Third-Bayou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$477

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

1,350

Trades

14,070

lifetime

Volume

$111.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-28 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% -$491

Other

3% 49% +$14

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No		+40	$26	66¢	$26	$0	10-28 22:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 19:30 UTC	74	$826	1,291	+1,291	Down	-$237	07-27 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:15 UTC	24	$730	1,029	+1,029	Down	-$215	07-25 22:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 03:15 UTC	65	$728	1,036	+1,036	Down	-$209	07-25 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC	24	$705	2,312	+2,312	Down	+$879	07-20 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 23:30 UTC	25	$688	1,021	+1,021	Down	-$178	07-23 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 19:30 UTC	21	$683	1,017	+1,017	Down	-$172	07-20 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:45 UTC	43	$677	1,022	+1,022	Up	-$167	07-26 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:15 UTC	33	$671	1,009	+1,009	Down	-$168	07-22 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:45 UTC	31	$657	1,044	+1,044	Up	-$135	07-25 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:30 UTC	35	$647	1,004	+1,004	Up	-$146	07-25 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:15 UTC	43	$638	1,019	+1,019	Down	-$127	07-25 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:30 UTC	30	$637	1,141	+1,141	Down	-$67	07-26 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 17:00 UTC	24	$632	1,018	+1,018	Up	-$123	07-24 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 10:00 UTC	73	$629	1,016	+1,016	Up	-$121	07-25 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 20:15 UTC	22	$607	1,034	+1,034	Up	-$90	07-22 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 22:45 UTC	30	$601	838	+838	Down	-$182	07-21 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 20:45 UTC	14	$601	1,171	+1,171	Down	-$16	07-24 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 02:15 UTC	35	$597	1,032	+1,032	Down	-$82	07-21 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	28	$593	1,003	+1,003	Up	-$91	07-24 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	26	$592	1,260	+1,260	Up	+$37	07-20 08:13
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	42	$591	1,361	+1,361	Team Falcons	+$55	05-12 11:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:45 UTC	57	$585	1,004	+1,004	Up	-$84	07-26 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 09:00 UTC	35	$579	1,050	+1,050	Down	-$54	07-25 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 02:15 UTC	31	$569	1,038	+1,038	Down	-$50	07-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC	31	$557	1,025	+1,025	Up	-$45	07-26 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 23:00 UTC	25	$555	665	+665	Down	-$223	07-22 23:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 12:15 UTC	63	$554	1,006	+1,006	Down	-$51	07-25 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 23:00 UTC	37	$546	1,022	+1,022	Up	-$34	07-23 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 09:30 UTC	22	$536	942	+942	Up	-$64	07-23 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 23:30 UTC	26	$524	1,008	+1,008	Up	-$19	07-22 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:04:25	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa50973…
10-28 22:04:25	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8e1ccd…
10-28 22:04:25	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x73923e…
10-28 22:04:23	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x72cca2…
10-28 22:04:23	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x64eedc…
10-28 22:04:20	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x918450…
10-28 22:04:20	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x85cd0b…
10-28 22:04:20	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3ed9c4…
10-28 22:04:20	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0ec462…
10-28 22:04:19	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbd403f…
10-28 22:04:19	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5adbcb…
10-28 22:04:16	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd5ee91…
10-28 22:04:16	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xca0494…
10-28 22:04:16	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6e3280…
10-28 22:04:14	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf3448f…
10-28 22:04:14	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd8e694…
10-28 22:04:14	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4a0920…
10-28 22:04:10	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xdb07af…
10-28 22:04:10	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc4cf9d…
10-28 22:04:10	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x505d63…
10-28 22:04:10	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4b747d…
10-28 22:04:10	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x35c075…
10-28 22:04:08	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf20224…
10-14 20:44:52	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x581f4b…
10-14 20:44:40	itf jara1 sahdii1 2026 10 14	Anita Sahdiieva	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x368802…
10-14 20:43:34	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Matteo Covato	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2f8445…
10-14 20:43:12	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0xe75236…
10-14 20:43:09	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xa59395…
10-14 20:43:04	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x451864…
10-14 20:43:00	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xdfccd6…
10-14 20:42:57	itf camach1 covato1 2026 10 14	Emilio Camacho	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x59180b…
10-14 20:42:04	itf zink1 willwe1 2026 10 14	Tyler Zink	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xa7d614…
10-14 20:41:12	itf sornla1 chanta1 2026 10 15	Thanapet Chanta	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xb4b33c…
10-14 20:34:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xe61e43…
10-14 20:34:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6fb62d…
08-31 01:15:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x820e3d…
08-31 00:20:43	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x6de26d…
08-31 00:19:46	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xac5504…
08-31 00:19:00	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2c0142…
08-31 00:18:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8c6b23…
08-31 00:17:25	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x4e7d33…
08-31 00:17:15	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xbedb2d…
08-31 00:16:54	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xceb34a…
08-30 22:09:46	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9bb217…
08-30 22:09:42	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x36f1ac…
08-30 22:09:19	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x2f7748…
08-30 22:05:49	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb74948…
08-30 21:43:01	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xad63a2…
08-30 21:42:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xe9a5a7…
08-30 21:42:43	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x1a6899…
08-30 21:42:37	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x62c8ed…
08-30 21:42:31	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x180068…
08-30 21:42:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x313643…
08-30 21:42:09	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x933a0c…
08-30 21:41:45	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x95fdeb…
08-30 21:40:21	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x189e60…
08-30 21:39:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x22d567…
08-30 21:37:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x3a8fb1…
08-30 21:27:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xbb4531…
08-30 16:20:16	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x170491…
08-30 12:33:03	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x00aeb3…
08-30 11:35:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x40053b…
08-30 11:11:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x67355c…
08-30 10:53:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8729ef…
08-30 08:11:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe80588…
08-30 06:38:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	40¢	$13	0x4b1b28…
08-30 06:35:43	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x04e65e…
08-30 06:03:54	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x8a6caa…
08-30 03:50:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x54a313…
08-30 03:41:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x9da491…
08-30 03:32:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x66a5cb…
08-30 02:32:00	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xe586ce…
08-30 02:25:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0xdbf96b…
08-30 00:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x99e817…
08-30 00:55:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0x87bd15…
08-29 23:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4dc9ff…
08-29 23:04:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xaba6a1…
08-29 22:50:19	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x72422f…
08-29 22:27:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xecb122…
08-29 22:27:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xf2d888…
08-29 22:27:12	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x029db7…
08-29 21:23:36	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x0502b0…
08-29 21:09:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x6a5291…
08-29 19:12:13	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0bf363…
08-29 16:56:40	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4e7c20…
08-29 16:24:33	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xa9ff92…
08-29 12:51:52	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x8e6382…
08-29 12:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xe51109…
08-29 11:24:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x60153b…
08-29 06:53:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0xa495cd…
08-29 06:53:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x29049a…
08-29 06:02:48	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb1a970…
08-29 05:54:07	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x73c47c…
08-29 05:42:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xdf1215…
08-29 03:12:09	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xb07d92…
08-29 02:38:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x0f024b…
08-29 02:11:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x589862…
08-29 02:09:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	35¢	$11	0x6868a9…
08-29 02:09:24	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x675be8…
08-29 01:42:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x851002…