Ample-Fantasy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$118

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-11 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

84% 25% $-4

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	2	$19	59	59	+0	open	—	04-10 10:56
will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	3	$14	51	51	+0	open	—	04-13 10:19
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	833	0	+833	open	—	04-09 20:26
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	1	$10	153	0	+153	open	—	04-10 10:26
will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$5	49	49	+0	open	—	04-15 11:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-10 14:30
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-09 20:33
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	04-16 07:31
Will "Vaccine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	$-3	05-05 14:43
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	04-14 19:21
Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	$-3	05-05 14:43
Will "Unbelievable" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	05-05 14:43
btc updown 5m 1775768100	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 20:59
btc updown 5m 1775767800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 20:54
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 15:29
will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-20 19:52
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$2	13	0	+13	No	$-2	04-16 07:31
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	2	$2	130	0	+130	open	—	04-13 09:29
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-09 12:35
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	04-09 20:30
will starmer say deeply concerning during the next prime ministers questions event 961 163	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-20 19:54
Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	$-1	04-09 20:30
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-11 10:56
Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	21	0	+21	open	—	04-09 20:31
btc updown 5m 1775767200	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-09 20:40
btc updown 5m 1775833200	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-10 15:01
Will Montenegro come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	19	0	+19	No	$-1	04-09 20:31
Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	04-09 20:31
btc updown 5m 1775832900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-10 14:56
Will San Marino come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	$-1	04-09 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:13:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa089f1…
05-05 14:43:30	Will "Unbelievable" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x02b89a…
05-05 14:43:20	Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x50ee37…
05-05 14:43:12	Will "Vaccine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaf72b3…
04-21 15:29:28	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9f2838…
04-20 19:58:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9da385…
04-20 19:56:18	btc updown 5m 1776714900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a6274…
04-20 19:54:10	will starmer say deeply concerning during the next prime ministers questions event 961 163	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x10b4f7…
04-20 19:52:48	will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event 636 397	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf6431c…
04-20 19:52:22	will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb0f1a5…
04-16 07:32:00	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96b0ed…
04-16 07:31:10	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xca25f1…
04-16 07:31:02	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6be078…
04-15 11:41:20	will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x7c64d7…
04-14 19:21:56	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xdeea39…
04-13 10:19:33	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0x012227…
04-13 09:29:31	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc0867f…
04-11 10:56:25	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa8f601…
04-10 15:01:07	btc updown 5m 1775833200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1953a3…
04-10 14:56:01	btc updown 5m 1775832900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdca8e8…
04-10 14:30:27	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5965bf…
04-10 11:57:53	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbdff98…
04-10 10:58:41	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbd4224…
04-10 10:56:43	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	SELL	59	16¢	$9	0x2b4bc0…
04-10 10:29:23	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3f0186…
04-10 10:26:59	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	No	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0x4f9963…
04-10 10:21:15	btc updown 5m 1775816400	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9a1ce6…
04-09 21:08:11	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x21e60b…
04-09 21:05:27	will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x571f03…
04-09 20:59:33	btc updown 5m 1775768100	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9a443b…
04-09 20:55:15	btc updown 5m 1775768100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd81bd5…
04-09 20:54:15	btc updown 5m 1775767800	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x36a9a1…
04-09 20:53:05	btc updown 5m 1775767800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x08bfa4…
04-09 20:40:17	btc updown 5m 1775767200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc67b90…
04-09 20:37:27	btc updown 5m 1775766900	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7e8169…
04-09 20:33:01	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaa3432…
04-09 20:31:47	Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x2f51fd…
04-09 20:31:17	Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x658e5b…
04-09 20:31:01	Will Montenegro come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa46eb2…
04-09 20:30:39	Will San Marino come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xff03ba…
04-09 20:30:21	Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xff128f…
04-09 20:30:13	Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaa12d1…
04-09 20:26:13	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0xfb86d3…
04-09 12:35:31	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x52f399…