Willing-Buffalo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

445

Trades

838

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% +$1

Crypto

16% 79% -$25

Politics

4% 88% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-24 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-10 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 14:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 30?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 20:47
xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 17:41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 10?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-10 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-11 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 17?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-17 06:12
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-22 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 20?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-20 14:20
ethereum above 2100 on july 27 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 23?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-23 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 22?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 21:38
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-15 13:57
will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	5	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 15:52
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 25?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-26 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 25?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 02:13
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	09-11 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:34
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 16:01
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4a235f…
10-18 15:16:05	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x35da03…
10-16 08:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0bb469…
10-13 02:41:18	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x372643…
10-13 01:05:35	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4e2cf3…
10-12 14:13:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x39dc49…
10-12 09:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x65aa7c…
10-12 08:14:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9053d6…
10-12 07:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8defc3…
10-12 07:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce4436…
10-12 07:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5a2227…
10-12 07:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb170a7…
10-12 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x97678d…
10-11 22:10:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1fe1e8…
10-11 18:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8400fa…
10-11 17:08:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x026e97…
10-10 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf20ffa…
10-07 18:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fb41b…
10-05 10:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1653bd…
10-02 03:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8fc4ab…
10-01 22:39:35	Will "Pink Clouding - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7047a…
10-01 05:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x54f8d0…
09-28 05:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x318606…
09-27 19:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5ab457…
09-23 22:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x624b78…
09-23 20:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xffd06e…
09-22 20:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x367816…
09-22 17:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb142a4…
09-22 15:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde1ce5…
09-19 00:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x675280…
09-18 00:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa8298f…
09-17 23:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe3cbcc…
09-13 03:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3cadfa…
09-11 22:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 12?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe49943…
09-11 22:51:07	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf316af…
09-11 02:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x943510…
09-10 19:12:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x20a1f2…
09-07 17:17:49	will bitcoin reach 83k on september 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x870942…
09-06 14:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x437e29…
09-06 05:47:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd23bdb…
09-05 22:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4d8215…
09-05 22:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x33e1c4…
09-05 02:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x25b55f…
09-04 19:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xac0b50…
09-04 16:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9e2554…
09-04 12:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6b1784…
09-03 23:04:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x721854…
09-03 13:41:16	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x437332…
09-03 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3145c1…
09-03 02:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4fabfa…
09-02 21:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x162af5…
09-02 10:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd1c698…
09-02 08:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb28c1b…
09-01 20:03:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x57ed98…
09-01 12:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x09bed3…
09-01 04:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfbf43b…
08-31 05:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd538e4…
08-30 23:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa278ea…
08-30 19:52:21	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xec18c9…
08-30 15:56:21	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9e9472…
08-30 01:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xdaed23…
08-29 19:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd04672…
08-29 15:14:01	ethereum above 2900 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x447fef…
08-28 11:25:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x009f22…
08-28 05:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x130872…
08-27 11:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x50ff26…
08-27 04:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x77f689…
08-27 02:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf63ad5…
08-26 18:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa3261…
08-26 10:57:19	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2e3159…
08-25 13:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x57fcc8…
08-25 11:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9f1239…
08-25 05:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbdd9a6…
08-24 23:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x92cc99…
08-24 14:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3b3b6…
08-24 12:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x98a1bf…
08-24 00:00:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc3cbf3…
08-23 18:31:10	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa26b92…
08-14 16:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x37b69f…
08-14 09:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc3539a…
08-13 18:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5badbf…
08-13 15:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaed592…
08-13 10:17:40	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x133f45…
08-13 06:29:39	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8cc5ad…
08-12 20:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xbcd8ab…
08-12 08:14:34	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x49dbc1…
08-12 02:57:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe9e572…
08-12 01:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x9a51e4…
08-11 21:19:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x932fc3…
08-11 14:22:43	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x30f4fb…
08-10 22:20:12	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 10	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5c919b…
08-10 19:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe38065…
08-10 12:56:46	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6bed4…
08-10 12:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf6d4aa…
08-09 11:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa5a0a5…
08-09 06:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18abdc…
08-09 05:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5598d1…
08-09 02:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0e60c2…
08-08 19:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x63d99e…
08-08 00:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd1e66b…