Realized P&L
+$857
Unrealized P&L
+$84
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
139
Trades
946
lifetime
Volume
$42.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$2.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-28 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
80% 86% -$578
Politics
10% 78% +$1,472
Sports
9% 83% -$37
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 417 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +372 $369 99¢ $368 -$1 10-26 03:56
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +355 $347 97¢ $346 $0 10-22 02:46
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +304 $304 100¢ $304 $0 10-21 02:17
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +204 $57 100¢ $204 +$147 10-27 19:35
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +178 $173 92¢ $163 -$10 10-24 00:33
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +147 $143 97¢ $143 $0 10-23 02:36
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +138 $137 99¢ $136 -$1 10-23 15:47
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $107 99¢ $107 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +114 $112 92¢ $106 -$6 10-25 01:27
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +102 $100 98¢ $100 +$1 10-25 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +86 $85 100¢ $86 +$1 10-22 23:26
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +81 $80 99¢ $80 +$0 10-26 09:23
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +126 $84 56¢ $71 -$13 10-25 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +88 $82 56¢ $49 -$33 10-24 22:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $44 99¢ $44 $0 10-26 11:20
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-26 02:36
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-26 01:18
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
No one announced as next James Bond? No +42 $32 77¢ $33 +$1 10-22 15:04
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 10-21 04:31
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +19 $18 97¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:46
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +17 $13 74¢ $12 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 10-14 10:28
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 $0 10-25 18:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $9 97¢ $9 $0 10-26 10:52