Orange-Invader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$109

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 20% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	Yes		+15	$6	100¢	$15	+$9	05-13 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	1	$51	0	65	-65	Yes	+$51	05-06 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?	1	$29	0	30	-30	Yes	$-1	05-07 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	2	$13	30	0	+30	No	$-13	05-07 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?	1	$7	15	0	+15	No	$-7	05-13 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	05-13 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-12 19:51
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-10 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xa27f38…
05-13 09:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xee24d3…
05-12 19:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x651ad7…
05-10 19:53:53	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5bad6f…
05-07 14:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x279b77…
05-07 11:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xdbb88b…
05-07 11:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8daf64…
05-06 16:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0xaceacb…