Grubby-Populist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-11 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% — —

Crypto

9% 100% +$6

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp schwaer piros 2026 03 01	2	$5.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-01 10:28
atp schwaer piros 2026 03 01 set totals 2pt5	2	$2.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-01 10:27
atp schwaer piros 2026 03 01 first set total 8pt5	3	$2.4K	4,200	1,300	+2,900	open	—	03-01 13:40
wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	4	$1.5K	3,000	8	+2,992	open	—	06-11 17:53
highest temperature in denver on april 12 2026 68forhigher	3	$494	300	200	+100	open	—	04-12 08:15
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 4.5	2	$307	310	310	+0	open	—	05-28 11:30
bitcoin up or down on february 2	7	$253	156	156	+0	open	—	02-02 14:45
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$228	287	287	+0	open	—	02-13 08:22
btc updown 5m 1774702200	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	03-28 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 27?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 08:06
atp tabilo vachero 2026 05 28 match total 40pt5	2	$191	390	0	+390	open	—	05-28 11:18
btc updown 15m 1772707500	8	$189	109	97	+12	open	—	03-05 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 27?	3	$170	172	0	+172	open	—	04-25 05:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$162	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 17:00
infinex fdv above 400m one day after launch 564 812 111	2	$162	372	0	+372	open	—	01-30 19:21
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	12	$122	148	148	+0	open	—	02-07 21:20
will the super bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds 852	2	$120	140	0	+140	open	—	02-08 12:46
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	4	$119	204	4	+200	open	—	05-23 15:51
highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	5	$112	115	0	+115	open	—	04-18 13:13
cs2 all og1 2026 02 11 game2	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 14:30
btc updown 5m 1771313400	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-17 07:34
btc updown 15m 1772706600	2	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-05 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	05-12 19:44
highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 67forbelow	2	$89	92	0	+92	open	—	04-17 17:17
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	6	$85	70	70	+0	open	—	04-21 06:06
btc updown 15m 1772650800	4	$82	125	23	+102	open	—	03-04 19:09
dota2 ty og 2026 02 03	1	$75	119	0	+119	open	—	02-03 10:55
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 55forbelow	2	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 22:06
epl not cry 2026 02 01 cry	3	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 15:35
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	1	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	05-23 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:53:18	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x3a279c…
06-11 17:49:28	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	2,982	49¢	$1,461	0xafc328…
06-11 17:47:18	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc14142…
06-11 17:45:07	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb88701…
05-28 11:30:38	Alejandro Tabilo vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	SELL	310	50¢	$155	0x45f75d…
05-28 11:18:13	atp tabilo vachero 2026 05 28 match total 40pt5	Over	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0x1c7c0d…
05-28 09:24:09	atp tabilo vachero 2026 05 28 match total 40pt5	Over	BUY	194	49¢	$95	0xac19b3…
05-28 08:15:19	Alejandro Tabilo vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	310	49¢	$152	0xd693e5…
05-23 19:31:39	CD Moquegua vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	52	60¢	$32	0xcca80e…
05-23 16:28:25	Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	Atreides	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x2a6e73…
05-23 15:51:39	Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	ENCE	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbd1e09…
05-23 15:51:30	Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	Atreides	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x49d681…
05-23 15:49:45	Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	Atreides	BUY	101	76¢	$77	0xa47bdb…
05-23 15:47:23	Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	ENCE	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x00e443…
05-21 20:17:30	LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner	Winthrop University	BUY	148	25¢	$37	0xa5328d…
05-18 02:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6394b1…
05-18 02:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x858741…
05-18 02:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xe7a025…
05-18 02:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf1b9e0…
05-14 19:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0xb6bc67…
05-14 19:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb9b918…
05-14 19:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x728d6e…
05-14 19:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa537ca…
05-14 17:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x6d8849…
05-14 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xcca62a…
05-12 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35f0fc…
05-09 15:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe82e03…
04-27 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd687a7…
04-27 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xde8f0b…
04-27 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7faa56…
04-27 09:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xabc47a…
04-26 08:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0c3810…
04-26 04:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x00d870…
04-25 05:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 27?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0xada704…
04-25 05:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 27?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x2c9329…
04-25 05:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 27?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x75028e…
04-21 06:06:52	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x35bad5…
04-21 06:05:12	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	SELL	64	43¢	$27	0x134d36…
04-20 09:13:10	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x181376…
04-19 18:46:56	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb7bceb…
04-19 14:53:32	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$19	0x5cce47…
04-19 14:38:56	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc59a10…
04-19 14:37:18	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x5fed2c…
04-19 13:31:16	highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 76forhigher	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1a66e4…
04-18 22:06:18	highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 55forbelow	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xefac50…
04-18 20:17:22	highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 55forbelow	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xdc6aca…
04-18 13:13:24	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x4ef106…
04-18 13:13:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x667bd3…
04-18 13:13:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1fd4ac…
04-18 13:13:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x054eeb…
04-18 13:13:04	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0xaf4f89…
04-17 17:38:56	highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 26corhigher	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xf8403a…
04-17 17:17:52	highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 67forbelow	No	BUY	72	97¢	$69	0x423352…
04-17 16:32:56	highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 67forbelow	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7aa021…
04-17 16:10:48	highest temperature in dallas on april 17 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x049d36…
04-14 19:52:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	Yes	SELL	37	20¢	$7	0xb40af0…
04-14 19:36:08	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x715533…
04-14 19:13:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x7456f5…
04-14 19:04:48	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x73f48e…
04-14 19:04:46	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x8c4395…
04-14 19:04:44	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd1b6fd…
04-14 19:04:14	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed5dcd…
04-14 19:04:14	highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 80forhigher	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xdf66d5…
04-13 08:03:23	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$46	0x93d6e1…
04-12 08:15:35	highest temperature in denver on april 12 2026 68forhigher	Yes	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x6db85c…
04-12 08:13:37	highest temperature in denver on april 12 2026 68forhigher	Yes	SELL	136	99¢	$134	0x95424d…
04-12 07:14:07	highest temperature in denver on april 12 2026 68forhigher	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xe7285b…
04-12 06:50:57	highest temperature in houston on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xebe64f…
04-08 21:24:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xa17f73…
04-08 21:14:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x429cd0…
04-08 20:52:19	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x9831ee…
04-08 20:48:07	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xa9865f…
04-08 20:41:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xca409a…
04-08 20:40:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x9a1904…
04-08 20:39:59	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9ced85…
04-08 20:37:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcda2f0…
04-04 20:26:45	highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xf643dd…
04-04 20:26:45	highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaf7429…
04-04 20:26:45	highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaa5f08…
04-04 20:26:43	highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xe5d629…
04-04 19:42:49	highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4437b0…
04-03 15:08:01	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xec5386…
04-03 15:08:01	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe4caae…
04-03 15:08:01	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xb03a32…
04-03 15:08:01	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x4b9ada…
04-03 15:07:59	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x00cfbf…
04-03 15:06:51	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1c9799…
03-31 20:14:53	atp fuente acosta 2026 03 31	Santiago De La Fuente	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5b0b36…
03-28 13:02:51	btc updown 5m 1774702800	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2f8093…
03-28 12:54:29	btc updown 5m 1774702200	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x16c21c…
03-28 12:53:45	btc updown 5m 1774702200	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x41cb65…
03-05 11:27:11	btc updown 15m 1772709300	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x276eb3…
03-05 10:59:21	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x6f7e07…
03-05 10:59:21	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x19e118…
03-05 10:59:21	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0cd2d9…
03-05 10:59:19	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe0e655…
03-05 10:59:19	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x5c090e…
03-05 10:58:13	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x4fa887…
03-05 10:58:13	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x2fafb8…
03-05 10:53:29	btc updown 15m 1772707500	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x057dbc…