Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
2,276
Trades
15,500
lifetime
Volume
$199.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.00K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 81% -$2,952
Other
5% 48% -$269
Tech
3% 75% -$258
Sports
1% 38% +$101
Politics
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +726 $169 57¢ $413 +$244 10-17 14:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -410 -$300 68¢ $-279 +$22 08-19 07:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -709 -$268 38¢ $-273 -$5 11-02 17:26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -127 -$25 17¢ $-22 +$4 08-19 07:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -149 -$20 9¢ $-13 +$7 06-28 18:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +521 $271 1¢ $4 -$267 11-02 17:26
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -74 $1 0¢ $-0 -$1 08-01 00:05