Squiggly-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

24,181

Trades

138,892

lifetime

Volume

$341.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-28 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 42% +$3,763

Other

14% 58% +$1,782

Sports

6% 53% -$798

Politics

0% 56% -$11

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 5225 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	—	+12	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:25 UTC	1,082	$2.5K	3,585	0	+3,585	Up	-$2,476	06-26 04:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 20:00 UTC	1,409	$2.1K	3,208	0	+3,208	Up	-$2,055	09-21 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	57	$1.8K	2,718	0	+2,718	Down	+$237	05-24 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	40	$1.7K	2,797	0	+2,797	Down	+$84	05-24 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1,653	$1.7K	2,635	0	+2,635	Up	+$982	09-08 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	41	$1.4K	2,655	0	+2,655	Down	+$186	05-24 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:50 UTC	77	$1.4K	1,230	1,148	+82	Up	+$42	06-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	34	$1.3K	2,140	0	+2,140	Down	-$122	05-24 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	69	$1.2K	2,166	0	+2,166	Up	-$620	05-24 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	27	$1.2K	2,515	0	+2,515	Up	+$67	05-24 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:40 UTC	69	$1.1K	1,040	978	+62	Up	+$61	06-22 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:05 UTC	65	$1.1K	1,009	929	+80	Down	-$38	06-22 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	61	$1.0K	3,010	0	+3,010	Up	-$335	05-24 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:45 UTC	55	$946	890	821	+69	Up	+$5	06-22 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	78	$930	2,199	0	+2,199	Up	-$17	05-24 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 11:45 UTC	51	$924	802	744	+58	Up	-$1	06-22 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	21	$911	1,202	0	+1,202	Down	+$188	05-24 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:20 UTC	62	$878	1,209	1,018	+191	Down	+$131	06-22 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 11:15 UTC	49	$875	768	709	+59	Down	+$15	06-22 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	42	$866	1,461	0	+1,461	Up	+$78	05-24 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	29	$852	2,579	0	+2,579	Up	-$106	05-24 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:55 UTC	53	$827	847	724	+123	Up	+$79	06-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	129	$824	1,441	0	+1,441	Down	+$133	05-24 07:09
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	87	$807	1,329	0	+1,329	Knicks	-$559	06-04 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	63	$794	2,093	0	+2,093	Up	-$152	05-24 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:40 UTC	51	$793	818	748	+70	Down	-$68	06-22 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	148	$792	1,558	0	+1,558	Up	-$60	05-24 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	134	$786	1,499	0	+1,499	Down	-$53	05-24 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	41	$778	1,292	0	+1,292	Up	-$208	05-24 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	109	$741	1,347	0	+1,347	Up	-$19	05-24 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4f55fb…
10-28 01:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xa6b8c7…
10-28 01:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc94178…
10-28 01:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x017c19…
10-28 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7fc54c…
10-28 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa5c88e…
10-28 01:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb67c10…
10-28 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf4b485…
10-28 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa09048…
10-28 00:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x97cad5…
10-28 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3e0d58…
10-28 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x31e2e5…
10-28 00:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x441583…
10-28 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x276710…
10-28 00:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x67ae31…
10-28 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x851654…
10-28 00:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x10191e…
10-28 00:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x516e21…
10-28 00:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5768c1…
10-28 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1a203d…
10-28 00:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xff146c…
10-28 00:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7e1ddf…
10-28 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc31f2f…
10-28 00:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5cb4ce…
10-28 00:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x11b7d5…
10-28 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1714d6…
10-28 00:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x25be69…
10-28 00:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6bdf64…
10-28 00:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x2fdfd6…
10-28 00:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x924a4c…
10-28 00:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x74f2db…
10-28 00:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x8788c5…
10-28 00:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x315ea8…
10-28 00:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x772d6f…
10-28 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5c06da…
10-28 00:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x667d57…
10-28 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb982f8…
10-28 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5315ca…
10-28 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6c8986…
10-28 00:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc6594d…
10-28 00:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xe9222d…
10-28 00:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4e62e3…
10-28 00:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xe63a51…
10-28 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x786d45…
10-28 00:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7e7c6d…
10-28 00:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc751aa…
10-28 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x064334…
10-28 00:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaaa4df…
10-28 00:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd9bd5a…
10-28 00:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb16488…
10-28 00:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd14b35…
10-27 23:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdbaf39…
10-27 23:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x64dfc1…
10-27 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x286777…
10-27 23:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd652d0…
10-27 23:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x351add…
10-27 23:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf48bd1…
10-27 23:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5319ff…
10-27 23:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2bded4…
10-27 23:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xacc088…
10-27 23:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x09ed64…
10-27 23:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xdaa5be…
10-27 23:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9941e7…
10-27 23:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x18289b…
10-27 23:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xed80da…
10-27 23:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x198c60…
10-27 23:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1cde96…
10-27 23:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x969d37…
10-27 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe31e6d…
10-27 23:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x75142c…
10-27 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5485f7…
10-27 23:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbf8a60…
10-27 23:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa1eb10…
10-27 23:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa167d2…
10-27 23:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5a2e0e…
10-27 22:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb435ef…
10-27 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc83d8c…
10-27 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2a4b71…
10-27 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb64ce9…
10-27 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbf170d…
10-27 22:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x60ef8a…
10-27 22:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x43d88b…
10-27 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb9179d…
10-27 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf59355…
10-27 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd17e03…
10-27 22:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa7bc9b…
10-27 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x273971…
10-27 22:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcd4597…
10-27 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x05bcb1…
10-27 22:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x402ee1…
10-27 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf65b18…
10-27 22:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb2ae62…
10-27 22:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x735ea2…
10-27 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb5fa34…
10-27 22:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x27377a…
10-27 22:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2466ff…
10-27 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xda754a…
10-27 22:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x07c33e…
10-27 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2424d0…
10-27 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x814816…