Double-Mapping — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$138.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-07 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-296

Other

22% — —

Crypto

17% 33% $-42

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	52	$19.4K	10,050	10,050	+0	open	—	03-14 13:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	93	$10.2K	7,305	6,967	+338	open	—	03-21 23:22
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	10	$6.9K	3,630	3,630	+0	open	—	02-18 00:07
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	10	$6.1K	3,062	3,062	+0	open	—	04-04 10:39
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	16	$6.1K	3,161	3,161	+0	open	—	02-15 22:59
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	23	$4.3K	2,280	2,280	+0	open	—	02-17 00:34
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	9	$4.2K	2,123	2,123	+0	open	—	03-23 21:31
will israel take military action in gaza on march 24 2026	9	$4.1K	2,060	2,060	+0	open	—	03-25 13:19
will the us invade iran by march 31	11	$4.1K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	03-30 00:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$3.9K	2,330	2,330	+0	open	—	03-28 02:01
efa ars wig 2026 02 15 wig	9	$3.3K	1,682	1,682	+0	open	—	02-15 16:50
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	17	$3.0K	1,524	1,524	+0	open	—	02-06 17:03
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$2.8K	1,423	1,423	+0	open	—	02-04 13:31
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	13	$2.6K	1,061	1,530	-469	open	—	02-05 23:38
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$2.2K	1,147	1,147	+0	open	—	03-23 20:17
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	10	$2.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	02-16 19:31
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	4	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-16 11:47
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	4	$2.1K	1,950	1,230	+720	open	—	02-18 17:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 25	4	$2.1K	2,123	1,070	+1,053	open	—	03-25 15:17
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	14	$2.1K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	02-03 19:23
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	9	$2.0K	1,270	1,270	+0	open	—	03-27 16:23
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	12	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	04-03 12:03
bun b04 pau 2026 02 14 b04	2	$1.9K	999	999	+0	open	—	02-14 19:07
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$1.9K	974	974	+0	open	—	04-01 20:02
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.9K	960	960	+0	open	—	04-01 16:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	12	$1.9K	1,121	1,121	+0	open	—	03-27 01:22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$1.9K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	02-06 20:57
will iran strike uae again in march	10	$1.9K	1,906	962	+944	open	—	04-05 23:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	7	$1.8K	920	920	+0	open	—	04-05 20:01
will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	6	$1.8K	910	910	+0	open	—	04-07 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 01:10:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	738	11¢	$81	0x6de5f1…
05-06 22:12:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x815dfb…
05-06 22:01:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0x5bc1b7…
05-06 21:46:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x685602…
05-06 21:46:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x3df768…
05-06 21:35:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x58ef89…
05-06 20:51:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	63	12¢	$8	0xba95df…
05-06 20:38:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x3986a0…
05-06 20:37:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	650	11¢	$72	0xef16ca…
05-06 20:35:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	551	13¢	$72	0x18b705…
05-06 20:24:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	285	13¢	$37	0x2cd9d8…
05-06 20:14:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xa0082a…
05-06 20:09:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x211747…
05-06 19:57:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x2a94f0…
05-06 19:52:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x748a62…
05-06 19:52:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x3cdc5a…
05-06 19:51:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xad6bf3…
05-06 19:44:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	13¢	$11	0x6bd44c…
05-06 19:13:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x668a05…
05-06 19:13:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x1a617f…
05-06 19:13:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xf42bae…
05-06 19:13:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4f14fd…
05-06 19:13:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x9e90f2…
05-06 18:37:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xaf7c3e…
05-06 18:24:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x1259e7…
05-06 17:13:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	680	14¢	$95	0xd467bb…
05-06 13:31:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	680	14¢	$95	0x58cc00…
05-06 13:07:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	730	13¢	$95	0x52d33a…
05-06 12:48:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	268	11¢	$30	0xb274dc…
05-06 12:46:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	462	11¢	$51	0xc4b9a7…
05-06 11:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,074	3¢	$31	0x587489…
05-06 11:42:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	839	3¢	$24	0x0dbbe0…
05-06 11:37:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	259	3¢	$8	0xdc143d…
05-06 11:37:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x36525f…
05-06 11:28:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	475	3¢	$14	0x28f467…
05-05 22:55:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,650	15¢	$398	0x1ce0ab…
05-05 21:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,921	16¢	$307	0x7e9bd2…
05-05 21:36:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xe022cc…
05-05 21:36:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	111	16¢	$18	0x963c51…
05-05 21:36:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x32bb8f…
05-05 21:36:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	222	16¢	$36	0x300f18…
05-05 21:36:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	176	16¢	$28	0xe7f234…
05-05 20:37:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,490	15¢	$374	0x381d24…
05-05 19:58:26	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$2	0x6302c3…
05-05 19:57:46	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	138	2¢	$3	0x79686a…
05-05 19:18:44	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdce778…
05-05 18:13:46	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xd62b32…
05-05 17:41:28	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	73	93¢	$68	0xa5414e…
05-05 17:40:26	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9150cd…
05-05 17:35:30	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x4f4d45…
05-05 17:08:22	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x59688c…
05-05 14:33:08	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0xa94fee…
05-05 14:26:24	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0xb521f8…
05-05 14:25:28	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	254	1¢	$3	0x5a4eea…
05-05 14:20:12	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	468	1¢	$6	0x7bccae…
05-05 11:36:46	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x89f22c…
05-05 11:26:12	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xeea401…
05-05 11:26:12	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x4fa18e…
05-05 11:26:12	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0669db…
05-05 11:24:10	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	977	3¢	$34	0x3d626b…
05-04 18:59:42	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x7217d4…
05-04 16:54:06	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0xd9ec41…
04-12 19:31:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$408	0xd55f26…
04-11 17:20:07	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	99¢	$368	0xba382c…
04-09 05:14:21	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xbe8d4b…
04-08 20:46:13	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x67012e…
04-08 20:38:57	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x832cff…
04-08 12:53:15	will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	64	30¢	$19	0x748ba3…
04-08 11:34:57	will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x392fda…
04-08 10:49:03	will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xecd002…
04-08 10:48:51	will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x16b613…
04-08 10:48:25	will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xdcf2f7…
04-08 10:45:05	will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x4c3615…
04-08 01:13:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	395	100¢	$395	0xc46a61…
04-07 22:49:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	370	71¢	$263	0x5b7a89…
04-07 22:48:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xd6d53c…
04-07 22:43:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	940	30¢	$282	0x8fd30a…
04-07 15:36:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	495	97¢	$478	0x42313c…
04-07 15:35:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xdd8319…
04-07 15:35:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x27425e…
04-07 15:35:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	353	97¢	$341	0x294c4c…
04-07 11:53:07	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	690	100¢	$687	0x326647…
04-07 11:38:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x774ccf…
04-07 11:00:37	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x8561cf…
04-07 10:58:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x73f179…
04-07 10:57:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	606	99¢	$601	0x52dbea…
04-07 10:57:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xc53c66…
04-05 23:45:37	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	530	2¢	$10	0x2f28aa…
04-05 22:41:01	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x3ad35f…
04-05 22:38:45	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x9dfab4…
04-05 22:37:29	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x260fe4…
04-05 22:27:21	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	962	96¢	$926	0x4ef240…
04-05 20:13:25	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x61b15f…
04-05 20:11:21	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	159	96¢	$152	0x310045…
04-05 20:11:19	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x63e93d…
04-05 20:01:51	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	418	95¢	$399	0x6e6df0…
04-05 20:01:39	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	154	95¢	$147	0x41db16…
04-05 20:01:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	390	99¢	$386	0x917060…
04-05 20:00:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	418	100¢	$417	0x438c53…
04-05 19:59:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xfae71e…