Reasonable-Reparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$292

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$7.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-09 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

95% 56% +$285

Other

3% 100% +$7

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	3	$598	418	418	+0	open	—	03-29 02:43
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	21	$502	779	608	+171	Yaroslav Amosov	$-27	05-06 03:09
ufc you1 man14 2026 03 28	3	$333	569	236	+333	open	—	03-29 00:50
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	4	$253	492	0	+492	open	—	04-08 03:48
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	14	$244	330	234	+96	open	—	05-14 19:46
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	7	$229	377	320	+57	open	—	04-26 03:24
ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	4	$180	409	0	+409	open	—	06-04 03:01
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	12	$175	200	200	+0	Golden Knights	+$16	05-13 02:20
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	5	$171	130	130	+0	open	—	05-30 13:35
Stars vs. Wild	5	$166	226	186	+40	open	—	05-01 01:56
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	4	$164	126	126	+0	open	—	06-03 03:58
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	3	$153	109	109	+0	open	—	05-17 00:12
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	4	$134	101	100	+2	open	—	04-12 03:30
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	7	$134	116	115	+1	Sean Brady	+$45	05-10 02:28
Avalanche vs. Wild	3	$131	222	122	+100	Avalanche	+$11	05-12 02:40
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	5	$130	85	85	+1	open	—	04-12 02:43
Sabres vs. Canadiens	3	$130	145	95	+50	Sabres	+$42	05-13 02:00
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	2	$126	101	101	+1	open	—	04-05 02:43
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	3	$121	209	209	+0	Avalanche	+$21	05-12 02:24
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	4	$121	102	102	+0	Yes	+$82	05-10 04:19
ufc jul ler1 2026 03 28	3	$114	384	0	+384	open	—	03-29 01:14
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	4	$106	78	76	+1	open	—	04-26 02:50
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	3	$101	224	65	+159	open	—	05-23 02:36
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	06-09 20:12
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	5	$100	148	148	+0	Washington Nationals	+$31	05-14 01:30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$98	81	80	+1	Sean Strickland	+$63	05-10 04:56
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$92	76	75	+1	Joshua Van	+$37	05-10 03:50
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$90	61	60	+1	open	—	05-02 16:57
O/U 2.5 Rounds	2	$86	56	56	+0	open	—	05-17 02:32
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$86	61	61	+0	open	—	05-17 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:34:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xfcac6a…
06-09 20:12:45	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x52c75c…
06-05 11:20:34	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06	Junior Tafa	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x38a11c…
06-04 03:01:37	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xac059a…
06-04 02:54:46	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x90aa64…
06-04 02:53:46	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x977880…
06-03 03:58:01	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0x72a8f0…
06-03 02:38:53	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x03fbb2…
06-03 02:36:28	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	71	78¢	$56	0xcacd6f…
06-02 19:20:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbe8a8b…
06-01 02:42:42	UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Santiago Luna	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x7dd38b…
06-01 02:36:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe6abc2…
05-30 18:29:39	UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0f5a0c…
05-30 18:27:19	UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Steve Garcia	BUY	103	40¢	$41	0x7a5bd1…
05-30 18:24:36	UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tom Nolan	BUY	154	30¢	$46	0xe5a15a…
05-30 18:16:23	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x38fa20…
05-30 13:35:01	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa8ffe8…
05-30 13:31:50	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x18bca2…
05-30 13:10:17	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb8df9f…
05-30 12:58:42	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x029a3f…
05-30 12:37:28	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4f33af…
05-26 02:03:46	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0x3ecc27…
05-24 12:16:56	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	91	32¢	$29	0xa01c68…
05-24 07:16:45	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe37e8c…
05-23 10:51:52	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x680ae6…
05-23 02:36:58	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0xd03244…
05-23 02:09:49	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x0cb734…
05-23 01:41:49	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	121	25¢	$30	0xa287ea…
05-22 02:36:59	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5f67ab…
05-19 02:19:45	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4b62e0…
05-18 23:36:36	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	103	24¢	$24	0xb68497…
05-18 02:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc0616f…
05-17 02:33:22	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb85735…
05-17 02:32:58	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xeee8e1…
05-17 01:47:17	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8b559a…
05-17 00:58:33	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe4fbfa…
05-17 00:51:56	UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x992be8…
05-17 00:48:41	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2d38c1…
05-17 00:28:11	UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x339439…
05-17 00:25:51	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x5c0ea2…
05-17 00:15:51	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa03982…
05-17 00:12:05	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x25eaa7…
05-16 01:36:37	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x31c72e…
05-16 01:26:25	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x345465…
05-15 13:32:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x1142db…
05-15 00:47:33	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0x5ec8f3…
05-15 00:44:33	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x24cb84…
05-15 00:24:41	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xdaf2e7…
05-15 00:22:44	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x1bd487…
05-15 00:20:17	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8e28b5…
05-14 23:49:18	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x15c4fa…
05-14 20:59:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6ff95f…
05-14 20:58:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$10	0x1f65d5…
05-14 20:58:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf009a2…
05-14 20:58:04	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4854df…
05-14 19:46:47	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x38c749…
05-14 19:01:19	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xaf75f0…
05-14 18:51:10	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7b1159…
05-14 18:44:46	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe18053…
05-14 18:35:40	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tuco Tokkos	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x784f1f…
05-14 18:30:57	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6142ce…
05-14 17:30:54	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x67795f…
05-14 17:30:20	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfe7512…
05-14 17:29:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x4d34f0…
05-14 02:40:14	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	80	13¢	$11	0xd08923…
05-14 02:05:47	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	104	7¢	$8	0xef83f1…
05-14 02:04:30	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbc06e3…
05-14 02:02:50	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0xe782e4…
05-14 01:42:24	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf8f0cc…
05-14 01:33:30	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x195a83…
05-14 01:30:37	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	138	45¢	$62	0xcf3987…
05-14 01:26:53	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x335c0e…
05-14 01:25:23	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xcc699e…
05-14 01:24:10	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x76a3bf…
05-14 01:21:34	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	61	43¢	$26	0x9b2f6c…
05-14 00:59:52	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb8ab5e…
05-14 00:58:28	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xb51f9f…
05-13 23:50:45	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	SELL	134	42¢	$56	0x18de0f…
05-13 02:34:05	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0c769d…
05-13 02:20:21	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x09d171…
05-13 02:20:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xff58bd…
05-13 02:20:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x51e475…
05-13 02:20:16	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x232764…
05-13 02:20:12	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x3cad93…
05-13 02:20:11	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xe7e510…
05-13 02:20:07	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xdcb7eb…
05-13 02:19:58	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x8df586…
05-13 02:16:42	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc0d613…
05-13 02:15:32	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x926e54…
05-13 02:08:03	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x70780d…
05-13 02:00:22	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x858a9a…
05-13 01:59:16	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	95	90¢	$86	0x91a134…
05-13 01:24:26	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0xa22ce6…
05-12 22:41:06	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xea20d3…
05-12 22:38:34	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x4d888f…
05-12 22:38:20	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf9ca15…
05-12 02:40:40	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xdcd82e…
05-12 02:24:09	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x00c2ef…
05-12 02:24:04	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0xea112c…
05-12 01:47:35	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe85efd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	101	$167.0K	2,001	06-09 23:51
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	84	$276.6K	2,463	06-07 01:29
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	83	$14.5K	1,596	05-22 15:35
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	81	$11.7K	1,372	06-03 02:49
Single-Crazy 0xe401…7b88	78	$158.7K	3,149	06-03 02:50
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	75	$88.5K	680	06-03 02:19
Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f	67	$24.2K	480	06-07 01:25
Supportive-Revelation 0xa07d…a037	67	$5.70K	806	05-17 02:43