Self-Assured-Shanty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$292

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-01 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$292

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		+30	$30	100¢	$30	+$0	06-01 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	4	$186	140	140	+0	Up	+$76	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	5	$149	100	100	+0	Up	+$49	05-05 15:56
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$103	90	90	+0	Up	+$59	05-05 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	2	$73	60	60	+0	Down	+$37	05-06 14:53
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$59	40	20	+20	open	—	05-20 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	3	$58	40	40	+0	Up	+$22	05-05 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	5	$51	60	60	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	2	$43	50	50	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 09:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	2	$42	30	30	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 10:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	4	$42	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$18	05-06 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	4	$38	26	26	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 13:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-01 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 10:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	5	$24	50	25	+25	Up	$-16	05-05 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$16	40	0	+40	Up	$-16	05-05 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	3	$16	30	30	+0	Up	$-8	05-05 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	$-8	05-05 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$6	20	0	+20	Down	$-6	05-06 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-05 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-05 11:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 18:48:56	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5b199a…
05-20 01:21:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x700e33…
05-20 01:21:30	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a2d59…
05-06 15:57:42	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa1786b…
05-06 15:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x4e2847…
05-06 15:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x7a6b71…
05-06 15:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	39	44¢	$17	0x9b3f71…
05-06 15:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x39985e…
05-06 15:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x158c8d…
05-06 15:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xde2d42…
05-06 15:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x4bb541…
05-06 14:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x319d95…
05-06 14:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x3128b7…
05-06 14:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa97a3e…
05-06 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbafee8…
05-06 12:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a3cca…
05-06 12:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe1247e…
05-06 12:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4b6e14…
05-06 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x434fb5…
05-06 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xcf8193…
05-06 09:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x248757…
05-06 09:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x442eea…
05-06 09:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcb16a4…
05-06 09:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x8359bd…
05-05 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7f5c0…
05-05 15:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bc7c7…
05-05 15:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x67e40f…
05-05 15:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4a86c4…
05-05 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x71e163…
05-05 14:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	53¢	$31	0x34e04a…
05-05 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xee703e…
05-05 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x4c32bf…
05-05 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x4e6f6d…
05-05 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xe2f01e…
05-05 14:04:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	85	90¢	$76	0x3a78e5…
05-05 14:04:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x63a5f8…
05-05 14:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xeccaba…
05-05 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x0e526a…
05-05 13:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x721d16…
05-05 13:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xfd6a83…
05-05 13:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0d5f6e…
05-05 13:39:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9ed379…
05-05 13:35:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x25e247…
05-05 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc7abe3…
05-05 12:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xdd10f8…
05-05 12:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x3de828…
05-05 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb38b8b…
05-05 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x76b0c7…
05-05 12:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x531449…
05-05 12:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xf82a57…
05-05 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x539e28…
05-05 12:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2c0d34…
05-05 12:14:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x6aa071…
05-05 12:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0xe8ce7e…
05-05 12:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x07421c…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xbfb92c…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x574bac…
05-05 12:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb89b5b…
05-05 12:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb00a35…
05-05 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe2d3ac…
05-05 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1714c3…
05-05 10:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x165ec3…
05-05 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xeeeef3…
05-05 10:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x3a46e0…
05-05 10:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x43f228…
05-05 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x3c1150…
05-05 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x2c0279…
05-05 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd2fb15…
05-05 09:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf6c60e…
05-05 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x6ecfd3…