Flaky-Festival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-15 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 29% $-536

Crypto

44% 52% +$434

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$203

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	7	$3.2K	3,116	2,924	+193	BetBoom Team	+$223	05-12 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$1.9K	1,110	1,110	+0	Up	+$312	05-12 23:55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	2	$1.2K	659	659	+0	open	—	05-15 16:47
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game2	2	$1.2K	1,115	1,098	+17	open	—	04-18 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$1.1K	680	680	+0	open	—	05-03 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	14	$1.0K	633	633	+0	Up	+$214	05-13 19:50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$910	635	635	+0	Natus Vincere	+$110	05-12 23:35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	1	$908	1,712	0	+1,712	open	—	05-15 16:48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	3	$907	675	675	+0	open	—	05-03 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$817	421	421	+0	Down	+$17	05-12 23:50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	12	$809	927	927	+0	BetBoom Team	$-222	05-12 18:59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$770	909	909	+0	open	—	05-15 16:47
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game1	13	$751	101,545	432	+101,113	open	—	04-18 19:30
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	8	$693	1,076	1,054	+23	open	—	04-15 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$619	626	0	+626	Up	+$6	05-12 20:29
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$616	342	342	+0	open	—	05-14 16:45
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19 game2	2	$565	500	492	+8	open	—	04-19 18:55
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$489	331	331	+0	open	—	05-14 17:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$464	265	265	+0	Up	+$44	05-13 19:58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	2	$448	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	05-03 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$446	266	240	+26	open	—	05-03 21:12
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$426	318	318	+0	Sean Strickland	+$203	05-10 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$400	682	0	+682	Up	+$282	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	9	$397	253	253	+0	Up	+$84	05-12 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$374	232	232	+0	Down	+$85	05-12 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776717600	2	$372	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	04-20 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$359	211	211	+0	Up	+$59	05-12 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$308	180	180	+0	Up	+$48	05-12 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$300	511	0	+511	open	—	05-03 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$292	369	212	+156	Down	+$61	05-09 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:48:04	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	1,712	53¢	$908	0xa35920…
05-15 16:47:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	909	30¢	$270	0x5480f6…
05-15 16:47:08	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	SELL	659	100¢	$659	0xefefdc…
05-15 16:27:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	659	89¢	$586	0x0d4037…
05-15 15:44:59	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x77de36…
05-14 17:11:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	190	50¢	$95	0xcfc140…
05-14 17:01:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	331	72¢	$239	0x1aa02d…
05-14 16:52:43	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0xbade1e…
05-14 16:52:10	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	331	76¢	$250	0xf0f128…
05-14 16:50:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xdc274d…
05-14 16:45:48	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	fnatic	SELL	342	99¢	$339	0x1004e5…
05-14 16:41:41	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	342	81¢	$277	0xa75c9c…
05-13 20:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	131	25¢	$33	0x95d17b…
05-13 20:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0x06db85…
05-13 19:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x8d402f…
05-13 19:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x71cbd6…
05-13 19:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x05249e…
05-13 19:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x781f28…
05-13 19:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xc5fe3c…
05-13 19:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x65db22…
05-13 19:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	265	79¢	$210	0xe0fad8…
05-13 19:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	118	97¢	$114	0x4baed6…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xe9333b…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xd4f2b3…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0xbf6b31…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xbc2808…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xb5cbc6…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x744dce…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x53b519…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	221	97¢	$214	0x4c5fcb…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x40fac1…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x3cab7b…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0fb58f…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x084e96…
05-13 19:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	633	63¢	$400	0xad01d2…
05-13 18:39:55	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	300	7¢	$20	0xdd55eb…
05-13 18:15:06	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	443	34¢	$150	0xd99148…
05-13 18:09:09	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xc6dc5c…
05-13 00:09:27	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x824275…
05-13 00:00:56	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x287782…
05-12 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x8fa29f…
05-12 23:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	133	79¢	$105	0x730dbe…
05-12 23:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5e7a94…
05-12 23:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x73402d…
05-12 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1,110	99¢	$1,099	0x155ec9…
05-12 23:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	748	80¢	$596	0x485bd6…
05-12 23:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	362	53¢	$190	0xd5193e…
05-12 23:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	373	99¢	$369	0x5ff039…
05-12 23:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf41610…
05-12 23:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x50e50a…
05-12 23:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	181	58¢	$105	0x2c1eb1…
05-12 23:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x493755…
05-12 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xc21742…
05-12 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x789f7e…
05-12 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x11a394…
05-12 23:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0x0beabb…
05-12 23:35:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	SELL	635	80¢	$510	0x5a8786…
05-12 23:29:30	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	635	63¢	$400	0x077018…
05-12 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf5db27…
05-12 21:06:00	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BetBoom Team	SELL	901	100¢	$901	0xe0d752…
05-12 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	223	59¢	$131	0xec94ae…
05-12 21:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x940694…
05-12 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	134	98¢	$132	0xebecd8…
05-12 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc10f0b…
05-12 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa2b422…
05-12 20:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x384dfe…
05-12 20:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x9ea86b…
05-12 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xf7664c…
05-12 20:44:16	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BetBoom Team	BUY	901	61¢	$550	0xc085e7…
05-12 20:41:26	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	SELL	1,592	29¢	$469	0xcdab29…
05-12 20:39:53	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	1,552	25¢	$387	0xb400e6…
05-12 20:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	158	48¢	$75	0x40bfcc…
05-12 20:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	460	1¢	$5	0x7e2877…
05-12 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	460	4¢	$20	0xb89d4a…
05-12 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	626	99¢	$619	0x32b0cd…
05-12 20:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	192	39¢	$75	0x541da5…
05-12 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf0b79c…
05-12 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xd95d98…
05-12 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0x63fc62…
05-12 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x4c4352…
05-12 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x119594…
05-12 20:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xdc3559…
05-12 20:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	298	99¢	$295	0x895ce1…
05-12 20:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	384	27¢	$105	0x62869e…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xd910dd…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xbbbaaa…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x7859e1…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x761ef0…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6ef52b…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x5cd9ac…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0x2d1d59…
05-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x1626b0…
05-12 19:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	253	62¢	$156	0xe1c051…
05-12 19:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc42260…
05-12 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x966fdc…
05-12 19:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0x65e9b6…
05-12 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	232	99¢	$230	0x6883bd…
05-12 19:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	232	62¢	$144	0x25009d…
05-12 19:40:20	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	SELL	252	79¢	$200	0xd92571…
05-12 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0xa21db9…