Political-Affair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$579

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-17 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-579

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$991	851	851	+0	Up	+$191	05-09 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$733	488	488	+0	Up	+$233	05-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$727	532	532	+0	Up	+$327	05-09 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$657	562	562	+0	Down	+$257	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$570	386	386	+0	Up	+$170	05-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$506	395	395	+0	Down	+$106	05-09 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$505	374	374	+0	Down	+$105	05-09 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$461	282	282	+0	Down	+$61	05-09 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$372	556	556	+0	Down	$-28	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$363	286	286	+0	Down	+$203	05-10 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$319	310	310	+0	Up	+$119	05-09 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$304	208	208	+0	Down	+$104	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$300	609	0	+609	Down	$-300	05-09 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$300	1,284	0	+1,284	Down	$-300	05-09 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$300	732	0	+732	Down	$-300	05-09 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$277	217	217	+0	Down	+$77	05-09 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$268	170	170	+0	Up	+$68	05-10 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$266	168	168	+0	Down	+$66	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$256	181	181	+0	Up	+$97	05-09 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$234	135	135	+0	Up	+$34	05-10 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$205	583	250	+333	Down	+$45	05-09 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$167	424	0	+424	Up	$-167	05-10 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$161	253	85	+168	Up	$-39	05-10 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$158	465	0	+465	Down	$-158	05-09 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$157	110	110	+0	Down	+$60	05-09 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$157	108	108	+0	Up	+$57	05-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$156	348	348	+0	Up	+$65	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$150	505	0	+505	Down	$-150	05-09 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$150	554	0	+554	Up	$-150	05-09 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$134	95	95	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x848123…
05-17 10:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcc1871…
05-17 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x03e4c4…
05-17 10:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x20c583…
05-17 10:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x61e231…
05-17 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3f1a38…
05-17 10:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	168	3¢	$5	0x3ed969…
05-17 10:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	168	28¢	$47	0x3c17ff…
05-17 10:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xcfdb33…
05-17 10:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x167de0…
05-17 10:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x105e5a…
05-17 10:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0x4d350c…
05-17 10:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x753f4d…
05-13 00:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x43b977…
05-13 00:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x2dee91…
05-13 00:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa1e61f…
05-12 23:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3c90c8…
05-12 23:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x608150…
05-12 23:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x97549c…
05-12 23:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x393ffd…
05-12 23:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x90c220…
05-12 23:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9555f1…
05-12 22:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7f84a2…
05-12 22:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xd18e35…
05-12 22:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8d40d1…
05-12 22:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa6b3aa…
05-12 22:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb20b40…
05-12 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x9ea749…
05-12 22:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x36274f…
05-12 22:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x09300b…
05-12 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x32be61…
05-12 22:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe8d5d3…
05-12 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd3e48e…
05-12 21:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x829f83…
05-12 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc40ecf…
05-12 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1c5fc6…
05-12 21:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xebb955…
05-12 20:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x1f855f…
05-12 20:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1f979…
05-12 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1a7335…
05-12 20:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2cf279…
05-12 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x102cf8…
05-12 20:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x26b25f…
05-12 20:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc16b47…
05-12 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe4540e…
05-10 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	77	51¢	$39	0xeb79ad…
05-10 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x01b620…
05-10 16:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0x6a2300…
05-10 16:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x5aca22…
05-10 16:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x7dcb64…
05-10 16:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	86	83¢	$72	0xa92ce6…
05-10 16:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xe43f53…
05-10 16:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x897e4e…
05-10 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$15	0xc3badd…
05-10 16:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x133623…
05-10 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb0811f…
05-10 15:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x16749d…
05-10 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x750a17…
05-10 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xd506c4…
05-10 11:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x17bb0b…
05-10 11:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0xa6c9f5…
05-10 11:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	85	72¢	$61	0x5c7ff3…
05-10 11:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa9b922…
05-10 11:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x5ac40d…
05-10 10:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x05f914…
05-10 09:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3dd9dc…
05-10 00:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0xa97ddb…
05-10 00:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xdcab33…
05-10 00:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	488	99¢	$483	0xff083f…
05-10 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x62a97f…
05-10 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	388	52¢	$200	0xa05d87…
05-10 00:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	327	9¢	$31	0xa441cf…
05-10 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	327	15¢	$50	0x0415b5…
05-10 00:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	286	99¢	$283	0x951a10…
05-10 00:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x2eca12…
05-10 00:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xb3a11d…
05-10 00:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x4bcd86…
05-10 00:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	424	39¢	$167	0x7b7e75…
05-09 23:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	124	48¢	$60	0x9b5405…
05-09 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	98	34¢	$33	0x16da79…
05-09 23:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	250	31¢	$77	0x52cfb6…
05-09 23:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	348	13¢	$45	0x39a8d4…
05-09 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	374	81¢	$305	0x8d7e97…
05-09 22:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	374	53¢	$200	0x62aaa7…
05-09 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xcce1dd…
05-09 21:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0x2630c2…
05-09 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0xd4912a…
05-09 21:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	609	49¢	$300	0xbb7917…
05-09 21:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x8a37d4…
05-09 21:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	570	35¢	$200	0x91dc6b…
05-09 21:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	437	23¢	$100	0xf16fe4…
05-09 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	344	99¢	$340	0xc3e98d…
05-09 20:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc7411b…
05-09 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xcee1bf…
05-09 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	508	49¢	$251	0xb17ac9…
05-09 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	508	39¢	$200	0x62891f…
05-09 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	572	17¢	$100	0x433937…
05-09 20:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	386	96¢	$370	0x85559e…
05-09 20:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0xc6cb98…
05-09 20:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x607db3…