Tight-Immigration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$329

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-04 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 0% $-0

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

27% 67% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-05 08:52
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 03:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 06:00
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:57
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:05
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:36
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 07:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 06:46
Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:28:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5f90d1…
07-04 07:13:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2a3bc…
07-03 09:22:17	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xba61dd…
07-03 09:12:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b228f…
07-03 09:05:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d2e62…
07-03 08:58:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd75952…
07-01 06:52:29	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8ce999…
07-01 06:50:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb0ae99…
07-01 06:36:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2cbed…
07-01 06:30:53	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6192d3…
06-30 07:10:44	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x57cbaa…
06-30 06:58:50	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x165fd0…
06-29 08:03:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf1bb39…
06-29 07:52:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8dff36…
06-27 07:57:22	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x03af02…
06-27 07:55:49	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x006d68…
06-27 07:47:02	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd6c97…
06-27 07:33:41	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc8870f…
06-26 08:41:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8ec4c6…
06-26 08:39:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x53fe8c…
06-26 08:28:20	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ed828…
06-26 08:23:37	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xafb0ef…
06-25 07:27:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8aaef0…
06-25 07:26:07	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb82bce…
06-25 07:15:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb24f0…
06-25 07:10:38	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6634b…
06-24 08:58:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c54a7…
06-24 08:26:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x279fa2…
06-22 07:42:43	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x98096d…
06-22 07:40:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x328227…
06-22 07:26:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ca76f…
06-22 07:20:23	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb1c61…
06-21 07:37:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf5b1c3…
06-21 07:36:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x125211…
06-21 07:23:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb58587…
06-21 07:19:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4656e0…
06-18 07:51:01	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x763ae8…
06-18 07:36:04	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3952be…
06-17 07:32:40	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7dc02c…
06-17 07:30:07	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x612109…
06-17 07:18:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8981c1…
06-17 07:10:14	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x18ea22…
06-16 07:49:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8b0335…
06-16 07:48:18	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9229d4…
06-16 07:29:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ea7d7…
06-16 07:24:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc89e8e…
06-15 07:00:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xff90d2…
06-15 06:40:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x50c426…
06-13 08:33:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc7311e…
06-13 08:14:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x14fbe6…
06-12 08:09:46	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x226a07…
06-12 07:52:25	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x28fd1d…
06-11 08:26:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8c51ed…
06-11 08:23:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x020a49…
06-11 08:15:43	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe786a7…
06-11 08:14:21	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x699a26…
06-11 08:13:37	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x574c0f…
06-09 03:31:10	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97660a…
06-09 03:26:43	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x748465…
06-08 03:15:27	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a4872…
06-08 03:10:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x853041…
06-06 07:48:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe904e1…
06-06 07:26:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2333ee…
06-05 06:32:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0cc818…
06-05 06:31:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe3630d…
06-05 06:23:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25288e…
06-05 06:19:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf92f22…
06-04 07:23:07	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x651bf2…
06-04 07:03:34	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc778e1…
06-03 07:28:18	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7d2bf3…
06-03 07:25:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2695f2…
06-03 06:53:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd473ff…
06-03 06:30:40	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x769c4f…
06-02 06:16:17	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x840702…
06-02 04:37:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2e40dd…
06-02 04:35:29	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a10a1…
05-30 07:09:26	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x612d4b…
05-29 04:55:55	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c09ba…
05-29 04:53:05	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec00b2…
05-28 07:15:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x481a83…
05-28 07:14:12	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8f009f…
05-28 07:02:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd771c8…
05-28 06:58:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x595bcb…
05-27 08:21:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x499775…
05-27 07:29:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73977a…
05-25 06:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd61803…
05-25 06:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc25df0…
05-22 07:50:54	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb51302…
05-22 07:41:06	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x573c93…
05-22 07:26:14	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xee2377…
05-21 07:49:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x959389…
05-21 07:40:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb6028b…
05-20 07:17:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14033b…
05-20 06:53:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d6544…
05-19 06:07:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d8f8a…
05-19 04:46:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x849109…
05-18 08:15:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3cb529…
05-18 08:06:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ba14b…
05-16 06:46:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebc4f3…
05-16 06:41:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9e904…