Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

297

Trades

3,066

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-30 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

54% 40% +$3,963

Other

38% 20% -$1,890

Crypto

5% 21% -$237

Sports

2% 8% +$124

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+200	$54	4¢	$7	-$47	05-13 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	30	$3.9K	4,294	2,884	+1,410	Yes	+$373	03-31 04:23
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	30	$3.4K	8,358	2,452	+5,906	No	-$201	03-31 18:29
us forces enter iran by march 7	108	$2.2K	21,030	23,130	-2,100	No	+$228	03-07 08:16
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	36	$2.0K	1,971	1,971	+0	Yes	+$1,169	03-08 21:41
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	23	$1.9K	2,852	1,842	+1,010	No	-$63	03-25 20:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$1.7K	1,230	1,430	-200	Yes	+$237	03-08 21:20
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	14	$1.5K	1,750	1,750	+0	No	-$243	03-27 20:21
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	20	$1.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$101	03-22 21:57
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	29	$1.2K	3,800	3,800	+0	No	-$422	03-12 05:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$1.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$228	03-05 08:21
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	18	$1.2K	5,065	5,065	+0	No	-$41	03-10 19:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$1.2K	989	989	+0	Yes	-$108	04-08 00:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	29	$1.1K	11,440	11,137	+303	No	+$410	03-01 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	9	$1.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$19	03-11 22:50
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	49	$1.1K	7,250	7,034	+216	No	+$124	03-08 20:15
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	21	$993	800	595	+205	No	-$46	04-22 14:28
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	17	$964	1,900	1,900	+0	No	-$152	03-18 08:57
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	2	$949	554	554	+0	No	+$149	03-20 06:22
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	9	$832	3,200	3,200	+0	No	-$32	03-18 08:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$812	600	500	+100	Yes	+$187	04-21 21:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$789	2,690	2,690	+0	Yes	-$68	04-04 23:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	13	$748	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$32	03-12 20:28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	10	$708	868	868	+0	Yes	+$422	04-08 23:56
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	86	$645	35,035	29,192	+5,843	No	+$25	03-03 21:01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$633	1,875	1,475	+400	No	+$338	07-19 21:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$608	400	400	+0	Yes	+$144	06-16 06:27
will iran strike israel on march 4	32	$580	2,570	2,831	-261	Yes	-$412	03-05 10:42
will iran strike oman again in march	10	$526	400	400	+0	No	+$16	04-04 18:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	12	$512	2,637	2,982	-346	No	+$130	03-09 19:53
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	20	$481	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$292	03-27 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:10:22	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x812124…
10-28 20:15:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xeb3fba…
10-28 20:15:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8697aa…
10-28 20:15:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4f2e6f…
10-28 19:53:31	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x681421…
10-28 19:44:43	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3f6907…
10-28 19:44:43	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x13df0f…
10-26 19:00:14	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x257358…
10-26 18:56:06	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc25d48…
10-26 18:56:06	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5a9cf8…
10-22 16:30:35	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x5b3343…
10-21 00:15:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2917e5…
10-17 03:01:45	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x896ccf…
10-17 03:01:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x2f7019…
10-17 03:00:56	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9ce2e7…
10-17 02:56:27	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2b5d37…
10-16 16:05:52	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa5f2f3…
10-16 02:57:09	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a41e8…
10-16 02:46:04	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3dbcba…
10-16 02:46:04	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x006cab…
10-16 02:32:55	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8c3d19…
10-15 08:57:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xd2d37a…
10-15 08:57:41	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x318a6e…
10-15 07:14:11	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb3ab75…
10-15 00:32:10	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4730c6…
10-02 14:48:09	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x503562…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf068a4…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xe2b6f5…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd4982f…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc3a033…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x85f87f…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x62c6c1…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5ce832…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x2a6418…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x247036…
10-02 14:48:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0d06e8…
10-02 05:07:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfb3232…
10-01 19:07:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc88e17…
10-01 19:07:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc2edfe…
10-01 19:07:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa262a1…
10-01 19:07:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x9b4099…
10-01 19:07:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x70e917…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf5cbd1…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe2deee…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdf52dc…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd6b698…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xd157f2…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xbf42c5…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xaf70b3…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8ef660…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x7e022f…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x729430…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x4eedb8…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x25d639…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x1ac040…
10-01 19:07:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x037487…
10-01 09:11:59	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xada122…
10-01 09:11:59	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x834655…
10-01 09:11:59	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x711262…
10-01 09:11:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x969c3e…
10-01 09:11:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x7bdbe6…
10-01 09:11:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6d21f8…
10-01 09:11:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x23de3f…
10-01 09:11:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x02177f…
09-30 22:08:11	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xc34c6a…
09-30 22:07:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb2ac84…
09-30 20:52:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb47fc3…
09-30 20:49:24	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2ae18e…
09-30 20:48:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x569512…
09-30 20:48:38	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6c98b2…
09-30 20:44:23	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	0¢	$1	0x406272…
08-04 20:54:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	0¢	$0	0x1075fc…
08-04 19:30:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf30c32…
08-04 19:30:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	0¢	$0	0x50b5e7…
08-04 19:11:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf2f431…
08-04 19:09:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x45f87d…
08-04 19:09:48	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xc3e7e4…
08-04 18:11:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8ce38e…
08-04 18:10:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x815d97…
08-04 10:20:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc2f617…
08-04 10:20:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x020684…
08-04 10:20:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb12afd…
08-04 10:20:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x280f7c…
08-04 09:02:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb9528f…
08-04 04:03:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7178cf…
08-04 03:58:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8612c3…
08-04 01:37:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x95376f…
08-04 01:37:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8be6d9…
08-04 01:37:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xeeff68…
08-04 01:37:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfff876…
08-04 01:37:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xed7bc7…
08-04 01:29:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaf1513…
08-04 01:12:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x69166a…
07-24 15:28:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	0¢	$1	0xccc6de…
07-24 15:27:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7bdd78…
07-24 09:54:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd391d9…
07-24 09:54:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7c5b46…
07-24 09:54:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x388b6e…
07-22 19:54:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2fde20…
07-22 18:13:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$1	0xe1ced3…