Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$1,716
Trades
46
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$657
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-11 21:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $545 | $545 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $41 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $21 | $43 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $5 | $61 | $56 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $238 | $237 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | $29 | $29 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $335 | $335 |
| unranked | 6 | $5 | $117 | $112 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +1,072 | $1,028 | $1,028 | 4 | 06-11 14:05 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +896 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-11 14:05 |
| Abandoned-Speakerphone 0x569b…c66e | Yes | +721 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-08 16:13 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +340 | $332 | $332 | 5 | 06-11 21:32 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +221 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 06-08 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x267f…fa03 | Yes | +116 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 12:48 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +67 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 06-11 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd449…450f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-11 14:05 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 21:29 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 14:05 |
| Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-11 14:05 |
| Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-10 07:34 |
| Hard-To-Find-Matrix 0xb90b…fa17 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 16:55 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +3 | $3 | $32 | 6 | 06-10 07:34 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c7…1514 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 20:41 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | +1 | $1 | $5 | 2 | 06-04 04:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 21:32:46 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x7dd03b… |
| 06-11 21:32:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x7dd03b… |
| 06-11 21:29:27 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x8a0e78… |
| 06-11 21:29:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8a0e78… |
| 06-11 20:41:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc40d41… |
| 06-11 20:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x41c7…1514 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc40d41… |
| 06-11 20:32:31 | Soggy-Lunchroom 0xb534…2868 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4fb82b… |
| 06-11 20:32:31 | Intelligent-Overhead 0x7158…0143 | No | SELL | 44 | 97¢ | $43 | 0x4fb82b… |
| 06-11 20:32:31 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4fb82b… |
| 06-11 16:55:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x699da6… |
| 06-11 16:55:10 | Hard-To-Find-Matrix 0xb90b…fa17 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x699da6… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | (anonymous) 0xd449…450f | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe55545… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4b39f0… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xe55545… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xe55545… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x4133d8… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4133d8… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x4b39f0… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | BUY | 870 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xe55545… |
| 06-11 14:05:09 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $476 | 0xe55545… |
| 06-11 12:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x267f…fa03 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x722487… |
| 06-11 12:48:00 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 72 | 96¢ | $69 | 0x722487… |
| 06-11 12:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x722487… |
| 06-11 12:48:00 | Intelligent-Overhead 0x7158…0143 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x722487… |
| 06-11 12:29:15 | Intelligent-Overhead 0x7158…0143 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xd54cf8… |
| 06-11 12:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd54cf8… |
| 06-10 07:34:06 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x13f582… |
| 06-10 07:34:06 | Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x13f582… |
| 06-08 16:13:18 | Abandoned-Speakerphone 0x569b…c66e | Yes | BUY | 721 | 3¢ | $20 | 0xa50875… |
| 06-08 16:13:18 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 250 | 98¢ | $244 | 0xa50875… |
| 06-08 16:13:18 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 250 | 97¢ | $244 | 0xa50875… |
| 06-08 16:13:18 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 221 | 97¢ | $213 | 0xa50875… |
| 06-08 15:51:30 | Abandoned-Speakerphone 0x569b…c66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0231da… |
| 06-08 15:51:30 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x0231da… |
| 06-08 02:12:16 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x54a859… |
| 06-08 02:12:16 | Soggy-Lunchroom 0xb534…2868 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x54a859… |
| 06-04 04:21:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x6f5cc3… |
| 06-04 04:21:28 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x6f5cc3… |
| 06-04 04:21:16 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe57e4d… |
| 06-04 04:21:16 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe57e4d… |
| 06-02 06:12:01 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc2d6a5… |
| 06-02 06:12:01 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xc2d6a5… |
| 06-01 16:53:52 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe5a25… |
| 06-01 16:53:52 | Abandoned-Speakerphone 0x569b…c66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe5a25… |
| 06-01 13:14:48 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xbab779… |
| 06-01 13:14:48 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbab779… |