Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$497

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-14 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 50% +$8

Other

12% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+31	$10	24¢	$7	$-3	06-02 19:35
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes		+294	$10	2¢	$6	$-4	07-14 11:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$204	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 20:11
will sinners win 10 or more awards at the oscars	1	$20	558	0	+558	open	—	03-15 19:37
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$20	999	0	+999	open	—	06-25 21:32
will iran strike seven countries in march	2	$15	222	222	+0	open	—	03-03 19:37
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	3	$14	346	12	+333	open	—	02-20 16:52
will iran strike eight countries in march	2	$10	54	54	+0	open	—	03-03 19:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$10	512	0	+512	open	—	03-01 13:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	06-02 19:35
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	+$18	02-20 16:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	$-10	02-14 22:15
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	03-02 20:50
israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	1	$10	228	0	+228	open	—	02-28 20:21
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	1	$10	294	0	+294	open	—	07-14 11:19
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	02-28 20:17
will there be 22 or more us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$10	1,000	500	+500	open	—	02-28 06:51
will iran strike six countries in march	2	$9	387	387	+0	open	—	03-03 19:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$9	67	17	+50	open	—	03-01 13:09
will canada strike iran by march 31	1	$6	203	0	+203	open	—	03-02 12:45
ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	2	$5	29	29	+0	open	—	03-31 22:05
will iran strike five countries in march	1	$5	313	0	+313	open	—	03-02 12:43
will iran strike three countries in march	1	$5	207	0	+207	open	—	03-02 12:43
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	1	$5	53	0	+53	open	—	02-14 22:05
will germany strike iran by march 31	1	$5	65	0	+65	open	—	03-02 12:45
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-02 12:45
will trump say antifa in february	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-14 22:42
will trump say kamikaze in february	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	02-14 22:41
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	02-14 22:57
will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	02-28 20:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$5	34	0	+34	open	—	03-01 13:39
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	02-14 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:19:20	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xe63243…
06-25 21:32:35	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	499	2¢	$10	0x6638dc…
06-25 20:21:40	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9f7e5a…
06-02 19:35:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc4f679…
03-31 22:06:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9bf7b7…
03-31 22:05:03	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xe4d35d…
03-15 19:37:47	will sinners win 10 or more awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	558	4¢	$20	0x19b57c…
03-03 19:37:23	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	SELL	54	10¢	$5	0xf38108…
03-03 19:37:07	will iran strike seven countries in march	Yes	SELL	222	5¢	$10	0xf89b84…
03-03 19:36:59	will iran strike six countries in march	Yes	SELL	387	1¢	$4	0x5a1a16…
03-03 12:25:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e745e…
03-03 12:24:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf9f813…
03-03 12:23:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4297a1…
03-02 20:50:07	will iran strike nine or more countries in march	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe099d9…
03-02 12:45:47	will canada strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	203	3¢	$6	0xff004f…
03-02 12:45:39	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x1e57aa…
03-02 12:45:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6d56e2…
03-02 12:43:25	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	BUY	207	2¢	$5	0xc7b154…
03-02 12:43:17	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xc1c35d…
03-02 12:43:01	will iran strike five countries in march	Yes	BUY	313	2¢	$5	0x1f3adc…
03-02 12:42:53	will iran strike six countries in march	Yes	BUY	387	1¢	$5	0x04ba68…
03-02 12:42:47	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xeefc4e…
03-02 12:42:39	will iran strike seven countries in march	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0xfd7f8b…
03-01 13:39:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x0fbe96…
03-01 13:39:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	512	2¢	$10	0xaa5bed…
03-01 13:09:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xb0db97…
02-28 20:40:09	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x18e1af…
02-28 20:30:55	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x10d4ec…
02-28 20:21:27	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0x23c41e…
02-28 20:17:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x7599bc…
02-28 20:11:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	122	94¢	$115	0xc88ae1…
02-28 19:11:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	128	62¢	$79	0x0b1913…
02-28 06:51:11	will there be 22 or more us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x21f6eb…
02-27 05:35:52	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x311139…
02-23 21:10:08	donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 100 119	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x067e51…
02-20 16:56:04	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2dc94d…
02-20 16:54:36	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0f1699…
02-20 16:52:54	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x366dc3…
02-20 16:51:16	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcffe76…
02-18 17:12:24	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x180072…
02-18 06:13:22	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x642989…
02-18 06:13:08	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x7f5632…
02-18 06:10:08	donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 120 139	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x678f34…
02-18 06:09:54	donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9115fb…
02-18 06:09:10	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 140 159	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5385e2…
02-18 06:08:08	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1354c3…
02-17 10:38:21	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x655e1e…
02-16 23:09:41	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x76b618…
02-16 22:13:25	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xec1b6f…
02-15 21:35:13	will there be 22 or more us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x109ff3…
02-15 21:29:05	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2417ca…
02-15 13:19:47	wta seidel bucsa 2026 02 15	Seidel	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x34a3b2…
02-15 13:16:53	cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	PARIVISION	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd5a60b…
02-15 11:54:27	cs2 fal2 faze 2026 02 15	FaZe	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x74d56a…
02-15 10:42:43	cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	PARIVISION	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4bf559…
02-15 10:39:03	wta seidel bucsa 2026 02 15	Seidel	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb4be7e…
02-15 08:14:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7603c6…
02-14 22:57:35	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x54856a…
02-14 22:55:39	will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9ab418…
02-14 22:44:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x6ff4ec…
02-14 22:42:07	will trump say antifa in february	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x70d59d…
02-14 22:41:05	will trump say kamikaze in february	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x5411f3…
02-14 22:15:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4e0cac…
02-14 22:09:51	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0b236e…
02-14 22:05:45	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xa7969c…
02-14 22:03:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3b3c73…
02-14 21:59:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x70eaa4…