Pretty-Pony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$889

Unrealized P&L

-$616

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-09 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-5

Politics

37% 0% $-25

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-859

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-300	$-48	15¢	$-44	+$4	05-28 18:40
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	No		+1,116	$621	0¢	$1	$-620	04-26 02:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$3.6K	2,197	2,197	+0	open	—	04-06 20:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$3.1K	2,012	2,012	+0	open	—	03-31 17:26
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	22	$2.6K	1,549	1,549	+0	open	—	03-07 09:54
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	29	$2.3K	2,841	1,126	+1,715	open	—	05-21 20:58
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	18	$2.3K	1,249	1,344	-95	open	—	05-20 09:40
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	13	$2.2K	1,755	1,755	+0	open	—	03-15 13:07
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	13	$1.9K	1,297	804	+493	open	—	03-31 14:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$1.7K	1,458	1,458	+0	open	—	04-02 09:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$1.5K	841	941	-100	open	—	04-15 08:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	4	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Dino Prizmic	+$10	05-08 17:53
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	8	$1.3K	761	761	+0	open	—	03-08 16:24
Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	2	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	05-17 15:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$1.0K	609	609	+0	open	—	03-31 19:17
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	26	$973	526	526	+0	open	—	03-30 07:14
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$859	3,137	0	+3,137	No	$-859	04-15 08:25
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	9	$829	732	373	+359	open	—	03-01 21:13
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	14	$694	676	548	+128	open	—	02-18 22:36
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$636	868	868	+0	open	—	03-31 19:16
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	7	$628	1,127	11	+1,116	open	—	04-26 02:06
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?	24	$620	1,030	706	+324	open	—	04-26 13:00
World Championships: Italy vs. Norway	3	$567	300	300	+0	open	—	05-19 16:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	5	$463	293	293	+0	open	—	02-15 10:08
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	4	$435	340	335	+5	open	—	04-07 20:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	9	$416	933	933	+0	open	—	04-07 11:41
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$350	1,377	0	+1,377	open	—	04-07 20:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$313	174	174	+0	open	—	04-21 14:43
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?	26	$293	378	384	-5	open	—	04-27 13:46
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	4	$283	373	171	+202	open	—	04-11 12:47
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Tabur	3	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 16:22
World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	6	$260	180	180	+0	open	—	05-21 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:07:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xc2f4a4…
06-09 17:06:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	170	44¢	$75	0x6a8c2d…
06-07 14:14:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xd9e575…
06-06 19:18:09	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xb4a05c…
06-05 21:54:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0x199089…
06-05 21:49:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x094b5b…
06-05 21:48:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xda1a4d…
06-05 21:48:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x224ce6…
05-30 14:20:11	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xc787e3…
05-30 14:19:47	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf5ab56…
05-30 11:31:56	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	BUY	110	87¢	$96	0x6d16ac…
05-28 18:42:55	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe77afb…
05-28 18:41:21	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xa56e76…
05-28 18:40:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0x624676…
05-28 18:33:56	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcfb983…
05-25 17:32:16	BC Zenit vs. Unics Kazan	BC Zenit	BUY	134	63¢	$85	0x968f04…
05-25 16:17:05	BC Zenit vs. Unics Kazan	BC Zenit	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf2530c…
05-25 16:16:02	World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	Czechia	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x5f2b1f…
05-25 16:14:27	World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	Czechia	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x5db12f…
05-24 16:57:01	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x235dc7…
05-24 16:41:01	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xdbf824…
05-24 16:34:57	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x11aeb5…
05-24 16:15:38	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x058d42…
05-24 16:11:51	World Championships: Denmark vs. Italy	Denmark	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0x8b8045…
05-24 16:10:41	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9c4da4…
05-23 12:41:44	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	198	2¢	$4	0xef9e7c…
05-23 12:41:44	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0xd3f212…
05-23 12:20:34	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0xc7df68…
05-23 12:20:27	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xaa1f69…
05-23 11:57:28	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x076731…
05-23 11:57:23	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x379050…
05-21 20:58:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe05ea4…
05-21 20:39:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb82e62…
05-21 20:36:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	600	65¢	$390	0xb7d587…
05-21 20:32:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x762460…
05-21 20:30:28	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x95a895…
05-21 20:28:28	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	524	76¢	$400	0xf8edf6…
05-21 20:16:51	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x6e8509…
05-21 20:16:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x6fba60…
05-21 17:37:45	World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xe6485c…
05-21 17:37:26	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x9d4b3b…
05-21 16:32:00	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	SELL	109	41¢	$45	0xf2e92d…
05-21 16:22:30	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	BUY	71	69¢	$49	0x2e85ec…
05-21 15:30:02	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x344827…
05-21 15:17:36	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	BUY	97	89¢	$87	0x4b3bd3…
05-21 14:54:28	World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x12d8da…
05-21 14:52:26	World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Canada	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x6db485…
05-20 20:46:23	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	USA	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x2d9497…
05-20 19:46:16	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	USA	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf643f9…
05-20 17:29:18	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xc3fb1b…
05-20 17:11:41	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x2336b9…
05-20 17:09:46	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x56b998…
05-20 17:09:23	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x948cec…
05-20 17:08:46	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x010b5e…
05-20 17:07:41	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x002ec6…
05-20 17:07:40	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x66556e…
05-20 17:06:44	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7ee20d…
05-20 17:06:02	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x764938…
05-20 17:04:53	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc5b453…
05-20 17:03:03	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xa66d48…
05-20 16:35:59	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xa7bf14…
05-20 16:31:19	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x395a4d…
05-20 15:52:37	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xf687b5…
05-20 11:29:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x6b0f56…
05-20 11:05:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	230	51¢	$117	0x7ab825…
05-20 11:05:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xb4d394…
05-20 10:41:19	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x389062…
05-20 10:09:21	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	27	51¢	$14	0x909e93…
05-20 09:40:34	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0xbb9837…
05-20 05:17:55	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0x262735…
05-20 01:56:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xb8a3bd…
05-19 19:53:17	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	485	60¢	$292	0x93c41e…
05-19 19:37:46	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xdab07d…
05-19 16:51:50	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc1a449…
05-19 16:33:36	World Championships: Italy vs. Norway	Norway	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xd945fc…
05-19 16:33:15	World Championships: Italy vs. Norway	Norway	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xc2c654…
05-19 16:21:35	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Latvia	SELL	158	21¢	$33	0x355776…
05-19 15:30:28	World Championships: Italy vs. Norway	Norway	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x30d568…
05-19 15:06:08	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Latvia	BUY	69	63¢	$44	0x5b0ed8…
05-19 15:03:55	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Latvia	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa730f4…
05-19 15:03:55	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Latvia	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6e2745…
05-19 15:03:41	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Latvia	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xe57a40…
05-19 06:38:43	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0xb75d67…
05-19 06:38:24	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0xfa00a0…
05-19 06:37:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$60	0x20c186…
05-19 06:31:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	169	53¢	$90	0x2567e5…
05-19 06:30:47	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x713dc7…
05-18 20:35:51	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	103	16¢	$16	0xe08ae3…
05-18 19:20:08	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	147	55¢	$81	0x00bc9f…
05-18 18:42:27	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xbfed89…
05-18 18:32:56	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	67	49¢	$33	0xcc9617…
05-18 18:32:53	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9557c8…
05-18 18:32:53	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x03bd70…
05-18 18:30:08	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xe95dac…
05-18 18:25:16	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xa915ac…
05-18 18:06:06	World Championships: Germany vs. Switzerland	Switzerland	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x26266e…
05-18 17:56:29	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x1c13e8…
05-18 13:32:28	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd28a5a…
05-18 11:44:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x279d33…
05-18 03:09:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	99	85¢	$84	0x1a217a…