Serious-Orchestra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$495

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-09 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 38% $-40

Politics

18% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$84	59	57	+2	open	—	04-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$64	589	56	+533	Up	+$4	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$56	42	46	-4	Up	+$31	05-08 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$43	42	40	+2	open	—	04-25 14:34
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	2	$42	77	77	+0	open	—	04-08 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	5	$42	103	0	+103	Down	$-42	05-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$29	400	400	+0	Down	$-5	05-08 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 11:45
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$26	85	85	+0	No	+$2	04-12 08:53
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$21	174	174	+0	open	—	04-12 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$20	109	0	+109	open	—	04-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$20	84	84	+0	Down	$-18	05-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$10	115	0	+115	Up	$-10	05-08 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$9	172	0	+172	Up	$-9	05-08 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa132ee…
05-09 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa8c6db…
05-09 11:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xbe88b9…
05-09 11:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa27bf6…
05-09 11:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7367a7…
05-09 11:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb0d9be…
05-09 11:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd3eb14…
05-09 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x532d16…
05-08 22:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6098c1…
05-08 22:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xf70e80…
05-08 22:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3c6bda…
05-08 22:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa9b4bc…
05-08 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x0323ce…
05-08 21:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xea5d49…
05-08 21:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0x44ab05…
05-08 21:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x160e90…
05-08 21:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0x758fed…
05-08 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8e91e6…
05-08 21:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdb8905…
05-08 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xb0db5b…
05-08 14:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0xd6444d…
05-08 14:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe5b7c6…
05-08 14:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8fd4e5…
05-08 14:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x655274…
05-08 14:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	61¢	$34	0x27d065…
05-08 14:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa36013…
04-25 14:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xe1f883…
04-25 14:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x584134…
04-25 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x08ec01…
04-25 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x32476d…
04-25 14:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xf4f6ff…
04-25 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd2f378…
04-12 08:53:33	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	174	7¢	$11	0x2bbba0…
04-12 08:53:07	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	16¢	$14	0x6e02be…
04-09 07:03:59	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0xb5c6c7…
04-08 15:07:11	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	42¢	$32	0x25dccf…
04-01 07:37:53	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	14¢	$12	0x42f265…
03-30 13:20:38	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x17c06f…