Busy-Television — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

554

lifetime

Volume

$819

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-13 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 38% $-13

Politics

6% 0% $-46

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$45	45,000	0	+45,000	Yes	$-45	05-09 19:20
btc updown 15m 1775736900	3	$37	39	36	+3	open	—	04-09 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$27	707	6	+701	Up	$-17	05-13 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$25	28	27	+1	Up	+$19	05-09 19:59
btc updown 15m 1774011600	5	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	03-20 13:11
btc updown 5m 1774013100	3	$16	31	25	+6	open	—	03-20 13:28
btc updown 5m 1775741700	4	$15	13	12	+1	open	—	04-09 13:39
btc updown 15m 1774101600	3	$15	246	0	+246	open	—	03-21 14:09
btc updown 5m 1774005000	5	$14	14	13	+0	open	—	03-20 11:13
btc updown 5m 1774015200	3	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	03-20 14:03
btc updown 5m 1774015800	3	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	03-20 14:13
btc updown 15m 1775765700	11	$11	247	0	+247	open	—	04-09 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$10	44	0	+44	Up	$-10	05-13 18:19
btc updown 15m 1775741400	9	$10	590	0	+590	open	—	04-09 13:44
btc updown 15m 1775739600	8	$9	714	0	+714	open	—	04-09 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$9	31	6	+25	Down	+$1	05-09 20:24
btc updown 15m 1774012500	8	$8	125	0	+125	open	—	03-20 13:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 06:50
btc updown 15m 1775763000	7	$7	191	0	+191	open	—	04-09 19:42
btc updown 15m 1774098900	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 13:27
btc updown 15m 1774202400	5	$6	18	4	+15	open	—	03-22 18:12
btc updown 15m 1774039500	2	$6	67	0	+67	open	—	03-20 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$6	21	0	+21	Up	$-6	05-13 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$6	28	0	+28	Up	$-6	05-10 19:16
btc updown 15m 1775818800	6	$6	146	0	+146	open	—	04-10 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:53
btc updown 5m 1774006200	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-20 11:35
btc updown 5m 1774040400	4	$5	13	3	+10	open	—	03-20 21:02
btc updown 5m 1774101900	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	03-21 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x61bf9d…
05-13 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x8a718f…
05-13 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x21dcc7…
05-13 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbde974…
05-13 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x637766…
05-13 18:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x48659d…
05-13 18:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbd68ed…
05-13 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x14fc17…
05-13 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x72f10e…
05-13 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x67f85f…
05-13 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xea92bc…
05-13 18:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7304b4…
05-13 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3eb7d4…
05-13 17:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7bc45a…
05-13 17:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb04834…
05-13 17:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa5dd81…
05-13 17:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0eab0b…
05-12 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6e46ef…
05-12 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe14e56…
05-12 17:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x442df4…
05-12 17:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5536d4…
05-12 17:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x02db03…
05-12 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb6d2fa…
05-12 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x278853…
05-12 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c193f…
05-12 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x74cbe4…
05-12 17:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x197672…
05-12 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf3c250…
05-12 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x282d38…
05-12 17:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb5f239…
05-12 17:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb46004…
05-12 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x14b195…
05-12 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x170f5f…
05-12 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe7b633…
05-12 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb0aaf5…
05-12 17:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x78c75c…
05-12 17:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6a4333…
05-12 17:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe42d30…
05-12 17:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5edc82…
05-12 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x81e1ef…
05-12 06:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6a526c…
05-12 06:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfb4562…
05-12 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xce62cd…
05-10 19:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xce657e…
05-10 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x183840…
05-10 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x508fb7…
05-10 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x0ca84d…
05-10 18:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e0b6f…
05-10 18:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x838f12…
05-10 18:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b621e…
05-10 18:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa31eb…
05-10 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x991541…
05-10 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf1ae0b…
05-10 18:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd7fd50…
05-10 18:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x862c62…
05-10 18:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbc18b1…
05-10 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4914d9…
05-10 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x57b1c4…
05-10 18:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x33bd1d…
05-10 18:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x66f572…
05-10 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x776ffd…
05-10 18:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x311384…
05-10 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x55b740…
05-10 17:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8f6e3…
05-10 17:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6bdf5f…
05-10 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1097a7…
05-10 17:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaf9fc8…
05-10 17:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10f985…
05-10 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf757bb…
05-10 17:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9df156…
05-10 17:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b9a67…
05-10 17:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc68bc5…
05-10 17:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x945f8c…
05-10 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x922561…
05-10 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff4df8…
05-10 17:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bb362…
05-10 17:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7ea4c9…
05-10 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc4ec6e…
05-10 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2c2796…
05-10 17:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ffcbb…
05-10 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5864b6…
05-10 17:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x98c98c…
05-10 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcd3a47…
05-10 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x063351…
05-10 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x199aba…
05-10 16:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6f3f52…
05-10 16:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb4fc92…
05-10 16:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7dd900…
05-10 16:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x450434…
05-10 16:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x74be68…
05-10 16:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8745dd…
05-10 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e79e5…
05-10 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd2ef3a…
05-10 16:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x980d04…
05-10 16:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x211e70…
05-10 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb871f6…
05-10 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd216ce…
05-10 16:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x772db2…
05-10 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4f7b51…
05-10 16:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xac52ef…