Fortunate-Statistic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$355

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$91

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-15 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

70% 73% +$355

Crypto

24% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+92	$91	99¢	$91	+$0	07-15 18:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba orl det 2026 04 22	7	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	04-23 01:23
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	2	$1.5K	1,410	100	+1,310	open	—	04-21 13:10
Spurs vs. Thunder	10	$1.2K	1,381	179	+1,202	open	—	05-19 03:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?	3	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-17 05:41
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	2	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	04-23 03:51
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	04-23 10:00
nba den min 2026 04 23	2	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	open	—	04-24 03:57
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	11	$1000	1,093	0	+1,093	open	—	04-22 05:13
Lakers vs. Rockets	9	$977	1,059	250	+809	open	—	04-25 02:59
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	8	$954	1,155	512	+643	open	—	06-06 03:28
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	7	$920	891	181	+711	Spurs	+$58	05-09 04:26
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	13	$870	1,201	0	+1,201	open	—	04-21 02:41
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	1	$826	827	0	+827	open	—	05-15 02:40
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$780	780	221	+559	open	—	06-09 03:21
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$760	763	0	+763	open	—	05-25 02:38
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	6	$736	860	0	+860	open	—	04-21 01:12
nba min den 2026 04 20	5	$733	1,181	0	+1,181	open	—	04-21 05:14
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	5	$730	517	517	+0	open	—	06-11 03:31
Spurs vs. Thunder	8	$707	820	0	+820	open	—	05-31 02:47
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$639	714	0	+714	open	—	05-29 03:09
Thunder vs. Lakers	13	$549	712	0	+712	Thunder	+$163	05-12 05:18
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	5	$538	628	0	+628	Spurs	+$90	05-13 02:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$534	535	0	+535	open	—	04-28 14:30
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	16	$532	524	318	+206	Timberwolves	$-62	05-05 04:03
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$504	507	0	+507	open	—	04-28 04:55
will bitcoin reach 69k on june 15	3	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-16 04:03
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	1	$495	495	0	+495	open	—	06-04 12:07
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$493	493	0	+493	open	—	06-15 08:38
Will Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?	1	$491	492	0	+492	open	—	05-18 03:17
will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	1	$445	445	0	+445	open	—	06-08 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 18:22:14	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x3c4d2b…
07-14 04:15:05	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8887cd…
07-14 04:14:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x8f90ec…
06-29 12:45:43	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70237a…
06-16 04:03:52	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 15	No	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0x27d9db…
06-16 02:30:58	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ccaa6…
06-16 02:30:57	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b144c…
06-15 08:38:58	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	493	100¢	$493	0x0fdb34…
06-15 04:14:06	will ethereum reach 1800 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x5addf1…
06-15 03:49:07	will ethereum reach 1800 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbc1c45…
06-14 03:28:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4a1d43…
06-14 03:22:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x82a2f8…
06-14 03:19:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x552d64…
06-14 02:05:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0x9b8676…
06-14 02:05:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x883b7a…
06-11 03:31:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	517	71¢	$367	0x5d1507…
06-11 03:11:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd48bf9…
06-11 02:35:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xa920f7…
06-11 02:32:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x448ca7…
06-11 00:44:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x20c46f…
06-09 03:21:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	559	98¢	$548	0xb9bf0e…
06-09 02:24:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	221	55¢	$122	0x1e0432…
06-09 01:38:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0a9d8e…
06-09 00:39:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0f8eee…
06-08 03:39:01	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0x896080…
06-08 03:37:43	will xrp reach 1pt2 on june 7	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe71ea7…
06-06 03:28:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	543	99¢	$540	0x14b55f…
06-06 03:14:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x5adab4…
06-06 03:08:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	512	33¢	$169	0xe9dabe…
06-06 02:59:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x06ec82…
06-06 02:44:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf9dafa…
06-06 02:20:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xbdff4a…
06-06 01:46:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x2b4e85…
06-05 01:19:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	No	BUY	396	100¢	$396	0x418a0f…
06-05 01:19:09	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7e9782…
06-04 12:07:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0xe3db33…
06-04 12:07:19	will bitcoin reach 71k on june 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b5f95…
06-04 06:08:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xbeaa50…
06-04 03:08:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	SELL	394	1¢	$4	0xb90a5b…
06-04 02:49:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc9f3ab…
06-04 02:40:30	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf90c2e…
06-04 02:28:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xa2e6c3…
06-04 01:36:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xddddd8…
06-03 01:36:00	Will XRP dip to $1.15 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cad0e…
06-02 08:50:55	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x426ff7…
05-31 02:47:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	363	98¢	$356	0xec8530…
05-31 02:46:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd70a5e…
05-31 02:46:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4fa1fd…
05-31 02:42:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5bad1c…
05-31 01:15:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc51536…
05-31 00:30:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x75675a…
05-30 14:09:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3d1c85…
05-29 08:48:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x77265c…
05-29 03:09:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0x81280f…
05-29 01:35:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0xced615…
05-28 12:06:27	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x88b372…
05-27 02:57:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5ce0e6…
05-27 02:48:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x9ba3da…
05-26 11:55:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x4b3d2f…
05-26 01:47:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	298	1¢	$4	0x666d23…
05-26 01:47:31	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x268f1e…
05-26 01:43:09	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x33f3b5…
05-26 00:59:59	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x2d6f62…
05-26 00:59:55	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8a51f2…
05-26 00:59:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x11bd72…
05-26 00:59:48	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x909dc7…
05-26 00:59:47	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x720101…
05-26 00:59:45	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb94dd7…
05-26 00:59:45	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x72f330…
05-26 00:54:37	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0xdf59e8…
05-25 12:41:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x12f23f…
05-25 02:38:36	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x655bab…
05-25 02:30:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x0fe968…
05-25 02:30:33	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	332	100¢	$331	0x64f7d7…
05-24 02:00:39	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xbe94d4…
05-24 01:51:57	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x2e9539…
05-24 01:47:08	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x658541…
05-24 01:47:05	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3b1998…
05-24 01:47:01	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa4c90e…
05-24 01:47:00	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x70a584…
05-24 01:46:54	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xcf8e27…
05-23 12:39:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x35c26b…
05-23 02:04:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5e0b29…
05-23 01:44:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x21eb6c…
05-23 01:29:34	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x862f35…
05-22 01:33:20	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0xa02226…
05-21 08:31:43	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xc42098…
05-21 02:35:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	301	31¢	$93	0xe95ace…
05-21 02:21:16	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf69f7f…
05-21 01:33:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x9e5c93…
05-20 04:03:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x6ce842…
05-20 02:50:03	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x896483…
05-20 02:36:22	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	104	17¢	$17	0xf17caa…
05-20 02:31:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	52	28¢	$15	0x9dd3af…
05-20 02:07:45	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xffdd00…
05-20 01:56:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4a4d65…
05-20 01:47:38	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x947b78…
05-19 12:19:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x07be4d…
05-19 03:39:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	922	99¢	$913	0x7756a1…
05-19 03:35:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x98b02d…