Sophisticated-Goodness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

4,858

Trades

6,413

lifetime

Volume

$121.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-16 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% +$53

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-3	-$3	99¢	$-3	$0	08-16 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 26 10pm et	6	$218	224	+224	Up	+$6	02-27 03:51
xrp up or down february 19 2am et	4	$153	161	+161	Up	+$8	02-19 07:37
solana up or down february 24 9pm et	4	$153	155	+155	Up	+$3	02-25 02:48
ethereum up or down february 26 4am et	4	$147	151	+151	Up	+$5	02-26 09:33
ethereum up or down february 16 1am et	2	$146	148	+148	Up	+$2	02-16 06:44
solana up or down february 15 11pm et	2	$145	146	+146	Up	+$1	02-16 04:50
bitcoin up or down february 25 1am et	3	$144	146	+146	Up	+$2	02-25 06:47
ethereum up or down february 24 4pm et	3	$140	142	+142	Down	+$3	02-24 21:49
solana up or down february 16 12am et	2	$139	144	+144	Down	+$5	02-16 05:23
solana up or down february 14 6pm et	3	$138	140	+140	Down	+$2	02-14 23:47
xrp up or down february 15 11pm et	2	$137	143	+143	Up	+$6	02-16 04:50
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	2	$86	94	+94	Up	+$8	02-13 15:28
solana up or down february 19 4am et	2	$83	84	+84	Down	+$1	02-19 09:48
bitcoin up or down february 22 12am et	2	$81	84	+84	Down	+$3	02-22 05:48
xrp up or down february 23 4pm et	2	$81	84	+84	Up	+$3	02-23 21:49
solana up or down february 21 1pm et	2	$81	82	+82	Up	+$1	02-21 18:47
solana up or down february 22 1am et	2	$80	83	+83	Up	+$2	02-22 06:34
ethereum up or down february 18 6pm et	2	$80	82	+82	Up	+$2	02-18 23:47
ethereum up or down february 16 12am et	2	$80	82	+82	Down	+$2	02-16 05:24
ethereum up or down february 25 12am et	2	$80	82	+82	Down	+$2	02-25 05:24
solana up or down february 17 11pm et	2	$80	80	+80	Down	+$0	02-18 04:46
xrp up or down february 20 7pm et	1	$80	80	+80	Down	+$0	02-21 00:42
solana up or down february 28 2am et	2	$80	83	+83	Up	+$3	02-28 07:34
xrp up or down february 18 6am et	2	$80	84	+84	Down	+$4	02-18 11:33
solana up or down february 25 12am et	2	$79	80	+80	Down	+$1	02-25 05:33
solana up or down february 24 4am et	2	$79	80	+80	Down	+$1	02-24 09:35
solana up or down february 22 2am et	2	$79	80	+80	Down	-$79	02-22 07:46
solana up or down march 1 7am et	1	$79	80	+80	Down	+$1	03-01 12:51
ethereum up or down february 24 4am et	2	$79	80	+80	Down	+$1	02-24 09:35
solana up or down february 26 9pm et	2	$79	80	+80	Up	+$1	02-27 02:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 20:27:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc7ffb5…
05-21 09:27:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xac946b…
04-28 05:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xea16a7…
04-28 05:28:10	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xe44f22…
04-28 05:28:10	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x40bf12…
04-28 05:27:54	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xcd78cf…
04-28 05:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x309a5b…
04-28 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdc175c…
04-28 04:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x94c455…
04-28 04:27:04	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x0616f8…
04-28 03:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xa5a556…
04-28 03:25:10	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8a86ba…
04-28 02:38:50	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x6a5d22…
04-28 02:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xec7f21…
04-28 02:34:38	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x605091…
04-28 02:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xcbfe9f…
04-28 02:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb2daec…
04-28 02:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xf47a56…
04-28 01:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfcc412…
04-28 01:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8d17f4…
04-28 01:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xbd3c20…
04-28 01:29:14	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xafaafc…
04-28 00:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x80f7fe…
04-28 00:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x96ce60…
04-28 00:26:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xc57cb8…
04-28 00:26:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x0487bc…
04-27 23:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x164ae2…
04-27 23:35:26	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x59d40a…
04-27 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x73e2b6…
04-27 23:32:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xada9d7…
04-27 23:32:34	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xe20be1…
04-27 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xd0167f…
04-27 22:30:00	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xbb35ce…
04-27 22:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x6fe279…
04-27 22:28:18	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x186121…
04-27 22:28:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xa34b68…
04-27 21:47:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf78856…
04-27 21:47:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x95ea2e…
04-27 21:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x206442…
04-27 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xb159e7…
04-27 21:37:00	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd38ccc…
04-27 21:36:54	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x988d0b…
04-27 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x07b7de…
04-27 20:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x3a511d…
04-27 19:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x9b63a5…
04-27 19:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7012fc…
04-27 19:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x65241b…
04-27 19:24:40	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$12	0x883bd5…
04-27 19:24:14	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4bf523…
04-27 19:24:14	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x17b45a…
04-27 18:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x98cffe…
04-27 18:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x853617…
04-27 18:46:38	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$12	0x8aba8c…
04-27 18:46:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xa9d66e…
04-27 16:51:00	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf92f6b…
04-27 15:18:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xc93459…
04-27 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x136436…
04-27 15:14:28	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x85be97…
04-27 15:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xf90748…
04-27 14:36:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x24c388…
04-27 14:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xf06133…
04-27 14:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcec8e4…
04-27 14:36:16	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x485a76…
04-27 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x418254…
04-27 14:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x1da38d…
04-27 12:37:30	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9e25e6…
04-27 12:37:24	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5a20db…
04-27 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x317a8a…
04-27 12:28:40	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x5df973…
04-27 12:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x9d3358…
04-27 12:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x870597…
04-27 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xa42edc…
04-27 11:45:08	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x9107bb…
04-27 10:35:32	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x5bad08…
04-27 10:35:32	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x19cf61…
04-27 10:35:28	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xc0cbd9…
04-27 09:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x9ed36e…
04-27 09:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x0ccabb…
04-27 09:26:48	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb460a1…
04-27 09:26:48	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x812920…
04-27 09:26:22	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x4ea9c7…
04-27 08:52:40	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x809e76…
04-27 08:52:34	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x686ddc…
04-27 08:49:26	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x960d78…
04-27 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xe7952a…
04-27 08:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0xa8be66…
04-27 06:40:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x4dc6ad…
04-27 06:31:38	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x175484…
04-27 05:06:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x869a31…
04-27 05:06:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x78ed58…
04-27 05:06:16	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2f2135…
04-27 05:06:16	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x110822…
04-27 05:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x4446a8…
04-27 05:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x4b788d…
04-27 04:49:46	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x8b9024…
04-27 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x08cf33…
04-27 04:46:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xb45e49…
04-27 04:46:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x13f3e9…
04-27 04:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x936460…
04-27 04:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x762288…