Orange-Invader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$829

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-22 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% $-1

Crypto

16% 90% +$6

Politics

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	3	$73	46	45	+1	open	—	04-23 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	2	$68	51	49	+2	open	—	04-27 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?	2	$63	45	44	+1	open	—	04-26 07:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	02-19 20:39
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 26c	3	$44	34	33	+1	open	—	04-21 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	2	$43	31	30	+1	open	—	04-25 06:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	2	$34	30	29	+1	open	—	04-24 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	3	$27	62	0	+62	open	—	04-27 18:48
will trump say egg during the 2026 state of the union address 216	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	02-19 21:27
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 24c	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-01 18:38
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 29c	2	$21	30	29	+1	open	—	04-23 11:55
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 18:15
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 40 41f	2	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	03-01 20:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 15c	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 21:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$16	168	168	+0	open	—	02-28 21:59
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 27c	3	$16	27	0	+27	open	—	04-22 17:19
val xlg tec 2026 07 14 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	07-14 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 26?	2	$14	53	0	+53	open	—	04-25 19:05
btc updown 15m 1771439400	6	$13	15	10	+5	open	—	02-18 18:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 27c	2	$11	30	29	+1	open	—	04-21 16:34
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	02-18 21:58
btc updown 15m 1771438500	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	02-18 18:19
eth updown 5m 1771525800	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-19 18:34
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 28 2026 25c	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 19:51
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 25c	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	1	$7	31	0	+31	open	—	04-24 12:06
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 40 41f	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	02-27 23:27
btc updown 5m 1784758200	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-22 22:12
cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 11:16
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 07 09	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	07-09 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 22:12:31	btc updown 5m 1784758200	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x81fe03…
07-22 22:10:03	btc updown 5m 1784758200	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7c7454…
07-21 20:00:06	btc updown 5m 1784664000	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x343e72…
07-21 19:56:18	btc updown 5m 1784663700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe300a9…
07-21 19:51:09	eth updown 5m 1784663400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3cb24a…
07-21 19:50:03	btc updown 5m 1784663400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0cadd3…
07-21 19:46:55	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4b6429…
07-21 19:45:55	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2a12bb…
07-20 12:55:13	ucl vik hbs 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf72b71…
07-20 12:54:54	ucl lar crv 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x60e489…
07-20 12:53:16	ucl ki kau 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcfacb8…
07-20 12:53:10	ucl stu1 hmi 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2adaaf…
07-20 12:53:07	ucl fen gor 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0d2828…
07-20 12:53:03	ucl thu din 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce1da6…
07-20 12:52:58	col flo1 dgj 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe678e8…
07-20 12:49:58	ucl agf lep 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a4555…
07-20 12:49:54	ucl sab sba 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40398d…
07-20 12:49:49	ucl sf kps 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe1b6c5…
07-20 12:49:45	auc bay syd 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0aef4e…
07-20 12:49:40	kor jej gwo 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6db4ff…
07-20 12:49:36	kor uls inc 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe54baa…
07-20 12:49:31	kor jeo dae1 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc118a8…
07-20 12:49:27	auc plf new 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x95d227…
07-20 12:45:49	auc lf per 2026 07 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3ea84e…
07-20 12:44:48	rou1 fcr sep 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a86d5…
07-20 12:44:27	swe org dju 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4469af…
07-20 12:44:04	swe kal mal 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xde62c9…
07-20 12:43:43	rou1 cor fcm 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4def99…
07-14 10:49:47	val xlg tec 2026 07 14 map handicap away 1pt5	XLG Gaming	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xada94a…
07-12 11:38:01	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	NRG	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xa1528e…
07-11 23:08:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe47f74…
07-11 11:16:41	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x509286…
07-11 09:55:37	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfade19…
07-10 11:33:55	cs2 prv big5 2026 07 10 game2	PARIVISION	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xebeca5…
07-10 09:10:40	cs2 prv big5 2026 07 10 game2	PARIVISION	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0697b8…
07-09 10:57:20	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 07 09	9z	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xef2c75…
07-08 17:16:59	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 07 09	9z	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xf56501…
06-16 17:14:25	btc updown 5m 1781629800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x927b5f…
06-13 20:16:21	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xc2d22b…
05-15 18:15:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfd4b83…
05-15 18:15:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x224a7b…
05-15 18:15:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6a1af2…
05-14 19:44:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4e2c20…
05-14 19:43:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf96068…
05-12 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2aed48…
05-10 19:56:26	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe82e87…
05-10 19:56:06	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xc30766…
05-10 19:56:05	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe600c9…
05-10 19:55:51	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xb06dd2…
05-10 19:53:53	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5bad6f…
05-06 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2549b5…
05-06 14:37:31	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x310116…
05-06 14:36:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x134951…
05-06 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb06aa8…
05-06 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3a67c1…
05-06 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x83df53…
05-06 09:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1d0349…
05-06 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3ec5d…
05-05 17:16:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf09d2c…
05-05 17:16:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x3af57d…
05-05 17:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf4e5e1…
05-05 17:16:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1ad6e5…
05-05 17:16:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x039e6f…
05-05 17:15:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x336fbd…
05-05 17:15:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x04f3cd…
05-05 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf8b688…
05-05 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x30e35b…
05-05 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xab9e00…
05-05 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xaa2b22…
05-05 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5bdef5…
05-05 14:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93b0bf…
05-04 17:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8c669a…
05-04 17:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x360802…
05-04 17:18:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd93046…
05-04 17:17:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb0d779…
04-29 20:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc84071…
04-29 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x716b7f…
04-27 18:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa62f35…
04-27 12:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xe23dba…
04-27 12:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xf9cb8d…
04-27 12:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0xdd00da…
04-27 08:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x032bc5…
04-27 08:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x04a238…
04-27 06:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x1f9c29…
04-26 19:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x35acde…
04-26 09:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x5b934c…
04-26 07:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x776cf7…
04-25 19:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7d4c3c…
04-25 10:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0xbc40ee…
04-25 10:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xcf0767…
04-25 06:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe508cd…
04-24 12:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xa0f5d7…
04-24 12:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xf6a8c9…
04-24 08:04:24	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1f3700…
04-23 21:16:36	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x296066…
04-23 21:16:10	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x5ab174…
04-23 18:17:44	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x0e00ca…
04-23 15:24:44	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf51e72…
04-23 11:56:22	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xb6ccd7…
04-23 11:55:50	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 29c	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x1cf08c…