Incomplete-Shot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$162

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 09-24 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

64% 57% -$7

Politics

26% 82% +$4

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		-2	-$1	94¢	$-2	$0	09-24 00:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-15 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	04-30 14:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	04-22 19:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	2	$12	14	0	+14	No	-$12	06-12 18:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	04-30 14:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	05-24 18:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-13 12:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-06 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:15 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	04-23 19:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-20 11:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-01 19:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	04-20 10:36
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 17:52
spx up or down on april 20 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 09:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-21 18:17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	04-20 09:19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	05-01 19:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	05-14 11:23
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-21 15:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-21 18:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-20 09:23
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	09-24 00:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	500	0	+500	Yes	-$1	04-22 04:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	04-20 10:27
will trump say iran during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	04-21 18:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-26 11:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 15:04
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-21 18:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-06 19:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-26 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 00:14:14	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xfcca79…
06-12 18:39:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa4d42f…
05-24 18:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe4ed6a…
05-15 15:04:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x817fd1…
05-15 15:02:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0d32bc…
05-14 11:23:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x36da61…
05-14 09:20:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x183376…
05-13 12:29:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3dd087…
05-06 19:05:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb60634…
05-06 10:55:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xac68cf…
05-06 03:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8a1f93…
05-01 19:32:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9330f2…
05-01 19:30:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x13eb8d…
05-01 19:26:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x713fe8…
04-30 14:23:18	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x727a4c…
04-30 14:20:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x34b174…
04-30 14:19:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdcaa24…
04-26 12:04:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d1cca…
04-26 11:05:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaaceb3…
04-26 11:02:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x554e68…
04-23 19:18:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x748d56…
04-23 19:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbd1c7e…
04-22 19:09:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x061e24…
04-22 04:02:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2f8e8d…
04-21 18:33:48	will trump say iran during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1f3783…
04-21 18:17:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd3fe3d…
04-21 18:10:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x512380…
04-21 18:06:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a194f…
04-21 15:21:10	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb39f90…
04-20 20:02:48	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x666419…
04-20 17:59:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5df59e…
04-20 17:57:06	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x050e73…
04-20 17:52:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x111ba7…
04-20 11:12:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf07b7e…
04-20 10:36:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7eea50…
04-20 10:27:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8a13bb…
04-20 09:53:04	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x580c35…
04-20 09:43:14	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x704187…
04-20 09:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c8c29…
04-20 09:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x667c6f…
04-20 09:23:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x611c60…
04-20 09:22:16	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x11e4f5…
04-20 09:19:28	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6884aa…
04-20 09:14:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x378bad…
04-20 08:53:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2c1a4f…
04-20 08:52:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x48bdb5…
04-20 08:48:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfc1d1d…