Sophisticated-Complication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

555

Trades

1,415

lifetime

Volume

$38.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

86% 41% -$1,866

Sports

8% 49% +$82

Crypto

6% 52% -$44

Politics

0% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	9	$759	833	833	+0	Casper Ruud	-$86	05-29 21:12
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$525	500	500	+0	No	+$24	06-10 07:20
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	13	$517	1,018	868	+150	Joao Fonseca	-$3	05-29 18:52
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	5	$471	346	346	+0	Yes	+$35	06-12 06:48
atp aguilar cilic 2026 08 13	3	$468	299	299	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$119	08-14 23:51
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	6	$467	596	388	+208	Jannik Sinner	+$9	07-12 17:37
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	8	$436	510	510	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$18	06-04 17:02
atp musetti collign 2026 01 18	12	$434	567	390	+177	Musetti	+$137	01-20 03:04
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	9	$434	410	410	+0	No	+$128	10-22 20:42
atp blockx cobolli 2026 08 17	9	$405	366	366	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$91	08-17 17:35
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	6	$392	400	380	+20	Karolina Muchova	-$10	07-09 15:03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	3	$351	510	122	+388	No	-$231	07-12 02:39
uel fen1 ast4 2026 01 22 ast4	3	$348	260	260	+0	Yes	+$171	01-22 19:51
atp bonzi zandsch 2026 08 27	7	$347	430	260	+170	Benjamin Bonzi	-$25	08-27 19:41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	2	$328	238	238	+0	Yes	+$43	08-28 20:14
tur gfk kon 2026 01 25 gfk	2	$327	275	275	+0	No	+$85	01-25 12:57
lal vil rea 2026 01 24 rea	2	$319	210	210	+0	Yes	+$101	01-24 22:12
atp medvede halys 2026 01 21	7	$310	313	213	+100	Medvedev	+$90	01-21 04:45
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	4	$300	304	252	+52	Yes	+$3	08-12 20:04
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	2	$289	182	182	+0	Yes	+$74	10-14 20:55
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	4	$288	350	230	+120	Elena Rybakina	-$3	09-12 21:18
atp musetti machac 2026 01 24	6	$286	290	190	+100	Musetti	+$18	01-24 02:42
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz	8	$281	721	540	+181	Ben Shelton	-$31	09-02 20:12
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$275	420	0	+420	England	+$145	07-11 18:55
epl wes not 2026 01 06 total 2pt5	6	$269	175	175	+0	Over	+$81	01-06 23:46
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$241	170	170	+0	Yes	+$48	09-06 15:33
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka	7	$240	380	250	+130	Naomi Osaka	-$65	05-30 12:00
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	4	$240	447	447	-0	Novak Djokovic	-$43	10-06 12:30
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	8	$239	215	215	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$99	06-01 22:47
tur kar gal 2026 01 24 total 2pt5	2	$238	142	142	+0	Over	+$45	01-24 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:04:18	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	90	95¢	$85	0xc41504…
10-31 20:23:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x63529b…
10-31 19:43:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x89dcbb…
10-31 19:43:00	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ee057…
10-31 18:03:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbf9f02…
10-31 18:01:31	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x4ca474…
10-31 17:47:19	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x0474ac…
10-31 17:47:18	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x94d75b…
10-31 17:42:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf45017…
10-31 17:40:18	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x5f6cd8…
10-31 17:40:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xddeacd…
10-31 17:39:03	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x079266…
10-31 17:25:25	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x43e322…
10-31 17:14:55	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0x8bd5de…
10-31 16:29:01	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x25cf3c…
10-31 16:04:45	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xca3be8…
10-31 14:37:40	Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb45f33…
10-31 14:36:37	Kocaelispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x44aa61…
10-31 14:23:39	Kocaelispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x5b80c1…
10-31 14:04:06	Erzurumspor FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x902f23…
10-31 14:03:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$89	0xedddb2…
10-31 13:07:42	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x0b3e0b…
10-31 13:05:36	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	62	68¢	$43	0x455172…
10-31 12:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x378b7a…
10-31 12:58:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf47093…
10-31 12:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x32db30…
10-31 12:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xccee35…
10-31 12:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x58c110…
10-31 12:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5f95a1…
10-31 12:47:30	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc6ccfe…
10-31 12:47:00	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0x5541d1…
10-31 12:36:45	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb85656…
10-31 12:35:36	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa5a73e…
10-31 12:35:31	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x00803a…
10-31 12:35:24	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3c6574…
10-31 12:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x927179…
10-31 11:50:52	Erzurumspor FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x61ce87…
10-31 00:56:04	Pacers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9fd949…
10-30 23:56:36	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x6b88ab…
10-30 21:49:57	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x432ca3…
10-30 21:49:18	Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xc81930…
10-30 21:20:37	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	110	33¢	$36	0x77e9ce…
10-30 20:34:36	Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x91f8b0…
10-30 19:27:07	Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xdec560…
10-30 18:15:07	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0xe9c68e…
10-30 18:14:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x2e184b…
10-30 18:12:04	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xce7d16…
10-30 18:12:01	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd4441d…
10-30 17:30:22	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	89	58¢	$52	0x089f3c…
10-30 17:26:22	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xa41da3…
10-30 17:26:06	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	58¢	$32	0x00ae1f…
10-30 16:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x452b4d…
10-30 16:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6c772d…
10-30 16:46:37	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	90	63¢	$57	0x67e3aa…
10-30 16:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0xb47b2f…
10-30 16:41:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x058b50…
10-30 16:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbe378c…
10-30 16:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x75dc51…
10-30 16:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7f3f4d…
10-30 16:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9b1b3f…
10-30 16:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x63ae51…
10-30 16:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6beef0…
10-30 16:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7f4fee…
10-30 16:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc16dc…
10-30 16:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdb1df2…
10-30 16:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aa29f…
10-30 16:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8419bc…
10-30 16:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb42ed2…
10-30 16:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xea2e3d…
10-30 16:18:37	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Tommy Paul	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x6ecbb0…
10-30 15:04:40	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0xecb44e…
10-30 13:09:03	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xf2bd99…
10-30 13:08:55	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb2a71b…
10-30 13:08:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x7eaab4…
10-30 13:08:10	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x611e94…
10-30 13:08:09	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa58e7f…
10-30 13:07:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xbdad98…
10-30 13:07:55	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0xb0cfb7…
10-30 13:07:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x93e24d…
10-29 16:35:58	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x64f56f…
10-29 15:50:26	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x30a48a…
10-29 15:31:58	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x88705b…
10-29 14:38:50	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	66	65¢	$43	0x02beb1…
10-29 14:22:16	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x6f2a89…
10-29 13:16:47	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd84dfa…
10-29 13:16:28	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x3e9c37…
10-29 13:10:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x715cf0…
10-29 12:40:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x3b0135…
10-29 00:52:43	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0xaf930f…
10-28 22:56:16	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x235e09…
10-28 22:08:47	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x7ac44a…
10-28 22:06:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x222640…
10-28 20:50:58	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xf09d96…
10-28 19:41:53	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x3679e5…
10-28 17:44:58	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x8b7474…
10-28 17:31:49	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0x588db8…
10-28 17:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x63d05c…
10-28 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf501e7…
10-28 17:18:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0xe60f2e…
10-28 17:16:40	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x5d043a…