Reasonable-Reparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$292

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-29 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

95% 56% +$285

Other

2% 100% +$7

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	3	$598	418	418	+0	open	—	03-29 02:43
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	21	$502	779	608	+171	Yaroslav Amosov	$-27	05-06 03:09
ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	15	$429	586	293	+293	open	—	06-27 02:34
ufc you1 man14 2026 03 28	3	$333	569	236	+333	open	—	03-29 00:50
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	4	$253	492	0	+492	open	—	04-08 03:48
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	14	$244	330	234	+96	open	—	05-14 19:46
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	7	$229	377	320	+57	open	—	04-26 03:24
ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	4	$180	409	0	+409	open	—	06-04 03:01
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	12	$175	200	200	+0	Golden Knights	+$16	05-13 02:20
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	5	$171	130	130	+0	open	—	05-30 13:35
Stars vs. Wild	5	$166	226	186	+40	open	—	05-01 01:56
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	4	$164	126	126	+0	open	—	06-03 03:58
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	3	$153	109	109	+0	open	—	05-17 00:12
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	4	$134	101	100	+2	open	—	04-12 03:30
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	7	$134	116	115	+1	Sean Brady	+$45	05-10 02:28
Avalanche vs. Wild	3	$131	222	122	+100	Avalanche	+$11	05-12 02:40
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	5	$130	85	85	+1	open	—	04-12 02:43
Sabres vs. Canadiens	3	$130	145	95	+50	Sabres	+$42	05-13 02:00
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	2	$126	101	101	+1	open	—	04-05 02:43
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	3	$121	209	209	+0	Avalanche	+$21	05-12 02:24
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	4	$121	102	102	+0	Yes	+$82	05-10 04:19
ufc jul ler1 2026 03 28	3	$114	384	0	+384	open	—	03-29 01:14
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	4	$106	78	76	+1	open	—	04-26 02:50
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	3	$101	224	65	+159	open	—	05-23 02:36
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	06-09 20:12
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	5	$100	148	148	+0	Washington Nationals	+$31	05-14 01:30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$98	81	80	+1	Sean Strickland	+$63	05-10 04:56
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$92	76	75	+1	Joshua Van	+$37	05-10 03:50
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$90	61	60	+1	open	—	05-02 16:57
O/U 2.5 Rounds	2	$86	56	56	+0	open	—	05-17 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:09:26	ufc eth1 far1 2026 07 11	Ethyn Ewing	BUY	32	51¢	$17	0xc4a4ab…
06-29 17:10:43	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x4c2959…
06-29 07:27:23	ufc eth1 far1 2026 07 11	Ethyn Ewing	BUY	68	51¢	$34	0xad8ca9…
06-29 03:07:10	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3871d2…
06-28 22:30:46	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xfe43a3…
06-28 22:30:44	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc69411…
06-28 21:11:28	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9d40fd…
06-28 21:11:26	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x193a04…
06-28 20:57:04	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11	King Green	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x9d5356…
06-28 20:49:20	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x18701c…
06-28 20:44:40	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11	King Green	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x6ebcc7…
06-28 20:43:49	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Cody Garbrandt	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xc3b8b9…
06-28 20:43:10	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Brandon Royval	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x008135…
06-28 20:42:38	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xf77625…
06-28 20:42:01	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xb82b5e…
06-27 02:34:44	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	SELL	293	51¢	$150	0x376c4d…
06-23 14:35:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x7ad661…
06-22 12:40:47	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xa82cdc…
06-22 10:51:58	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	96	48¢	$46	0x27a200…
06-21 20:32:31	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x0d5a4e…
06-21 18:16:58	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf7a61b…
06-21 18:15:34	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf0bbe6…
06-21 18:15:20	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	92	48¢	$44	0x36d9e1…
06-21 15:13:41	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4deef4…
06-21 13:12:32	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x97306c…
06-21 12:52:37	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x874bd6…
06-21 07:18:07	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4600ef…
06-21 03:25:31	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x9a209d…
06-21 01:48:02	ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20	Kyoji Horiguchi	BUY	103	38¢	$39	0x96a52e…
06-21 01:09:40	ufc ion nav 2026 06 20	Ion Cutelaba	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xbfdd07…
06-21 01:05:44	ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20	Hyder Amil	BUY	142	33¢	$47	0x9accf3…
06-19 23:58:49	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9aeed0…
06-19 03:19:17	ufc all2 mit2 2026 06 20	Mitch Raposo	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0xb409b7…
06-19 02:29:11	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x789128…
06-19 02:27:46	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	131	47¢	$62	0xf5faa2…
06-17 01:51:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x17219f…
06-17 01:51:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xaaf913…
06-15 15:25:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	113	7¢	$8	0x891c4c…
06-15 02:20:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xd7563e…
06-15 00:11:42	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Golden Knights	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x210f83…
06-11 00:51:58	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0x738551…
06-09 22:34:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xfcac6a…
06-09 20:12:45	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x52c75c…
06-05 11:20:34	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06	Junior Tafa	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x38a11c…
06-04 03:01:37	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xac059a…
06-04 02:54:46	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x90aa64…
06-04 02:53:46	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x977880…
06-03 03:58:01	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0x72a8f0…
06-03 02:38:53	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x03fbb2…
06-03 02:36:28	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	71	78¢	$56	0xcacd6f…
06-02 19:20:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbe8a8b…
06-01 02:42:42	UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Santiago Luna	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x7dd38b…
06-01 02:36:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe6abc2…
05-30 18:29:39	UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0f5a0c…
05-30 18:27:19	UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Steve Garcia	BUY	103	40¢	$41	0x7a5bd1…
05-30 18:24:36	UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tom Nolan	BUY	154	30¢	$46	0xe5a15a…
05-30 18:16:23	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x38fa20…
05-30 13:35:01	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa8ffe8…
05-30 13:31:50	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x18bca2…
05-30 13:10:17	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb8df9f…
05-30 12:58:42	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x029a3f…
05-30 12:37:28	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4f33af…
05-26 02:03:46	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0x3ecc27…
05-24 12:16:56	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	91	32¢	$29	0xa01c68…
05-24 07:16:45	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe37e8c…
05-23 10:51:52	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x680ae6…
05-23 02:36:58	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0xd03244…
05-23 02:09:49	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x0cb734…
05-23 01:41:49	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	121	25¢	$30	0xa287ea…
05-22 02:36:59	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5f67ab…
05-19 02:19:45	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4b62e0…
05-18 23:36:36	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	103	24¢	$24	0xb68497…
05-18 02:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc0616f…
05-17 02:33:22	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb85735…
05-17 02:32:58	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xeee8e1…
05-17 01:47:17	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8b559a…
05-17 00:58:33	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe4fbfa…
05-17 00:51:56	UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x992be8…
05-17 00:48:41	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2d38c1…
05-17 00:28:11	UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x339439…
05-17 00:25:51	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x5c0ea2…
05-17 00:15:51	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa03982…
05-17 00:12:05	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x25eaa7…
05-16 01:36:37	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x31c72e…
05-16 01:26:25	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x345465…
05-15 13:32:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x1142db…
05-15 00:47:33	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0x5ec8f3…
05-15 00:44:33	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x24cb84…
05-15 00:24:41	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xdaf2e7…
05-15 00:22:44	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x1bd487…
05-15 00:20:17	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8e28b5…
05-14 23:49:18	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x15c4fa…
05-14 20:59:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6ff95f…
05-14 20:58:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$10	0x1f65d5…
05-14 20:58:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf009a2…
05-14 20:58:04	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4854df…
05-14 19:46:47	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x38c749…
05-14 19:01:19	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xaf75f0…
05-14 18:51:10	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7b1159…
05-14 18:44:46	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe18053…