Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$144

Unrealized P&L

+$176

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

128

507 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.89K

$14.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-31 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

62% 27% +$1,673

Tech

18% 22% -$1,483

Politics

16% 33% -$254

Crypto

4% 17% -$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+113	-$109	28¢	$31	+$141	10-28 23:29
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	-$20	89¢	$0	+$20	10-14 10:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+0	-$15	6¢	$0	+$15	10-21 02:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	59	$2.2K	4,118	2,352	+1,767	Yes	+$1,649	09-30 20:54
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	30	$1.6K	102,056	0	+102,056	Yes	-$1,563	09-30 19:05
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	27	$932	2,180	2,180	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	28	$800	1,331	58	+1,273	open	—	10-31 19:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$635	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$5	10-05 20:08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	9	$500	634	170	+464	Yes	+$99	09-17 17:32
Trump renames AI by September 30?	35	$470	17,192	527	+16,665	Yes	-$70	09-29 21:55
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	19	$411	367	365	+2	Yes	+$7	10-04 21:10
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	8	$388	538	0	+538	Yes	+$150	09-29 11:47
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	14	$362	1,095	982	+113	open	—	10-28 23:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	3	$290	500	500	+0	open	—	10-20 01:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	12	$289	275	275	+0	open	—	09-27 05:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	2	$264	231	231	+0	No	+$64	09-12 13:49
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	5	$254	280	280	+0	open	—	09-24 10:20
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	4	$250	250	250	+0	open	—	10-01 12:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$234	300	300	+0	Yes	+$12	10-03 10:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$205	500	500	+0	Yes	+$5	09-12 12:10
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$204	578	578	+0	Yes	+$4	09-10 13:19
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	6	$186	370	370	+0	open	—	10-01 07:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	5	$174	262	262	+0	open	—	09-26 13:34
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	14	$168	1,200	953	+247	No	-$20	10-01 17:01
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$164	217	217	+0	Yes	-$2	10-14 15:09
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	10	$159	1,498	1,498	+0	No	+$13	09-30 06:12
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	1	$150	248	0	+248	Yes	+$98	09-06 10:41
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	5	$138	165	165	+0	open	—	10-15 21:38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$135	243	243	+0	Yes	+$1	10-03 21:01
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	5	$134	230	230	+0	open	—	10-03 20:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$130	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	09-28 07:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$120	750	750	+0	open	—	10-21 02:45
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$113	90	90	+0	Yes	+$33	09-27 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:20:12	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x03486c…
10-31 19:20:06	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xc3f35e…
10-30 23:49:27	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xab04fc…
10-29 17:38:55	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	282	21¢	$59	0x6312bb…
10-28 23:29:20	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	113	15¢	$17	0x845dda…
10-28 23:25:50	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc15cc2…
10-28 23:25:46	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0x71ea47…
10-28 12:43:46	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x35fb8c…
10-28 11:51:58	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x573419…
10-28 11:47:28	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0x9c1b89…
10-28 11:47:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	32	21¢	$7	0xd9dd30…
10-28 11:47:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xc5a8a6…
10-28 11:47:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x3c5802…
10-28 11:47:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	710	21¢	$149	0x1c5021…
10-28 11:47:13	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	73	22¢	$16	0x897d70…
10-28 11:45:29	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	400	23¢	$92	0x91775c…
10-28 11:45:14	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x90b837…
10-27 23:04:53	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc12e75…
10-27 23:03:12	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	469	20¢	$94	0x364fd0…
10-27 00:30:02	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x241e07…
10-27 00:29:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xcd4071…
10-27 00:26:42	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xaba705…
10-27 00:26:38	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x1c2dc4…
10-27 00:26:30	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xc90048…
10-27 00:26:24	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xeace8e…
10-27 00:26:18	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x950dd6…
10-27 00:25:48	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x1b2b87…
10-27 00:25:41	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xfc1c59…
10-27 00:22:11	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	218	16¢	$35	0x6f9c96…
10-27 00:21:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0x195f90…
10-25 22:28:02	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x6093cd…
10-25 00:37:33	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x979425…
10-25 00:37:27	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0xe06e67…
10-25 00:37:18	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x5932ef…
10-24 09:54:12	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x96bf84…
10-23 21:22:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	768	7¢	$55	0xf1a3dd…
10-23 21:21:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	232	7¢	$17	0xa9edd7…
10-23 21:17:08	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xb383f4…
10-23 21:10:59	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xd430b0…
10-23 21:10:56	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x165a50…
10-23 21:10:53	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x02bf70…
10-23 21:10:45	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0xe5a5c4…
10-23 21:10:32	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xc9dc39…
10-23 21:10:29	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0xcab70f…
10-23 21:10:24	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3a61a5…
10-23 21:10:20	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	54¢	$181	0xbfe570…
10-23 21:08:20	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xf132d8…
10-23 21:08:09	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4ebb9d…
10-23 21:06:11	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	58	49¢	$29	0x068e7c…
10-23 21:02:50	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x53f36f…
10-23 21:00:36	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0x77a31e…
10-23 20:59:18	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xd61f0c…
10-21 02:45:56	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x677bca…
10-21 02:45:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xea8037…
10-21 01:36:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xbc3772…
10-21 01:25:21	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0xece89c…
10-21 01:02:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x352e21…
10-21 00:50:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	249	9¢	$22	0xacb2b4…
10-20 20:58:54	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x73de6b…
10-20 20:58:41	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x0b2e29…
10-20 01:45:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xf42621…
10-19 23:00:32	Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xd03213…
10-18 08:29:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xfb9434…
10-18 05:09:06	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	114	24¢	$27	0x8b71c9…
10-18 05:09:02	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0xf6ee2f…
10-18 05:01:51	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	94	24¢	$22	0x4cb7f4…
10-18 05:01:51	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	99	24¢	$24	0x2318f7…
10-18 05:01:17	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	117	24¢	$28	0x2fd579…
10-17 13:33:00	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	536	24¢	$129	0x885818…
10-15 23:27:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65f7ac…
10-15 23:14:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xfc2e9b…
10-15 21:38:30	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xa30c02…
10-15 21:38:12	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x017d2a…
10-15 21:36:45	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	110	39¢	$43	0x3d9e6f…
10-14 15:09:10	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	37¢	$45	0x33f23f…
10-14 10:44:07	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	37¢	$36	0x474ad0…
10-14 10:39:23	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x06b6eb…
10-14 10:39:17	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	152	5¢	$8	0x54c3e7…
10-14 10:39:14	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6113f4…
10-14 10:38:28	republican house odds hit 20 by october 31	Yes	SELL	811	1¢	$9	0x117ec9…
10-14 10:36:50	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0xde962f…
10-12 15:55:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x18d525…
10-10 21:54:12	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	166	24¢	$40	0x45957b…
10-10 16:13:31	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x535997…
10-10 15:33:18	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	96	24¢	$23	0x856895…
10-10 13:47:03	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	228	24¢	$55	0x3aeebe…
10-10 13:43:49	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	222	24¢	$53	0xc8eb23…
10-10 13:42:34	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0xe9e3f4…
10-10 13:42:27	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	68	24¢	$16	0xf351e6…
10-09 11:01:04	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xa735b1…
10-07 10:04:44	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xd82c78…
10-06 12:45:21	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xa05a42…
10-06 12:41:36	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xb2abe8…
10-05 20:08:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x060941…
10-05 19:51:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,300	21¢	$273	0x284be2…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	83	65¢	$54	0x6ef88d…
10-04 15:30:32	Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$17	0x41cb5e…
10-04 15:30:11	Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	211	3¢	$6	0xa1c047…
10-04 15:24:31	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x241222…
10-04 14:58:34	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xcb04c5…