Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

356

Trades

936

lifetime

Volume

$8.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-10-14

last 11-15 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 54% -$2

Other

21% 52% +$18

Politics

12% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	—	+17	$9	98¢	$16	+$8	11-15 08:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-15 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	3	$302	201	201	+0	No	+$1	10-21 23:37
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$302	201	201	+0	open	—	10-24 14:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$283	201	201	+0	Yes	-$2	10-21 16:38
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	4	$229	201	201	+0	No	+$0	10-27 00:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$227	201	201	+0	No	-$6	10-15 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	33	$156	310	0	+310	Down	-$11	11-12 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	27	$142	294	0	+294	Up	+$10	11-12 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	23	$141	255	0	+255	Down	-$36	11-12 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	28	$132	280	0	+280	Down	-$7	11-12 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	18	$127	240	0	+240	Up	-$7	11-12 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	22	$119	232	0	+232	Up	-$4	11-12 03:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$109	201	201	+0	open	—	10-14 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$105	219	0	+219	Up	+$5	11-12 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	19	$104	223	0	+223	Up	+$11	11-12 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	22	$98	208	0	+208	Up	-$11	11-12 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	19	$93	182	0	+182	Down	-$17	11-12 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	22	$93	212	0	+212	Down	-$11	11-12 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	37	$86	163	0	+163	Up	-$1	11-12 16:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 15:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	2	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-27 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	12	$62	135	0	+135	Down	-$2	11-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	10	$60	123	0	+123	Down	$0	11-12 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	11	$58	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	11-12 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	9	$58	120	0	+120	Down	+$2	11-12 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	11	$54	120	0	+120	Down	-$9	11-12 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$52	34	34	+0	Down	+$16	11-14 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$51	105	0	+105	Down	-$6	11-12 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$46	69	69	+0	Down	+$10	11-14 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$45	34	34	+0	Down	+$8	11-14 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 08:29:53	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xadf6bb…
11-15 08:15:53	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xfd8638…
11-15 08:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xc2bccc…
11-15 08:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x05ae08…
11-15 07:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x6e6e09…
11-15 07:44:47	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xd69883…
11-15 07:41:13	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xd04863…
11-15 07:41:08	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x488f99…
11-15 07:41:01	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0be2ad…
11-15 07:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x273a37…
11-15 07:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xf46465…
11-15 07:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xae24b3…
11-15 06:59:53	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x0047e9…
11-15 06:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdf81d2…
11-15 06:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x4e2160…
11-15 06:29:47	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2caed3…
11-15 06:14:47	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x2f9861…
11-15 06:07:04	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x671258…
11-15 06:07:04	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x60d58c…
11-15 05:59:47	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x97b5fa…
11-15 05:44:47	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xf52d8b…
11-15 05:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7189f9…
11-15 05:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2ee294…
11-15 04:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x6210f3…
11-15 04:44:47	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x49fd57…
11-15 04:29:53	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd245a6…
11-15 04:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x668b18…
11-15 04:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf7f3c2…
11-15 04:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x53362a…
11-15 04:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4f6d5a…
11-15 04:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0f8445…
11-15 03:59:47	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x1fb04a…
11-15 03:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	57¢	$16	0x17f2d9…
11-15 03:29:47	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0xda23dd…
11-15 03:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc09b2b…
11-15 03:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbc427a…
11-15 03:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x861c1e…
11-15 03:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x270c56…
11-15 03:11:08	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe6dc36…
11-15 03:11:02	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd4eca5…
11-15 02:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x5b3505…
11-15 02:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x58a4f9…
11-15 02:37:23	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x595d53…
11-15 02:29:47	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x925ea2…
11-15 02:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x3694c7…
11-15 02:06:52	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xdf720c…
11-15 02:06:35	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3d9a4a…
11-15 02:00:04	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x77581f…
11-15 01:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x59c2dd…
11-15 01:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xf3d5f7…
11-15 01:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa8bec9…
11-15 01:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x94be57…
11-15 01:00:04	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc5c0e9…
11-15 00:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11df77…
11-15 00:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdb3ecf…
11-15 00:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x7206e6…
11-15 00:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x697326…
11-15 00:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$13	0x1b5cf5…
11-14 23:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77c900…
11-14 23:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4abb50…
11-14 23:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x37ce9e…
11-14 23:45:04	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x9f60ff…
11-14 23:45:04	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x3ebaa5…
11-14 23:44:52	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbc47a5…
11-14 23:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x48bae3…
11-14 23:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4a8510…
11-14 23:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3a92ae…
11-14 22:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	42¢	$14	0xebc95d…
11-14 22:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x19cc1c…
11-14 22:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x9d5712…
11-14 22:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x336cd0…
11-14 22:10:29	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcdd069…
11-14 22:09:01	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x3d37c6…
11-14 21:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x51efab…
11-14 21:29:47	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x46066e…
11-14 21:14:50	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x8cc1d5…
11-14 21:00:07	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x4e4049…
11-14 20:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfba506…
11-14 20:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xeee19c…
11-14 20:54:10	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb48e1f…
11-14 20:54:10	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b8866…
11-14 20:54:10	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x59658b…
11-14 20:54:01	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x778411…
11-14 20:45:05	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xfe5dd8…
11-14 20:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x3a0c2c…
11-14 20:15:04	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x7cb691…
11-14 20:14:59	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf04fb5…
11-14 20:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x947358…
11-14 19:59:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x98518d…
11-14 19:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	58¢	$18	0xfbc100…
11-14 19:29:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0x0de40f…
11-14 19:14:49	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x07485e…
11-14 19:04:44	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc85f0d…
11-14 19:00:01	BNB Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb8e392…
11-14 18:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xbbb13a…
11-14 18:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x5e7ffa…
11-14 18:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x1eecac…
11-14 18:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x1d0cb5…
11-14 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x52fef9…
11-14 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x69fb63…