Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$838

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

578

Trades

1,198

lifetime

Volume

$43.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$270

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-16

last 10-28 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

94% 49% +$1,001

Politics

4% 19% -$59

Crypto

2% 52% -$62

Tech

1% 50% +$5

Sports

0% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+400	$152	44¢	$174	+$22	10-25 15:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+132	$50	32¢	$41	-$9	10-12 08:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+132	$50	32¢	$41	-$9	10-12 08:49
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+158	$30	8¢	$13	-$17	10-24 01:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,445	1,445	+0	Yes	+$444	08-21 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	2	$1.1K	617	617	+0	Yes	+$116	08-26 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	563	563	+0	Yes	+$12	08-31 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	13	$781	800	800	+0	Yes	-$89	10-21 12:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	9	$762	677	677	+0	Yes	+$320	10-07 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	10	$738	908	908	+0	Yes	+$213	10-19 14:52
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner	5	$652	450	450	+0	BNK FearX Youth	+$203	08-24 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	4	$634	436	436	+0	Yes	+$34	09-12 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$625	326	326	+0	Yes	+$25	08-28 18:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$612	312	312	+0	Yes	+$12	09-08 15:44
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner	3	$577	399	399	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$219	10-15 11:37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$509	448	385	+63	Yes	-$111	09-18 14:42
lol hle1 t1 2026 08 23 game1	1	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	Hanwha Life Esports	-$500	08-23 08:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	7	$499	1,639	1,639	+0	open	—	10-23 09:30
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner	3	$481	331	331	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$181	10-15 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	10	$460	1,024	1,024	+0	Yes	+$240	10-06 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	2	$422	222	222	+0	Yes	+$22	09-02 16:06
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	2	$410	323	323	+0	BNK FEARX	+$210	09-03 08:45
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner	3	$391	268	268	+0	T1 Academy	+$96	10-02 09:32
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game1	2	$354	256	256	+0	T1	+$154	08-08 08:34
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$351	456	256	+200	MVK Esports	+$147	10-17 18:44
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	3	$344	227	227	+0	BNK FEARX	+$104	10-12 12:58
lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game2	2	$329	233	233	+0	Top Esports	+$129	08-07 14:15
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$316	200	200	+0	LYON	+$84	10-24 00:43
lol al blg 2026 07 26	2	$303	204	204	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$104	07-26 14:10
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$300	462	0	+462	Yes	-$300	08-29 02:14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	3	$299	196	196	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$93	09-12 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	2	$296	196	196	+0	Yes	+$96	09-16 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	12	$294	1,686	0	+1,686	No	-$294	10-22 03:38
lol edg nip 2026 08 28 game1	2	$294	200	200	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$102	08-28 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:44:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xa3ba88…
10-28 07:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x9d0519…
10-27 15:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xcadaf9…
10-27 15:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x617c95…
10-27 14:16:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xf0f0b6…
10-27 14:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x47163f…
10-27 14:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0x9a225b…
10-27 14:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x79610f…
10-27 14:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xd41b8f…
10-27 14:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xd5fbb3…
10-27 14:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0xadf7f5…
10-27 03:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xdb5900…
10-26 15:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x67f2fe…
10-26 03:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xe79a5c…
10-25 15:24:02	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x41b531…
10-24 22:06:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcdcb90…
10-24 17:24:53	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x48e3db…
10-24 17:23:41	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x3ffdc2…
10-24 17:23:08	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc1dfb7…
10-24 14:21:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xc382da…
10-24 14:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	30¢	$26	0xf019be…
10-24 14:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x6431ca…
10-24 01:23:11	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x417823…
10-24 00:43:20	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x9e72d0…
10-24 00:12:11	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x335053…
10-23 15:01:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x00ec66…
10-23 14:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7278c6…
10-23 14:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0x387eb6…
10-23 14:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x1c4e98…
10-23 09:30:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,475	3¢	$47	0x4bcd31…
10-22 06:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	29¢	$74	0xcbb6b7…
10-22 06:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	29¢	$11	0xbe20dc…
10-22 06:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2c6e80…
10-22 03:38:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xdbe1ee…
10-22 03:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x4199ff…
10-22 01:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x4e5ef9…
10-22 01:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x2917de…
10-22 01:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x76d89c…
10-22 01:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xfae2ec…
10-22 01:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcd98a6…
10-22 01:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$4	0xda3859…
10-22 01:14:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x64ae03…
10-22 01:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe435cd…
10-22 00:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd6acd4…
10-22 00:55:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	12¢	$57	0x343926…
10-22 00:10:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	16¢	$144	0x57769a…
10-22 00:10:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xe7400d…
10-22 00:08:50	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	117	82¢	$96	0x8d4067…
10-22 00:08:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	83¢	$39	0x6b8a3f…
10-21 16:32:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	104	13¢	$14	0x4b9f47…
10-21 15:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78352f…
10-21 14:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd28b5b…
10-21 12:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe60b14…
10-21 12:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	36¢	$144	0x1d292f…
10-21 11:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	55¢	$53	0xa23377…
10-21 11:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x975b74…
10-21 11:01:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0x39221e…
10-21 11:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x47c5b0…
10-21 10:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0x3b865b…
10-21 10:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x2f75d8…
10-21 10:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb4fba9…
10-21 10:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x6190f2…
10-21 10:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x32b687…
10-21 07:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	352	15¢	$53	0x466961…
10-21 07:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0x958998…
10-21 07:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0x017c1f…
10-21 07:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x18af78…
10-21 06:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe0ab78…
10-21 06:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0x4214d4…
10-21 06:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	465	12¢	$56	0x62c00d…
10-21 06:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b4d13…
10-21 06:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x8ba221…
10-21 06:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3ad04f…
10-21 02:41:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x6c5024…
10-20 17:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd3f51a…
10-20 17:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1d609c…
10-20 17:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x60fd59…
10-20 17:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	400	50¢	$202	0xb7613e…
10-20 17:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	598	2¢	$12	0x5177a4…
10-20 17:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$7	0xb36e1d…
10-20 17:19:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	897	0¢	$2	0x6f80e6…
10-20 17:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	283	60¢	$170	0x5eba4b…
10-20 17:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0x15c329…
10-20 06:54:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x6dc028…
10-20 06:53:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x54c06f…
10-20 06:53:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc1a6c2…
10-20 05:39:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$4	0x6133da…
10-20 05:28:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	693	2¢	$14	0x03c919…
10-20 02:12:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$31	0x430616…
10-20 01:36:41	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xa9a2b3…
10-19 18:22:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x69c9a5…
10-19 18:21:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5a40ae…
10-19 18:20:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x889456…
10-19 17:23:30	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1,080	2¢	$22	0xe0d0b0…
10-19 16:52:08	Paris curfew by October 24?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc97154…
10-19 16:52:08	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0x0f6102…
10-19 16:51:29	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x595660…
10-19 16:07:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x2ae072…
10-19 16:00:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	131	42¢	$55	0x756bc9…
10-19 16:00:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	44	42¢	$19	0xf507ef…