Curly-Mammoth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:32
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:22
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3912aa…
10-29 08:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dea06…
10-28 07:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4c8c4…
10-27 08:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b88d…
10-26 09:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x159e32…
10-24 11:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3ef3c…
10-22 10:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3b2ff…
10-20 07:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aa02d…
10-19 09:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c7d8e…
10-18 09:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x916329…
10-17 14:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1acfb6…
10-16 08:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12a1f2…
10-15 09:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab22a8…
10-14 09:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97e984…
10-13 09:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d4d18…
10-12 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbedeb1…
10-11 08:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d45e5…
10-08 08:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aa92c…
10-07 14:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffd068…
10-06 07:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d8be2…
10-04 15:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd5fca…
10-03 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb751d…
10-02 11:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e9abb…
10-01 08:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61986e…
09-30 12:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcecc58…
09-29 14:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08a07f…
09-28 09:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0129c…
09-27 08:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x004ccc…
09-25 12:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa34fd0…
09-24 08:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44b8a8…
09-23 07:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa14d6c…
09-22 08:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b41cb…
09-21 09:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc78cdb…
09-20 05:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeec3c5…
09-19 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24ec02…
09-18 06:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10973e…
09-17 04:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb66664…
09-16 08:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9b051…
09-15 09:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef99b4…
09-14 08:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46bd19…
09-12 16:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fe96f…
09-11 07:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e1ca6…
09-10 06:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b3e88…
09-09 02:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd4ad8…
09-08 02:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec042e…
09-07 08:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb3f0d…
09-06 17:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x722739…
09-06 09:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654119…
09-05 09:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x876ee5…
09-04 17:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebec26…
09-03 09:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4eca5…
09-02 07:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f9752…
08-30 08:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1ed06…
08-29 07:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd21df6…
08-28 08:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6a807…
08-27 08:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb11b9f…
08-26 08:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81942c…
08-25 09:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66ba61…
08-24 09:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256b1a…
08-23 14:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78a269…
08-22 08:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84c08…
08-21 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f0f78…
08-20 08:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9afd36…
08-19 11:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc40e1d…
08-18 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4e5fd…
08-17 07:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fb202…
08-16 11:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a54d…
08-15 09:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb56cdb…
08-14 06:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x073c39…
08-13 07:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99a111…
08-12 07:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6eb3bb…
08-11 06:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08d745…
08-10 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9370a…
08-09 01:21:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe29d3f…
08-08 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00e11d…
08-07 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd57012…
08-06 06:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd74b4d…
08-05 07:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0620c2…
08-04 08:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20c9ee…
08-03 07:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6791c…
08-02 01:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x426b33…
08-01 06:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5743a5…
07-31 08:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x116768…
07-30 06:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6591e…
07-29 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x224fed…
07-28 06:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb9d79…
07-27 08:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df64a…
07-26 06:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ae6cc…
07-25 07:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2958f1…
07-24 09:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f21a2…
07-23 07:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57ce90…
07-22 01:51:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fa8d2…
07-20 23:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x895665…
07-20 07:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd01772…
07-18 23:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab667a…
07-18 00:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d79c3…
07-17 06:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70fea4…
07-15 22:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc36e22…
07-15 07:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x95c3c2…
07-14 07:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x622cec…