Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$169
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
2,276
Trades
15,498
lifetime
Volume
$199.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$606
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-17 14:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 81% -$2,952
Other
5% 48% -$269
Tech
3% 75% -$258
Sports
1% 38% +$101
Politics
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +726 $169 44¢ $316 +$147 10-17 14:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -410 -$300 53¢ $-217 +$83 08-19 07:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -53 $111 54¢ $-28 -$140 10-17 14:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -127 -$25 18¢ $-23 +$2 08-19 07:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -149 -$20 10¢ $-14 +$6 06-28 18:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +704 $273 1¢ $7 -$266 09-09 10:13
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -74 $1 0¢ $-0 -$1 08-01 00:05