Simple-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

618

Trades

7,948

lifetime

Volume

$574.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-06 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

100% 89% -$3,758

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 800 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$59.5K	60,000	0	+60,000	No	+$480	09-16 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	391	$19.3K	19,362	0	+19,362	No	+$21	09-22 01:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	337	$16.7K	16,719	0	+16,719	No	+$31	09-18 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	276	$13.7K	13,725	1,875	+11,850	No	+$16	09-17 00:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	259	$13.2K	13,285	0	+13,285	No	+$50	09-15 12:49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	60	$12.9K	12,912	0	+12,912	No	+$13	10-05 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	246	$12.3K	12,300	0	+12,300	No	+$22	09-16 05:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	94	$12.2K	12,206	0	+12,206	No	+$21	09-29 01:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	209	$10.4K	10,405	0	+10,405	No	+$17	09-15 01:27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	7	$9.5K	9,506	0	+9,506	No	+$12	10-01 20:50
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	187	$9.3K	9,350	0	+9,350	No	+$10	09-16 00:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	184	$9.2K	9,200	0	+9,200	No	+$9	09-20 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	183	$9.1K	9,097	0	+9,097	No	+$24	10-06 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	178	$8.9K	8,900	0	+8,900	No	+$9	09-07 13:08
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$8.9K	8,899	0	+8,899	No	+$9	09-07 02:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	134	$8.7K	8,733	0	+8,733	No	+$9	09-28 03:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	175	$8.7K	8,697	0	+8,697	No	+$9	10-06 01:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	17	$8.5K	8,473	5,364	+3,108	No	+$44	09-25 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	172	$8.4K	8,367	0	+8,367	No	+$14	09-29 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	160	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	10-05 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	160	$7.9K	7,906	0	+7,906	No	+$10	09-14 20:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	151	$7.5K	7,511	0	+7,511	No	+$8	09-17 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	89	$7.0K	6,990	0	+6,990	No	+$33	09-04 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	19	$6.6K	6,570	0	+6,570	No	+$18	09-24 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	19	$6.5K	6,527	0	+6,527	No	+$9	09-23 09:55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	90	$6.5K	6,483	0	+6,483	No	+$6	09-30 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	122	$6.1K	6,099	0	+6,099	No	+$11	09-07 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	22	$6.0K	6,039	0	+6,039	No	+$7	09-23 22:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	119	$5.9K	5,935	0	+5,935	No	+$6	09-17 21:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	120	$5.9K	5,900	3,000	+2,900	No	+$22	08-31 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 19:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5522a…
10-06 19:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a0799…
10-06 19:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3eb1ae…
10-06 19:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x349f4f…
10-06 19:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04ba46…
10-06 19:27:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x56eac1…
10-06 19:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0f77e5…
10-06 19:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd91715…
10-06 19:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae1b6e…
10-06 19:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x114f5a…
10-06 19:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb24cf1…
10-06 19:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfdafa3…
10-06 19:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x19b2c3…
10-06 19:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x239a94…
10-06 19:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa92291…
10-06 19:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd29ba4…
10-06 19:14:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde9cb3…
10-06 19:13:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc8ff01…
10-06 19:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xca70ff…
10-06 19:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x00aed5…
10-06 19:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbeade0…
10-06 19:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x33b0e1…
10-06 19:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf9d77…
10-06 19:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa5afc7…
10-06 19:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x569f32…
10-06 19:05:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8bf72d…
10-06 19:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x022d25…
10-06 19:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x91a7ce…
10-06 19:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x440c1d…
10-06 19:01:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c383e…
10-06 19:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeb7049…
10-06 18:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd2b52b…
10-06 18:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f1cc0…
10-06 18:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1abb93…
10-06 18:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbff8c5…
10-06 18:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6fd0fd…
10-06 18:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce88fe…
10-06 18:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4122a5…
10-06 18:52:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb122c5…
10-06 18:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x82454a…
10-06 18:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2f225…
10-06 18:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf12c5…
10-06 18:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc2b5c2…
10-06 18:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb00f97…
10-06 18:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc96d72…
10-06 18:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x751610…
10-06 18:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x563404…
10-06 18:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa1cd49…
10-06 18:40:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde0bc7…
10-06 18:39:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d8125…
10-06 18:38:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a1517…
10-06 18:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0f17c…
10-06 18:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda9a21…
10-06 18:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8edc72…
10-06 18:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff5853…
10-06 18:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x150287…
10-06 18:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88cea1…
10-06 18:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6132bd…
10-06 18:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8ab61…
10-06 18:29:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3d8bcd…
10-06 18:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeefe9b…
10-06 18:27:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf661c2…
10-06 18:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x99c4b3…
10-06 18:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x942583…
10-06 18:22:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x555701…
10-06 18:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b67c1…
10-06 18:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x764ae5…
10-06 18:19:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x91a3a0…
10-06 18:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc928df…
10-06 18:17:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1131bd…
10-06 18:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc018df…
10-06 12:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae3256…
10-06 12:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x479852…
10-06 12:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6a4e32…
10-06 12:55:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xddf38f…
10-06 12:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x75f65b…
10-06 10:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe3c292…
10-06 10:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5bfd8…
10-06 10:52:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42271f…
10-06 10:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d5428…
10-06 10:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x99415d…
10-06 10:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6f74ea…
10-06 10:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3663f4…
10-06 10:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc085c9…
10-06 10:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58fa51…
10-06 10:45:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd262cd…
10-06 10:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x385d79…
10-06 10:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe73f94…
10-06 10:42:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x11671f…
10-06 10:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbec6a1…
10-06 10:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde6ca0…
10-06 10:39:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d2c8c…
10-06 10:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7839be…
10-06 10:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe80d63…
10-06 10:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa44d6f…
10-06 10:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x68cf1d…
10-06 10:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3bb468…
10-06 10:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd620b7…
10-06 10:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49d092…
10-06 10:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e041a…