Realistic-Fund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

1,156

Trades

2,877

lifetime

Volume

$91.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-01 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

59% 78% -$2,842

Crypto

41% 85% -$1,158

Sports

0% 40% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$12

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	10	$3.4K	1,763	1,763	+0	No	+$9	05-21 22:29
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	6	$3.2K	1,650	1,650	+0	No	+$42	05-21 22:30
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,301	848	+453	No	+$45	05-19 12:18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$1.6K	867	867	+0	No	+$52	05-23 21:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	10	$1.2K	848	424	+424	No	+$30	05-05 09:45
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	3	$1.1K	1,132	0	+1,132	No	+$12	07-02 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 23?	2	$1.1K	1,217	0	+1,217	No	+$140	09-21 22:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.0K	1,415	200	+1,215	No	-$667	06-01 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 1?	19	$915	529	529	+0	No	+$61	08-01 07:15
Will Solana reach $120 in May?	2	$895	453	453	+0	No	$0	05-20 12:02
Will Solana reach $100 in June?	2	$808	429	429	+0	No	+$28	06-10 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$780	825	0	+825	No	+$45	05-04 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$780	830	0	+830	No	+$50	05-04 14:47
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	4	$723	425	425	+0	No	-$97	06-19 13:43
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?	2	$720	429	429	+0	No	-$111	06-18 21:49
Will Solana reach $110 in June?	1	$697	708	0	+708	No	+$10	06-02 03:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?	1	$693	714	0	+714	No	+$21	06-01 23:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?	1	$690	708	0	+708	No	+$18	06-01 23:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	8	$669	686	0	+686	No	+$16	04-27 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	9	$668	350	350	+0	No	-$3	09-20 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 29?	1	$604	687	0	+687	No	+$83	09-28 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 11?	6	$600	699	0	+699	No	+$99	08-10 05:25
will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	2	$560	566	0	+566	No	+$6	07-02 10:57
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	2	$560	566	0	+566	No	+$6	07-02 10:53
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	6	$560	566	0	+566	No	+$6	07-02 20:42
will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	1	$558	566	0	+566	No	+$8	07-02 14:17
will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	1	$557	566	0	+566	No	+$9	07-02 10:15
will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026	1	$555	566	0	+566	No	+$11	07-02 10:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	1	$554	571	0	+571	No	+$17	06-01 23:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	5	$550	552	0	+552	No	+$2	04-27 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 13:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1072bf…
10-01 08:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	489	69¢	$336	0x74c877…
10-01 00:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x8d4a10…
09-30 15:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 1?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x014585…
09-30 12:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x037ed1…
09-30 12:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8ed312…
09-30 12:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb37df4…
09-30 04:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 1?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x35da3e…
09-30 04:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 1?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x24815d…
09-30 04:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x193577…
09-30 01:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0xad1f23…
09-30 01:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x2399d0…
09-29 09:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	371	92¢	$340	0xe26a05…
09-28 11:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0xf032b4…
09-28 11:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	687	88¢	$604	0xe21b68…
09-28 06:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	181	4¢	$7	0x969aaf…
09-28 06:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x7393d4…
09-28 02:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0x7ee544…
09-27 13:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	347	62¢	$217	0x329557…
09-27 10:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xea7bcb…
09-27 10:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x256e89…
09-27 10:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1c55cb…
09-27 05:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x9421e4…
09-27 05:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 27?	No	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x3d3d52…
09-27 04:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x7e01bf…
09-27 04:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on September 28?	No	BUY	349	98¢	$342	0xe4297d…
09-27 01:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 27?	No	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0xf67ce4…
09-27 00:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x594ee6…
09-26 17:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	173	95¢	$164	0xbb4b38…
09-26 14:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 27?	No	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x73f1e2…
09-26 04:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	234	0¢	$0	0xbb0907…
09-26 04:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x58e61b…
09-25 23:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 27?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x87478c…
09-25 23:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 27?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$251	0x398df9…
09-25 23:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 26?	No	BUY	303	96¢	$291	0x3b59b3…
09-25 14:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0xb3377c…
09-25 14:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x47e0ed…
09-25 13:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 26?	No	BUY	173	88¢	$152	0xb7e601…
09-25 13:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	SELL	152	65¢	$98	0xfeb2a2…
09-25 06:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	BUY	117	69¢	$81	0x71050a…
09-25 06:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x61b57f…
09-25 03:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 26?	No	BUY	408	97¢	$396	0x2ccd66…
09-25 03:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 26?	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xd41b43…
09-25 03:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x454258…
09-24 22:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3c2c88…
09-24 22:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd972d2…
09-24 22:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cf83c…
09-24 20:15:03	Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0df3a7…
09-24 19:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 26?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xad173f…
09-24 19:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9581ed…
09-24 13:17:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x87db52…
09-24 13:17:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x893023…
09-24 09:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xd459c2…
09-24 09:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb95c5c…
09-24 07:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 25?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x0d8dd5…
09-24 07:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 25?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x077a2b…
09-24 07:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 25?	No	BUY	255	95¢	$242	0x7f7d6e…
09-23 22:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x943525…
09-23 22:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xcf958a…
09-23 11:48:16	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xfab4fd…
09-23 11:00:02	Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc81e18…
09-23 09:34:43	Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd732b3…
09-23 09:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	115	89¢	$102	0x7cc8f7…
09-23 03:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xff5079…
09-22 14:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	379	90¢	$341	0xa3cd1a…
09-22 14:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfa0f28…
09-22 14:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd40c21…
09-21 22:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 23?	No	BUY	977	88¢	$859	0x02e753…
09-21 22:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 23?	No	BUY	240	91¢	$218	0x06906a…
09-21 06:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x22f66e…
09-20 09:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	424	91¢	$385	0x5fd9e7…
09-20 09:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	105	89¢	$93	0xb81e05…
09-20 09:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1c77e7…
09-20 05:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xa57e48…
09-20 05:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xfcc0f4…
09-20 05:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x814bdd…
09-20 05:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x37c36b…
09-20 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	252	95¢	$239	0xfd8205…
09-20 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x222c2a…
09-20 05:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xefcce4…
09-20 05:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x94ed0c…
09-19 08:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	215	88¢	$189	0xaff668…
09-19 06:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	292	90¢	$262	0xe0c0b9…
09-19 06:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb96e12…
09-19 01:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$336	0x552bd9…
09-19 01:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x405dec…
09-18 12:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xbca2ee…
09-18 11:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x8e678a…
09-18 09:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	325	98¢	$318	0xcb530b…
09-18 09:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	290	93¢	$269	0xf22b3f…
09-18 09:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x835cba…
09-17 11:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	244	86¢	$210	0xfe3d92…
09-17 11:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 18?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x881de6…
09-17 07:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x1eb4bc…
09-17 06:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x22071c…
09-17 06:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x874e94…
09-17 06:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x08546c…
09-17 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x59a9b1…
09-17 06:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x71a6ac…
09-17 04:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x524bff…