Unwelcome-Apricot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.06K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

172

Trades

1,021

lifetime

Volume

$78.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$382

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 08-01 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

47% 39% -$3,401

Politics

43% 23% -$7,132

Sports

11% 33% +$1,475

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-500	-$391	76¢	$-382	+$8	06-23 18:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$8.9K	0	9,774	-9,774	Yes	-$862	06-11 12:28
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	51	$6.2K	5,057	4,962	+95	Yes	+$544	04-17 13:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	19	$5.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$332	04-12 19:25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	35	$4.5K	4,260	4,088	+172	No	+$121	04-17 01:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.0K	3,898	3,898	+0	Yes	+$1,994	07-19 21:57
Will New Zealand win?	4	$1.9K	1,228	1,228	+0	Yes	+$576	06-29 13:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$140	05-11 16:54
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	29	$1.7K	5,961	5,961	+0	No	-$607	04-20 04:51
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	16	$1.5K	4,609	4,609	+0	Yes	-$1,499	04-13 16:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.1K	4,070	4,070	+0	No	+$439	07-15 18:31
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$1.1K	882	882	+0	No	+$44	04-15 04:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	28	$1.1K	1,374	0	+1,374	No	+$256	07-29 17:56
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	7	$1.1K	3,339	3,327	+12	Yes	-$1,077	04-13 16:49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$996	600	600	+0	No	+$144	04-14 06:50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	2	$987	2,010	603	+1,407	No	-$541	06-14 19:50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$963	660	660	+0	Yes	+$356	06-30 19:00
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	31	$945	859	859	+0	Yes	-$137	06-30 14:10
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$937	2,439	2,755	-315	Yes	-$442	04-12 19:22
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	42	$875	1,936	1,928	+8	Yes	-$239	04-13 00:32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$818	676	676	+0	Yes	+$250	05-08 14:56
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	2	$786	800	200	+600	No	+$154	06-30 23:53
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	108	$785	1,036	400	+636	Yes	-$113	04-21 23:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$706	400	400	+0	Yes	+$90	04-21 18:42
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	1	$684	2,974	0	+2,974	Over	-$684	06-17 16:47
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$589	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$589	04-12 17:12
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	30	$541	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$61	04-12 23:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$483	1,080	0	+1,080	No	-$483	05-25 11:35
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	114	$477	10,274	10,274	+0	No	-$456	04-18 10:31
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$463	239	239	+0	Usyk	+$14	05-23 23:20
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$458	1,120	0	+1,120	No	-$458	04-30 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 19:01:41	cricgsl guy san 2026 08 01	Guyana Amazon Warriors	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x44b3be…
07-29 17:56:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	81¢	$60	0xc809ac…
07-29 17:55:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	191	81¢	$156	0x89134d…
07-29 17:55:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x162051…
07-29 17:55:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x3e6e19…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	81¢	$22	0xf4a397…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xf1bc76…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xed1d67…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xd9f2fc…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xae072b…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x8c5a99…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xf834e8…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xd026f9…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xb9ba4b…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xadf5ee…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x63fc12…
07-29 17:55:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x4f1cdb…
07-29 17:55:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7dbee2…
07-29 17:55:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0x002de7…
07-29 17:55:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xde01a5…
07-29 17:55:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x875d99…
07-29 17:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd577ac…
07-29 17:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	81¢	$22	0xbea921…
07-29 17:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x97e830…
07-29 17:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x4dc4c3…
07-29 17:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x17d428…
07-29 17:55:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	81¢	$22	0xf14c7e…
07-29 17:55:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xee51cc…
07-29 17:55:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0x235f57…
07-19 22:30:40	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe8b320…
07-19 22:30:39	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x9162ae…
07-19 22:30:39	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0x79db83…
07-19 22:30:39	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	382	85¢	$325	0x6cfc47…
07-19 21:57:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,577	93¢	$1,470	0x40c38e…
07-19 18:48:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	189	35¢	$66	0x62fa1b…
07-19 18:48:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x992b99…
07-19 18:47:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	278	45¢	$125	0x342a1e…
07-19 18:47:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	526	58¢	$307	0x55e31a…
07-19 02:18:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x05adb0…
07-15 18:31:29	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	183	27¢	$50	0xead313…
07-15 18:31:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	273	20¢	$54	0xb17048…
07-15 18:30:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	393	54¢	$213	0x044514…
07-15 14:58:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x257923…
07-15 14:03:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$62	0xe3909f…
07-15 11:19:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	768	58¢	$446	0x1ac77f…
07-10 11:49:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,762	19¢	$328	0x3ddf71…
07-09 13:02:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,035	20¢	$407	0xdcd81c…
07-01 13:34:22	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	440	55¢	$242	0xa5b549…
07-01 13:30:47	England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	900	39¢	$351	0x8cfe0a…
06-30 23:57:04	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	240	57¢	$137	0x215251…
06-30 23:56:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xe27dab…
06-30 23:55:35	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x686848…
06-30 23:55:16	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	940	16¢	$150	0xc47cd1…
06-30 23:53:20	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x707623…
06-30 23:00:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	410	40¢	$164	0xcb3106…
06-30 22:59:16	Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	675	52¢	$351	0x168406…
06-30 19:01:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	435	31¢	$135	0x5d26d6…
06-30 19:00:20	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	660	100¢	$659	0xa527ff…
06-30 18:48:05	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	233	14¢	$33	0x36e043…
06-30 18:45:20	France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	779	31¢	$241	0x5af3bc…
06-30 18:44:44	France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	350	31¢	$108	0xbcd395…
06-30 14:10:14	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x45eabf…
06-30 12:40:47	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	3¢	$15	0x56994b…
06-30 12:01:32	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	800	77¢	$616	0x22f048…
06-30 11:58:10	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	290	77¢	$223	0x762b76…
06-30 11:57:25	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	660	46¢	$304	0xd0e391…
06-30 11:56:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	190	24¢	$46	0x3f6cd0…
06-30 11:55:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	420	50¢	$210	0x629c5b…
06-30 11:54:41	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	820	43¢	$353	0xe95b77…
06-30 10:05:22	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xd0d685…
06-30 10:00:56	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x090599…
06-30 08:57:13	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x88d5d8…
06-30 08:23:22	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x8be407…
06-30 08:03:01	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x1b0f2c…
06-30 06:53:20	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x2c1a81…
06-30 06:16:17	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x34bffa…
06-30 05:44:25	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0xf13a4c…
06-30 05:34:07	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x68dfe4…
06-30 05:03:26	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x5b5453…
06-30 04:41:20	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x692d4d…
06-30 04:27:47	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x8105d6…
06-30 04:27:14	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	27	47¢	$13	0xbea0ab…
06-30 03:57:02	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x6f00b2…
06-30 03:55:08	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xc500f5…
06-30 03:51:23	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x54a894…
06-30 03:46:59	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	232	47¢	$109	0xcb7dc0…
06-30 03:29:35	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0x70ab98…
06-30 03:07:31	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xb40da7…
06-30 03:06:28	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xc11bed…
06-30 02:06:34	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x7f4775…
06-30 02:06:08	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	320	47¢	$150	0xaa1028…
06-30 00:46:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,070	11¢	$350	0xf6926c…
06-29 23:40:37	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	750	46¢	$345	0x0dbe5d…
06-29 23:38:34	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	460	55¢	$253	0xa6ff7e…
06-29 22:34:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x8982f5…
06-29 22:34:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x619860…
06-29 22:34:38	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0x1fcadc…
06-29 22:34:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x452c86…
06-29 22:34:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	44	42¢	$18	0x12496d…
06-29 22:34:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x9822a9…