:03:08	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca09e0…
05-18 03:35:34	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc55d79…
05-18 03:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa511cd…
05-18 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdeaae5…
05-18 01:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x920f1e…
05-18 00:05:32	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x531652…
05-18 00:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xabb908…
05-17 23:40:31	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0xc97c3d…
05-17 23:18:30	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xadfea4…
05-17 22:55:15	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbef42…
05-17 05:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x004241…
05-17 05:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0d8798…
05-17 05:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xaa2664…
05-17 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	970	1¢	$10	0x8b5d5b…
05-17 05:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	970	1¢	$10	0xf2176b…
05-17 04:14:26	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x21b9a2…
05-17 04:02:09	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	22	91¢	$19	0xfd3c53…
05-17 03:54:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee1881…
05-17 03:54:06	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf35243…
05-17 03:33:20	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x15435b…
05-17 03:30:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5fb445…
05-17 02:26:08	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa30985…
05-17 02:22:57	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe683b9…
05-17 02:20:02	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xedf898…
05-17 02:19:38	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe5eb92…
05-17 01:22:16	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfee9ce…
05-17 01:14:09	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c37cd…
05-17 01:10:15	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x971f3a…
05-17 01:08:14	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf33763…
05-17 01:06:52	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x435046…
05-17 00:54:17	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x20f32e…
05-16 20:49:42	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x93f78a…
05-16 20:42:59	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4c5ec0…
05-16 20:41:25	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa47977…
05-16 20:38:37	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe2df47…
05-16 08:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe2187f…
05-16 08:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xc60267…
05-16 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x545522…
05-16 06:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	498	1¢	$5	0x32da1b…
05-16 06:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xefc83c…
05-16 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe67303…
05-16 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x8715e7…
05-16 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe051a1…
05-16 05:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x98790d…
05-16 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x23a446…